10 Year Financial Data of MOD-PAC Corporation (MPAC)

8.37 (1y: +58%)

Market Cap	27.8 M	P/E(ttm)	13.30
Enterprise Value	25.88 M	P/B	0.99

MPAC- NAS (USA)
MOD-PAC Corporation

Currently 1/5

Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
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$8.37

2 Medium Warning Signs 1 Good Sign

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Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs*	5 yrs*	12 months*
Revenue Growth (%)	2.9	6.2	7.8
EBITDA Growth (%)	0	39.2	28.2
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	0	0	0
Book Value Growth (%)	1.7	4.1	2.6

*12-month growth rate is calculated with the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) of the last 12 months over the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) over the previous 12 months. 5-year and 10-year growth rates are calculated with least-square regression based on the 5-year and 10-year numbers.

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data

Per Share Data	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue per Share ($)	10.68	13.10	19.17	13.57	13.98	14.24	14.26	13.75	16.46	17.87	18.04	4.30	4.20	4.68	4.99	4.17
EBITDA per Share	2.04	2.75	6.31	-0.04	-0.12	0.75	0.36	1.22	1.69	1.81	2.00	0.20	0.21	0.67	0.74	0.38
Free Cashflow per Share	-0.44	6.34	-2.04	-0.07	-0.85	-0.25	0.52	0.17	0.41	-0.10	0.81	-0.93	-0.18	0.42	0.56	0.01
Earnings per Share ($)	0.57	0.97	2.97	-1.00	-1.19	-0.26	-0.58	0.37	0.55	0.51	0.63	-0.04	-0.04	0.27	0.31	0.09
Book Value per Share	5.69	6.33	8.78	8.65	7.49	7.28	6.79	6.88	7.55	8.44	8.25	8.04	8.03	8.13	8.40	8.25
Month End Stock Price	8.00	12.76	11.24	11.00	7.49	2.37	4.41	5.00	6.67	6.78	7.41	7.00	4.96	4.48	6.78	7.41
Ratios	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Return on Equity %	10.00	15.30	33.80	-11.60	-15.90	-3.60	-8.50	5.40	7.30	6.00	4.40	-2.00	-2.00	13.60	14.80	4.40
Return on Assets %	5.40	6.40	25.20	-8.80	-12.50	-2.70	-6.80	4.50	6.00	5.10	4.00	-1.60	-1.60	11.20	12.40	4.00
Return on Capital - Joel Greenblatt %	11.10	20.60	53.20	-17.70	-19.50	-4.20	-9.10	6.70	11.90	11.00	8.00	-2.00	-1.60	21.60	25.60	8.00
Debt to Equity	0.51	0.09	0.06	0.07	0.10	0.14	0.11	0.09	0.07	0.07	0.06	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.06

Gross Margin %	24.10	26.40	39.70	9.30	9.30	13.80	15.10	18.00	18.30	18.10	18.30	12.90	13.20	21.50	23.30	18.30
Operating Margin %	9.20	11.20	24.90	-11.10	-11.20	-2.30	-4.00	3.10	5.00	4.70	3.50	-0.90	-0.80	9.10	9.80	3.50
Net Margin %	5.30	7.40	15.50	-7.40	-8.50	-1.80	-4.10	2.70	3.30	2.80	2.30	-0.90	-0.90	5.80	6.20	2.30

Days Sales Outstanding	45.80	36.30	22.50	36.80	32.20	35.50	36.00	36.80	36.30	36.90	35.60	34.10	40.10	36.70	32.80	35.60
Days Inventory	33.60	30.00	24.50	28.00	29.60	37.30	37.40	47.80	55.80	51.00	53.70	58.90	59.40	53.20	48.40	53.70
Inventory Turnover	10.90	12.20	14.90	13.10	12.30	9.80	9.80	7.60	6.50	7.20	1.70	1.50	1.50	1.70	1.90	1.70

Debt to Revenue	0.27	0.04	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.13	0.14	0.14	0.12	0.11	0.13
COGS to Revenue	0.76	0.74	0.60	0.91	0.91	0.86	0.85	0.82	0.82	0.82	0.82	0.87	0.87	0.79	0.77	0.82
Inventory to Revenue	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.07	0.07	0.09	0.09	0.11	0.13	0.11	0.48	0.56	0.57	0.46	0.41	0.48
Interest Exp. to Revenue %	-0.59	-0.63	0.05	-0.23	-0.38	-0.54	-0.50	-0.40	-0.34	-0.32	-0.31	-0.34	-0.36	-0.31	-0.28	-0.31

Asset Turnover	1.02	0.87	1.63	1.19	1.47	1.50	1.67	1.69	1.81	1.79	0.43	0.46	0.44	0.48	0.50	0.43
Buyback Ratio	-8.00	-5.80	-5.60	3.10	0.80	--	0.20	-13.70	-8.60	-11.20	-63.40	1.60	--	--	-18.10	-63.40
Income Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue	41.22	50.28	71.19	46.56	48.19	48.90	48.90	48.72	56.23	59.28	59.90	13.80	13.49	15.37	16.62	14.42
Cost of Goods Sold	31.27	37.01	42.96	42.24	43.73	42.17	41.52	39.96	45.94	48.55	48.31	12.03	11.70	12.07	12.75	11.78
Gross Profit	9.95	13.27	28.23	4.32	4.47	6.72	7.38	8.76	10.28	10.73	11.60	1.78	1.79	3.30	3.87	2.64

Selling, General, &Admin. Expense	6.16	7.66	10.48	9.48	9.85	7.87	7.55	7.06	7.49	7.94	8.03	1.90	1.90	1.90	2.24	2.00
Earnings Before DDA	7.86	10.57	23.42	-0.15	-0.42	2.59	1.25	4.32	5.76	6.02	6.66	0.66	0.68	2.20	2.48	1.30

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	4.07	4.95	5.67	5.01	4.97	3.74	3.19	2.79	2.97	3.23	3.24	0.78	0.79	0.80	0.85	0.80

Operating Income	3.79	5.61	17.76	-5.16	-5.39	-1.15	-1.94	1.52	2.79	2.79	3.42	-0.13	-0.11	1.40	1.63	0.50
Interest Income/Expense	-0.25	-0.32	0.03	-0.11	-0.18	-0.27	-0.25	-0.20	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05
Net Income	2.20	3.72	11.03	-3.43	-4.10	-0.90	-1.98	1.31	1.87	1.69	2.14	-0.12	-0.12	0.90	1.04	0.33

Earnings per Share ($)	0.57	0.97	2.97	-1.00	-1.19	-0.26	-0.58	0.37	0.55	0.51	0.63	-0.04	-0.04	0.27	0.31	0.09
Total Shares Outstanding	3.86	3.84	3.71	3.43	3.45	3.43	3.43	3.54	3.42	3.32	3.46	3.21	3.21	3.28	3.33	3.46
Balance Sheet	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Cash and cash equivalents	1.31	14.77	3.88	3.44	0.10	0.20	3.78	3.44	3.90	3.64	3.75	0.86	0.26	1.61	3.64	3.75
Accounts Receivable	5.17	5.00	4.38	4.69	4.26	4.75	4.82	4.91	5.60	6.00	5.65	5.17	5.95	6.21	6.00	5.65
Inventory	2.88	3.04	2.89	3.24	3.54	4.31	4.26	5.23	7.02	6.78	6.96	7.79	7.64	7.06	6.78	6.96
Other Current Assets	0.94	0.28	1.62	0.45	0.26	0.36	0.30	0.44	0.51	0.42	0.93	0.71	0.59	0.53	0.42	0.93
Total Current Assets	10.30	23.08	12.77	11.82	8.15	9.62	13.16	14.02	17.03	16.84	17.28	14.52	14.43	15.40	16.84	17.28

Property, Plant and Equipment	28.88	30.57	29.69	25.74	23.32	21.59	15.42	14.27	13.65	15.50	14.94	15.18	15.49	15.50	15.50	14.94
Other Long Term Assets	1.34	4.31	1.27	1.45	1.32	1.34	0.63	0.49	0.47	0.80	1.05	0.62	0.73	0.85	0.80	1.05
Total Assets	40.52	57.96	43.72	39.01	32.79	32.55	29.20	28.78	31.14	33.14	33.27	30.32	30.65	31.74	33.14	33.27

Accounts Payable	3.75	4.61	5.19	4.92	3.73	3.80	3.37	2.28	3.32	3.29	2.88	2.61	2.99	3.18	3.29	2.88
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	1.43	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.17	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.02	--	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.02	--
Other Current Liabilities	-0.00	7.00	0.00	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	-0.00	-0.00	--	--	--
Total Current Liabilities	5.18	11.69	5.27	4.96	3.78	3.97	3.57	2.39	3.41	3.31	2.88	2.70	3.06	3.22	3.31	2.88

Long-Term Debt	9.66	2.06	1.97	1.93	2.45	3.41	2.29	1.96	1.82	1.80	1.80	1.80	1.80	1.80	1.80	1.80
Other Long-Term Liabilities	3.73	19.94	3.89	2.46	0.77	0.15	0.04	0.03	0.11	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03
Total Liabilities	18.57	33.69	11.13	9.35	6.99	7.54	5.90	4.38	5.35	5.13	4.70	4.53	4.88	5.04	5.13	4.70

Common Stock	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04
Retained Earnings	22.61	26.20	37.23	33.80	29.70	28.80	26.82	28.13	30.00	31.69	32.01	29.87	29.75	30.65	31.69	32.01
Additional Paid-In Capital	0.36	0.57	1.40	1.89	2.13	2.39	2.65	3.23	3.77	4.29	4.52	3.89	3.98	4.01	4.29	4.52
Treasury Stock	-1.00	-2.54	-6.07	-6.07	-6.07	-6.22	-6.22	-7.00	-8.01	-8.01	-8.01	-8.01	-8.01	-8.01	-8.01	-8.01
Total Equity	21.95	24.27	32.60	29.66	25.80	25.01	23.30	24.40	25.80	28.01	28.57	25.80	25.77	26.69	28.01	28.57
Cashflow Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Net Income	2.20	3.72	11.03	-3.43	-4.10	-0.90	-1.98	1.31	1.87	1.69	2.14	-0.12	-0.12	0.90	1.04	0.33
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	4.07	4.95	5.67	5.01	4.97	3.74	3.19	2.79	2.97	3.23	3.24	0.78	0.79	0.80	0.85	0.80
Cash Flow from Others	0.56	21.96	-19.53	-0.78	-1.88	-1.70	1.55	-1.71	-1.09	-0.12	0.85	-1.34	-0.15	0.53	0.85	-0.37
Cash Flow from Operations	6.83	30.63	-2.83	0.80	-1.01	1.14	2.75	2.38	3.75	4.79	6.23	-0.68	0.52	2.22	2.73	0.75

Investment for Property, Plant & Equipement	-8.53	-6.32	-4.73	-1.03	-1.90	-1.99	-0.98	-1.79	-2.33	-5.13	-3.54	-2.31	-1.09	-0.85	-0.87	-0.73
Cash Flow from Acquisitions	--	--	--	--	-0.95	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Cash Flow from Investing	-8.94	-18.20	4.42	0.45	-1.86	-1.95	1.99	-1.67	-2.28	-5.15	-3.64	-2.34	-1.09	-0.85	-0.87	-0.83

Net Issuance of Stock	-0.83	-1.33	-2.91	0.11	0.03	-0.15	0.00	-0.61	-0.85	0.19	0.39	0.00	--	--	0.19	0.21
Net Issuance of Debt	9.00	-9.15	-0.09	-0.09	0.53	1.06	-1.17	-0.43	-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02
Other Financing	-4.75	0.00	--	--	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	--	--	-0.00	--	--	--	--
Cash Flow from Financing	3.42	-10.48	-2.99	0.02	0.52	0.91	-1.17	-1.05	-1.01	0.10	0.31	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.17	0.19

Net Change in Cash	1.31	1.95	-1.41	1.27	-2.35	0.10	3.58	-0.34	0.46	-0.26	2.89	-3.04	-0.60	1.35	2.03	0.11

Free Cash Flow	-1.70	24.31	-7.57	-0.23	-2.91	-0.85	1.78	0.60	1.41	-0.33	2.68	-3.00	-0.57	1.37	1.86	0.02
Valuation Ratios (Daily)	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

PE Ratio(ttm)
Price to Tangible Book
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio
PS Ratio
EV-to-Revenue
EV-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBIT
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)
Forward Rate of Return
Shiller PE Ratio
Valuation and Quality	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Month End Stock Price
Net Cash (per share)
Net Current Asset Value (per share)
DCF (per share)
Median PS (per share)
Graham Number (per share)
Altman Z-Score
Piotroski F-Score
Beneish M-Score

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MPAC Quarterly/Annuals Reports

MPAC: 10-Q - MOD PAC CORP (0001191857) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-10-31
MPAC: 10-Q - MOD PAC CORP (0001191857) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-05-02
MPAC: 10-K - MOD PAC CORP (0001191857) (Filer): (10-K) - 2012-02-21
MPAC: 10-Q - MOD PAC CORP (0001191857) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-11-02
MPAC: 10-Q - MOD PAC CORP (0001191857) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-08-03

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