August 19, 2014 Issue of Buffett-Munger Bargains Newsletter Is Ready

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Buffett-Munger Screener - Good Companies at Fair or Undervalued Prices

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What is Buffett-Munger Screener?


"Buffett-Munger Screener" can be used to find companies with high quality business at undervalued or fair-valued prices:
  1. Companies that have high Predictability Rank, that is, companies that can consistently grow its revenue and earnings.
  2. Companies that have competitive advantages. It can maintain or even expand its profit margin while growing its business
  3. Companies that incur little debt while growing business
  4. Companies that are fair valued or under-valued. We use PEPG as indicator. PEPG is the P/E ratio divided by the average growth rate of EBITDA over the past 5 years.

From the back testing study from 1998-2008 we have found strong correlations between the Predictability of Businesses and the long term return of stocks, the group of undervalued highly predictable companies performed the best. This group had an annualized gain of 20%, while the market just averaged 2.7% a year.

For details, go to: What Worked In The Market From 1998-2008? Part II. Under-Valued Predictable Companies And Buffett-Munger Screener

We can clearly see that companies with higher Predictability Rank had much better stock performances. The possibility of losing money with long term holding period is also greatly reduced.

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Symbol Company Predictability Market Cap ($mil) 10-Y EBITDA Growth Rate (%) 5-Y EBITDA Growth Rate (%) 12-M EBITDA Growth Rate (%) P/E PE/5-Y EBITDA Growth Rate P/B Yield (%)
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
4848.32212.20 12.7017.2025.101.984.401.50
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
10230.36721.50 18.802.0034.001.811.602.80
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
6551.05521.90 20.0015.5035.801.7933.100.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
56862.4329.50 12.6013.7021.701.724.501.30
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
14822.72723.40 19.2023.4032.301.6814.700.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
958.82016.00 15.303.7025.301.653.701.10
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
4318.32512.70 15.70-7.5025.801.644.500.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
5166.66123.40 14.000.5022.101.5810.101.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
81465.1436.90 9.101.1013.401.472.003.50
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
3044.03414.40 14.6015.0020.701.423.401.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
16771.33714.80 15.709.9021.201.354.901.60
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
14891.93114.00 14.603.6019.601.343.601.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
13064.25416.40 14.606.9019.601.343.600.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
60251.14914.50 18.906.1024.101.282.701.40
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
5015.63819.50 22.0025.3027.801.265.600.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
53059.30913.80 15.10-0.4018.901.259.502.30
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
2536.03416.10 17.909.5022.201.243.102.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
5825.41811.60 18.304.6022.701.245.201.50
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
13455.55513.20 23.405.1028.801.237.102.20
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
140870.44817.00 15.600.4019.101.222.701.50
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
141413.95017.00 15.600.4019.101.222.701.50
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
183764.17117.90 13.904.7016.801.213.801.20
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
12992.0739.90 15.2010.0018.301.206.301.80
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
19409.2806.00 18.2023.8021.401.1844.401.20
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
2589.92515.10 13.1018.5015.301.171.600.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
6714.60013.30 16.5010.7019.001.153.600.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
361.28229.40 13.80-0.3015.601.133.700.00
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
13063.38015.20 21.1010.0022.901.093.700.50
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
96778.2084.20 13.806.8015.101.092.103.10
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
81062.65712.50 14.307.3014.901.042.401.50

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