We initiated a position in Mylan (NASDAQ:MYL), a global generic pharmaceuticals company. MYLshares fell 29% in the first three quarters of 2015 and over 45% from their mid-year highsafter generics rival Teva abandoned a hostile takeover bid for the company. During the fall,the market became overly focused on a series of overhangs including potential earningsdilution from a proposed and ultimately failed buyout of Perrigo (a private-label OTC business); corporate governance concerns including an unusual takeover-defense mechanism;and widespread unease about the pharmaceutical sector amidst scrutiny of specialty pharmaceutical manufacturers like Valeant.
We acknowledge eventual headwinds for the company’s branded EpiPen product, whichcould encounter competition from generics in late 2016. However, we see medium-termupside from a competitor recall, an announced share repurchase, and board review ofcorporate governance complaints. Ultimately, we expect MYL to earn close to $7 per share in2018, driven by a robust pipeline of respiratory, injectable and biologic drugs and by furthercapital deployment including share repurchases. We initiated our position at an average priceof $45.32, about 9x 2016 consensus EPS estimates. MYL shares ended the quarter at $54.07. Continue Reading »