July 18, 2016 Issue of Buffett-Munger Bargains Newsletter Is Ready

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Buffett-Munger Screener - Good Companies at Fair or Undervalued Prices

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What is Buffett-Munger Screener?


"Buffett-Munger Screener" can be used to find companies with high quality business at undervalued or fair-valued prices:
  1. Companies that have high Predictability Rank, that is, companies that can consistently grow its revenue and earnings.
  2. Companies that have competitive advantages. It can maintain or even expand its profit margin while growing its business
  3. Companies that incur little debt while growing business
  4. Companies that are fair valued or under-valued. We use PEPG as indicator. PEPG is the P/E ratio divided by the average growth rate of EBITDA over the past 5 years.

From the back testing study from 1998-2008 we have found strong correlations between the Predictability of Businesses and the long term return of stocks, the group of undervalued highly predictable companies performed the best. This group had an annualized gain of 20%, while the market just averaged 2.7% a year.

For details, go to: What Worked In The Market From 1998-2008? Part II. Under-Valued Predictable Companies And Buffett-Munger Screener

We can clearly see that companies with higher Predictability Rank had much better stock performances. The possibility of losing money with long term holding period is also greatly reduced.

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Symbol Company Predictability Market Cap ($mil) 10-Y EBITDA Growth Rate (%) 5-Y EBITDA Growth Rate (%) 12-M EBITDA Growth Rate (%) P/E PE/5-Y EBITDA Growth Rate P/B Yield (%)
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
1701.36011.40 19.9020.2032.251.628.320.75
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
4614.10023.00 29.107.9011.720.401.762.36
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
11638.71014.20 13.30-4.8021.951.653.470.72
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
29955.89012.70 11.0014.3021.161.925.521.14
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
22259.12018.90 14.6011.6018.601.270.000.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
15322.97015.00 13.5024.6019.651.462.681.43
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
47.1709.80 12.70-5.9015.381.211.610.71
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
4565.77016.30 17.20-1.7021.991.283.810.79
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
6464.96011.70 10.9034.5017.481.608.000.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
5854.27015.40 12.100.2018.041.493.121.16
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
2410.82020.30 15.3014.6024.541.604.180.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
1652.79019.50 17.008.3032.981.9410.210.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
9309.49025.30 14.106.5026.441.887.850.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
14942.84016.20 23.807.4018.750.793.030.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
737.93013.20 11.400.3011.501.012.230.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
4151.14014.70 18.0021.3029.271.634.531.57
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
1337.58015.70 16.60-0.4026.791.613.690.25
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
24997.27025.30 23.7020.3041.751.767.880.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
4110.99014.20 17.303.4027.881.612.770.94
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
93600.00019.20 17.90-4.6017.110.9615.453.92
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
6219.71018.10 14.1029.2021.291.512.261.22
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
3795.27013.70 22.1030.3022.841.035.470.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
10148.59013.70 14.3016.5019.521.373.811.46
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
33530.29010.00 19.60-9.9012.020.611.382.22
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
10036.66020.50 20.206.4024.281.206.921.21
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
11018.44016.60 11.806.0016.001.362.500.35
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
16318.05026.60 27.2029.0043.991.6211.260.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
84875.35015.00 13.70-8.7020.601.504.202.18
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
8296.54017.70 22.30-2.1021.860.984.490.41
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
475.89028.40 16.1012.7023.001.430.000.33


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