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What is Peter Lynch Below-Earnings-Line Screen?


In his excellent book One Up on Wall Street, Peter Lynch, the best mutual fund manager ever, revealed a powerful charting tool that helped him to achieve a gain of 29.2% in his portfolios for 13 years. In this chart, Peter Lynch drew the stock price and the earnings per share together and aligned the value of $1 in earnings per share to $15 in stock price. He wrote in pages 164-165 of the book:

"A quick way to tell if a stock is overpriced is to compare the price line to the earnings line. If you bought familiar growth companies when the stock price fell well below the earnings line, and sold them when the stock price rose dramatically above it, the chances are you'd do pretty well."

This page displays the stocks that are currently traded below their Peter Lynch Earnings Line. According to Peter Lynch, you will probably "do pretty well" with these stocks.

With similar philosophy, we have also created screens to find stocks that are traded below their historical median book value multiples, median sales multiples and median EBITDA multiples. If you are not a Premium Member, we invite you for a

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Current Selected:
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SymbolCompanyPredictability Market Cap ($mil)Earnings Yield (%)Return on Capital (%)10-Y EBITDA Growth Rate (%) 5-Y EBITDA Growth Rate (%)P/EYield (%)Rank
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
906.61432.6070.350.00 77.006.200.001
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 3.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 3.5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 3.5-Star stocks: 9.3% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 9%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
1057.18117.8416.7114.70 16.304.1421.362
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
1665.87420.9940.8423.10 25.005.730.003
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
122702.08116.20701.720.00 27.207.801.524
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
31496.0658.92291.490.00 27.7010.500.445
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
32673.2638.72291.490.00 27.7010.640.416
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
363.50715.201043.5015.50 18.5011.904.917
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
1691.78611.0915.6910.70 13.4012.490.008
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
2915.78013.5223.7917.20 16.609.773.629
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
444.10717.2135.450.00 0.009.490.0010
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
729.39116.9744.7514.10 18.1010.790.0011
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
6601.07613.3935.2110.20 27.9010.721.7712
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
521301.69413.47345.4349.20 32.209.932.2113
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 3.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 3.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 3.5-Star stocks: 9.3% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 9%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
4411.86812.3830.3015.60 16.8012.741.4314
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
2807.38811.2115.5613.40 16.8011.790.0015
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 2.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 2.5-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 2.5-Star stocks: 7.3% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 18%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
1362.49819.8495.8015.10 4.908.833.3416
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
2844.62213.260.009.00 10.309.682.7517
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
124727.05911.9195.5010.60 6.908.983.8918
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only 1619.70813.1537.300.00 31.5012.880.0019
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
976.91715.4053.60-3.60 34.1012.810.0020
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 3/5
Business Predictability Rank: 3-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 3-Star stocks: 8.2% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 11%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
9553.21416.4747.6010.10 12.009.783.8721
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 2/5
Business Predictability Rank: 2-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 2-Star stocks: 6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 16%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
5420.41813.6189.3015.40 30.5011.752.5622
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
203.69110.5655.680.00 42.7012.183.5723
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
6019.14618.8732.8714.60 37.508.501.5024
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
20048.08310.0131.3112.20 16.1011.685.0625
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 4.5/5
Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
64084.67111.4517.4016.50 18.4012.862.9326
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
2612.06012.8871.885.10 15.1012.542.2927
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 3/5
Business Predictability Rank: 3-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 3-Star stocks: 8.2% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 11%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
17584.50713.9031.7513.10 20.8010.603.5528
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
164.77114.9717.770.00 24.5011.251.1029
Premium Member OnlyPremium Member Only
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
21108.8009.6031.3112.20 16.1012.100.0030

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User Comments

Manish1
ReplyManish1 - 1 month ago
fosl,gps,ahgp where are these stocks?
Msr
ReplyMsr - 1 month ago
Because people want to get money for nothing but it just won't work that way. Everybody has to pay the price to get the value. Investors pay the price of patience. Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio) said that the stock market is invented to transfer money from impatient to the patient investors.
Simonrsteele@gmail.com
Reply[email protected] - 6 months ago
The correlation (long term) between earnings and share price is both logical and intuitive; it's also empirically obvious from almost every stock /market chart. Why do so many investors waste their time with short term stock assessments of value with out trying to understand the long term drivers earnings first and foremost? Earnings can cheapen your trade over time, valuations can't.
TGuerrero
ReplyTGuerrero - 1 year ago
Peixia,
I was wondering where it came from as well, found this post that shows a lynch chart with the line on it:
http://www.gurufocus.com/news/220155/how-to-construct-peter-lynchs-valuation-charts-with-gurufocus-financials-charts-in-two-clicks

I guessing its mostly based on that chart, it's too bad the picture is so blurry, haven't found a better one on the net yet
Peixia
ReplyPeixia - 1 year ago
"In this chart, Peter Lynch drew the stock price and the earnings per share together and aligned the value of $1 in earnings per share to $15 in stock price."

I have the book and referred to p.164-165, where Lynch merely mentioned earnings line. But I can't find anywhere in his book that he aligned $1 in EPS to $15 in stock price. Could you please confirm the page(s) where he did this, as it's not in p.164-165.

Thanks.



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