John Keeley

John Keeley

Last Update: 2014-11-14

Number of Stocks: 390
Number of New Stocks: 15

Total Value: $4,914 Mil
Q/Q Turnover: 5%

Countries: USA
Details: Top Buys | Top Sales | Top Holdings  Embed:

John Keeley Watch

  • KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Comments on Core-Mark Holding Co Inc

    Core-Mark Holdings Company, Inc. (CORE) was the Fund's top performing position in the third quarter after rising over 16 percent and adding 19 basis points of return to the Fund. The convenience store retailer continued its impressive performance and is now our top performing position in 2014, rising over 39 percent year-to-date. Despite sluggish foot traffic for a number of retailers, Core-Mark was able to increase food sales over the past quarter and they were especially pleased with growth in their higher margin areas such as fresh foods.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Comments on Manitowoc Co Inc

    Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) was the second largest detractor during the quarter after falling over 28 percent and costing the portfolio 32 basis points of return. Shares of the capital goods manufacturer fell sharply in July after cutting its 2014 forecasts for crane sales and foodservice operating margins. The company now anticipates that revenue in its crane-making division will be flat or slightly negative in 2014. We continue to see a restructuring opportunity in Manitowoc, with a potential break-up of their industrial crane-making and foodservice segments.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Comments on Sanchez Energy

    Sanchez Energy (SN) proved to be the largest detractor during the quarter, falling over 30 percent and costing the Fund 40 basis points of performance. Although the company issued $300 million in senior notes during the quarter for an acquisition that doubled its Eagle Ford Shale acreage, there appeared to be no fundamental reason for the decline. We remain committed to the sector and continue to believe our companies are well positioned for the secular growth opportunities that we think lie ahead.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2014 Commentary.  


  • John Keeley’s KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2014 Commentary

    In the third calendar quarter of 2014, the KEELEY All Cap Value Fund (KACVX) fell 4.74 percent compared to a 0.87 percent decline for the Russell 3000 Value Index. After a lengthy hiatus, volatility returned to the markets in the third quarter. The weakness was especially evident in small cap stocks, where the divergence between small and large-cap stocks was substantial. The S&P 500 Index posted a positive return in the third quarter, climbing just over 1 percent compared to the broad sell-off that occurred in small and mid-cap companies. Although the market capitalization of the portfolio has moved higher in recent years, it remains substantially below our benchmark as we continue to find attractive opportunities in small and mid-cap companies. Heightened geopolitical risks were the primary culprit for the renewed volatility, as uncertainty in foreign markets added to global growth concerns and pressured investors to shun risk. Fortunately, economic news on the domestic front was more positive. Better export growth, improving housing activity, and continued low interest rates has allowed the economy to recover from the negative effects of the harsh weather early in the year. However, subpar projections for long term GDP growth remain a signficant hurdle and puts further pressure on a fragile consumer to pick up the slack. From sector perspective the quarter was mixed, with five of ten economic sectors in the Russell 3000 Value Index producing negative returns. Stock selection within the financial and industrials sectors was the key factors in our relative underperformance during the quarter. The Fund was also negatively impacted by an overweight position to energy, which was the worst performing sector in our benchmark.


    Civeo Corp. (CVEO) was the Fund's largest detractor during the quarter after shares fell sharply in September when the company announced that electing REIT status would not be preferable and simultaneously announced a rather large reduction in Canadian guidance for Q4 2014 and 2015 due to project deferrals. The reduction in earnings guidance, while never pleasant, is understandable, but the decision to not seek a REIT election was both disappointing and confusing. Frankly, we've not seen a case where the reason a company gets spun off is so quickly abandoned. Activist investors have become involved seeking, among other things, the resignation of the CEO. Nonetheless, the failure to seek a REIT election was a sufficient blow relative to our investment thesis that we elected to sell the stock.

      


  • KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Comments on BancorpSouth Inc

    BancorpSouth (BXS) fell over 18 percent and cost the portfolio 31 basis points of performance. The company announced plans to delay several announced acquisitions as increased scrutiny by the Federal Reserve and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) concerning BSA/AML (Bank Secrecy Act and anti-money laundering) is ongoing and the reviews will need to be completed before the acquisitions are allowed to proceed. This caused earnings reductions due to delayed deal accretion. We have seen this issue pop up at several other institutions and while it's unfortunate, we feel this is not a specific issue germane to only BXS but rather the result of increased scrutiny from Washington DC regulators concerned with money laundering. Management is complying with all policy and procedural change requests and hopes to have the matter resolved in the near future.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Q3 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Comments on Genworth Financial Inc

    Genworth (GNW) declined over 24 percent and cost the Fund 38 basis points of performance during the quarter. The company announced a sizeable addition to reserves for purposes of covering potential loss exposure to long-term care insurance provided to its earliest customers. This was not an unknown risk to us as we did factor this into our thinking when we established our position. However, while the reserve build was in-line with our projections, it was still a negative surprise to the street. Our view with respect to long-term care is that States will allow for premium increases, sometimes sizeable, as GNW (and others providing this insurance) are last line defenses to patients who would otherwise likely end up in Medicaid and exacerbate state budget situations. Unfortunately, a mismatch in timing occurs as claims rise first, then reserves are lifted followed by a request for premium increases. Ultimately, we feel GNW is very cheap and is in a good position to seek premium relief even as the company continues to restructure its business in both long-term care and mortgage insurance.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Q3 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Comments on Civeo Corp

    Civeo Corp. (CVEO) was the Fund's largest detractor during the quarter after shares fell sharply in September when the company announced that electing REIT status would not be preferable and simultaneously announced a rather large reduction in Canadian guidance for Q4 2014 and 2015 due to project deferrals. The reduction in earnings guidance, while never pleasant, is understandable, but the decision to not seek a REIT election was both disappointing and confusing. Frankly, we've not seen a case where the reason a company gets spun off is so quickly abandoned. Activist investors have become involved seeking, among other things, the resignation of the CEO. Nonetheless, the failure to seek a REIT election was a sufficient blow relative to our investment thesis that we elected to sell the stock.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Q3 2014 Commentary.  


  • John Keeley's KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Q3 2014 Commentary

    In the third calendar quarter of 2014, the KEELEY All Cap Value Fund (KACVX) fell 4.74 percent compared to a 0.87 percent decline for the Russell 3000 Value Index. After a lengthy hiatus, volatility returned to the markets in the third quarter. The weakness was especially evident in small cap stocks, where the divergence between small and large-cap stocks was substantial. The S&P 500 Index posted a positive return in the third quarter, climbing just over 1 percent compared to the broad sell-off that occurred in small and mid-cap companies. Although the market capitalization of the portfolio has moved higher in recent years, it remains substantially below our benchmark as we continue to find attractive opportunities in small and mid-cap companies. Heightened geopolitical risks were the primary culprit for the renewed volatility, as uncertainty in foreign markets added to global growth concerns and pressured investors to shun risk. Fortunately, economic news on the domestic front was more positive. Better export growth, improving housing activity, and continued low interest rates has allowed the economy to recover from the negative effects of the harsh weather early in the year. However, subpar projections for long term GDP growth remain a signficant hurdle and puts further pressure on a fragile consumer to pick up the slack. From sector perspective the quarter was mixed, with five of ten economic sectors in the Russell 3000 Value Index producing negative returns. Stock selection within the financial and industrials sectors was the key factors in our relative underperformance during the quarter. The Fund was also negatively impacted by an overweight position to energy, which was the worst performing sector in our benchmark.


    Civeo Corp. (CVEO) was the Fund's largest detractor during the quarter after shares fell sharply in September when the company announced that electing REIT status would not be preferable and simultaneously announced a rather large reduction in Canadian guidance for Q4 2014 and 2015 due to project deferrals. The reduction in earnings guidance, while never pleasant, is understandable, but the decision to not seek a REIT election was both disappointing and confusing. Frankly, we've not seen a case where the reason a company gets spun off is so quickly abandoned. Activist investors have become involved seeking, among other things, the resignation of the CEO. Nonetheless, the failure to seek a REIT election was a sufficient blow relative to our investment thesis that we elected to sell the stock.

      


  • Stage Stores' CEO Invests in Company Stock

    With Halloween coming up, many apparel stores are ramping up for the expected demand for seasonal costumes; after all, an estimated 158 million people participated in Halloween activities last year, and it is fair to assume that most, if not all, were in costume. Not all apparel stores sell Halloween costumes or items that can be used by customers to make their own costumes, of course, but some, like Stage Stores (SSI), a department store company that operates 850 stores under different names in 40 states, do.


    It may have been in anticipation of the Halloween season that Stage Stores’ president and CEO, Michael L. Glazer, purchased 10,000 shares of company stock Tuesday, increasing his total holdings in the company to 284,184 shares. At $16.23 per share, the transaction cost $163,200. The price is a little more than half the stock’s high-water mark of $28.07 nearly 17 months ago.

      


  • KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Comments on Williams Companies Inc

    Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB) was the Fund’s top performer, rising over 43 percent and adding 61 basis points to our performance. Shares of the energy infrastructure company jumped sharply in June when they announced news of a major restructuring where they will pay $6 billion for the remaining portion of Access Midstream Partners LP (they had owned 50%) from hedge fund Global Infrastructure Partners II. Williams then plans to merge its Midstream spin-off, Williams Partners LP (WPZ), with Access Midstream Partners once the acquisition of that entity is finished. The final company will be named Williams Partners LP, transforming the pieces into a pure-play general partner holding company. We believe the merged entities are a strategic t and should provide a distinct path of long-term growth for the stand alone firm.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY All Cap Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Mid Cap Dividend Value Fund Comments on CIT Group Inc

    Although the Fund did not have any one company have a major impact on results during the quarter, CIT Group Inc. (CIT) was the top detractor after falling over 6 percent and costing the Fund 10 basis points in performance. Shares of the mid-market financing and leasing company dropped in late April after announcing earnings that were below expectations. The earnings miss was primarily due to lower interest income and a rise in provisions for credit losses. We continue to believe the company is well positioned in the current environment and their access to low-cost debt should foster future growth.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Mid Cap Dividend Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Mid Cap Dividend Value Fund Comments on Iron Mountain Inc

    Iron Mountain Inc. (IRM) proved to be the top performing position during the second quarter after climbing over 28 percent and adding 45 basis points of return to the Fund. A leader in hard-copy storage, shares of Iron Mountain jumped sharply in June after receiving approval from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to operate as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). The approval process had placed a cloud of uncertainty over the stock for a number of months, and should now return the focus to the fundamental outlook of the company. The conversion to a REIT was a catalyst for our decision to hold the stock, as that conversion will result in significant tax savings and an increased dividend yield.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Mid Cap Dividend Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Mid Cap Value Fund Comments on Timken Co

    The Fund’s best performing industrial name during the quarter was Timken Co. (TKR), which climbed over 15 percent and added 32 basis points of performance to the Fund. The company recently spun-off its steel business after heavy pressure from activist firm Relational Investors. This breakup created TimkenSteel (TMST) a company with approximately $1.7 billion in revenue. Now, the former parent, Timken, can focus on its core bearings and transmission business, while the steel company can move forward with its own distinct strategy for growth. We believe the stand alone companies will allow investors to recognize the unique value proposition that each one offers while still leveraging the original synergies that existed between both units.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Mid Cap Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small-Mid Cap Value Fund Comments on Hanesbrands Inc

    Hanesbrands Inc. (HBI) was the top performing position during the quarter after rising over 28 percent and adding 34 basis points of performance to the Fund. The company posted impressive earnings results and is beginning to realize the benefits of the Maidenform Brands acquisition. They also acquired DB Apparel, a maker of intimate apparel and underwear, which was a legacy division of the old Sara Lee and should also have a positive long-term impact on earnings.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small-Mid Cap Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small Cap Dividend Value Fund Comments on Protective Life Corp

    The top performing position during the quarter was Protective Life Corporation (PL) which climbed over 31 percent and added 85 basis points of performance to the Fund during the second quarter. Shares rose in June when Japan’s Dai-ichi Life Insurance Co. agreed to buy Protective Life for $5.7 billion. This deal was the largest ever by a Japanese insurer and we elected to sell the position soon after the announcement.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Dividend Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small Cap Dividend Value Fund Comments on American Vanguard Corp

    The second largest detractor during the quarter was American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) which declined over 38 percent and cost the Fund 30 basis points of return during the quarter. Shares of the specialty chemical manufacturer fell sharply in May after posting disappointing earnings results due primarily from elevated inventories from one of their main products. This elevated channel inventory level has been the result of volatile weather, especially in the Midwest.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Dividend Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small Cap Dividend Value Fund Comments on World Wrestling Entertainment

    In that sector, one name specifically, World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), was the key holding that negatively impacted our performance in this sector. The stock declined over 58 percent and cost the Fund 70 basis points of return during the quarter. Shares of the entertainment company dropped sharply in May after investors became concerned over the terms of their new multi-year TV contract with NBCUniversal. Additionally, subscriptions to their WW Network, launched in February of 2014, have been below expectations.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Dividend Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Comments on Navient

    Recently, Sallie Mae (SLM) spun its FFELP (Federal Family Education Loan Program) division Navient (NAVI). In this case we elected to keep Sallie Mae Bank (SLM, the parent) and we sold Navient. Our rationale for selling NAVI was that it’s strictly a US government backed loan originator/servicer and will not likely grow as fast as SLM who dominates the private student lending market.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Comments on Sallie Mae

    Recently, Sallie Mae (SLM) spun its FFELP (Federal Family Education Loan Program) division Navient (NAVI). In this case we elected to keep Sallie Mae Bank (SLM, the parent) and we sold Navient. Our rationale for selling NAVI was that it’s strictly a US government backed loan originator/servicer and will not likely grow as fast as SLM who dominates the private student lending market. SLM offered better downside risk given its loans generate substantially wider spreads and virtually all of its loans are co-signed by the students’ parents. Further, by electing to remain invested in SLM, we should also benefit from the company’s efforts to sell additional products into its customer base like deposits, credit cards, etc. We believe this combination of upside opportunity derived from interacting early and often with students and downside protection via cosigned loans made SLM an attractive long-term investment.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


  • KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Comments on Chicago Bridge & Iron

    The largest detractor during the quarter was Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI). The industrial engineering company declined over 21 percent and cost the portfolio 23 basis points in performance. CBI has been a long-term holding and despite the short-term challenges, the stock has made a strong contribution to the Fund’s performance over the years. However, the shares became volatile in June amid negative accounting reports related to their earlier acquisition of Shaw Group and we elected to sell the position on the news.

    From John Keeley (Trades, Portfolio)’s KEELEY Small Cap Value Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary.  


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