10 Year Financial Data of Providence Service Corporation (PRSC)

23.96 (1y: +81%)

Market Cap	312.52 M	P/E(ttm)	26.40
Enterprise Value	356.69 M	P/B	2.76

PRSC- NAS (USA)
Providence Service Corporation

Currently 1/5

Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
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$23.96

1 Severe Warning Sign 2 Medium Warning Signs

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Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs*	5 yrs*	12 months*
Revenue Growth (%)	28.6	10.2	13.3
EBITDA Growth (%)	0	0	2.1
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	0	18.4	289.4
Book Value Growth (%)	-4.8	35.9	4.3

*12-month growth rate is calculated with the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) of the last 12 months over the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) over the previous 12 months. 5-year and 10-year growth rates are calculated with least-square regression based on the 5-year and 10-year numbers.

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data

Per Share Data	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue per Share ($)	13.37	10.37	14.74	16.43	23.91	55.19	60.63	58.78	70.78	82.81	82.82	19.41	20.79	21.01	21.62	19.40
EBITDA per Share	1.77	1.39	1.89	1.63	2.60	-10.90	5.04	4.67	3.78	2.94	3.33	0.76	0.59	0.67	0.91	1.16
Free Cashflow per Share	-0.16	0.07	0.76	0.49	1.36	0.62	4.35	2.26	1.48	2.47	4.05	0.37	0.43	1.62	0.04	1.96
Earnings per Share ($)	-0.25	0.76	0.95	0.80	1.19	-12.42	1.60	1.78	1.27	0.64	0.91	0.23	0.11	0.09	0.22	0.49
Book Value per Share	9.87	6.91	8.22	13.62	15.15	2.44	4.19	5.47	7.66	8.37	8.28	7.94	8.11	8.09	8.43	8.28
Month End Stock Price	16.33	20.98	28.79	25.13	28.14	1.45	15.80	16.07	13.76	16.99	18.49	15.51	13.71	12.99	16.99	18.49
Ratios	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Return on Equity %	6.10	11.00	11.60	5.90	8.00	-508	38.10	28.90	16.60	7.60	22.40	11.60	5.20	4.40	10.40	22.40
Return on Assets %	5.00	9.30	7.90	4.90	2.60	-42.60	5.50	6.10	4.50	2.20	6.40	3.20	1.60	1.20	2.80	6.40
Return on Capital - Joel Greenblatt %	66.30	57.90	59.10	52.30	84.30	-309	194	184	78.60	75.40	360	52.80	39.60	68.40	103	360
Debt to Equity	0.09	0.02	0.23	0.01	1.36	7.76	3.69	2.23	1.48	1.16	1.06	1.39	1.34	1.30	1.16	1.06

Gross Margin %	23.50	25.80	25.20	22.10	21.60	11.80	13.80	13.20	10.50	8.60	10.40	8.80	7.80	8.40	9.40	10.40
Operating Margin %	11.60	11.90	11.30	8.00	9.00	-21.60	6.70	6.50	3.90	2.20	4.70	2.50	1.60	1.80	2.90	4.70
Net Margin %	4.50	7.30	6.50	4.90	5.00	-22.50	2.60	2.70	1.80	0.80	2.40	1.20	0.50	0.40	1.00	2.40

Days Sales Outstanding	78.70	89.80	84.50	91.30	106	44.90	42.00	35.60	35.70	34.30	30.30	35.20	32.20	31.80	33.00	30.30
Days Inventory	--	--	--	--	0.40	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Inventory Turnover	--	--	--	--	972	8,025	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

Debt to Revenue	0.06	0.01	0.13	0.01	0.86	0.34	0.26	0.21	0.16	0.12	0.45	0.57	0.52	0.50	0.45	0.45
COGS to Revenue	0.77	0.74	0.75	0.78	0.78	0.88	0.86	0.87	0.89	0.91	0.90	0.91	0.92	0.92	0.91	0.90
Inventory to Revenue	--	--	--	--	0.00	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Interest Exp. to Revenue %	-2.64	-0.27	-0.53	0.31	-0.56	-2.69	-2.55	-1.82	-1.06	-0.68	-0.62	-0.72	-0.67	-0.70	-0.63	-0.62

Asset Turnover	1.11	1.28	1.22	1.00	0.52	1.89	2.09	2.27	2.49	2.82	0.69	0.67	0.70	0.70	0.73	0.69
Buyback Ratio	-1,369	-193	-27.10	-705	-16.40	0.30	-0.70	-2.00	-0.30	-11.20	-28.10	-2.60	-10.00	-3.10	-24.10	-28.10
Income Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue	59.28	96.97	146	192	285	692	801	880	943	1,106	1,127	260	279	280	287	281
Cost of Goods Sold	45.37	71.95	109	150	224	610	690	763	844	1,011	1,026	237	257	257	260	252
Gross Profit	13.90	25.02	36.77	42.34	61.58	81.75	111	116	99.16	95.11	101	22.96	21.77	23.58	26.81	29.29

Selling, General, &Admin. Expense	6.12	12.12	18.18	23.44	30.88	48.41	44.01	46.46	48.86	53.38	53.10	12.74	13.79	12.07	14.78	12.45
Earnings Before DDA	7.85	13.01	18.71	19.06	30.99	-137	66.58	69.96	50.30	39.22	45.84	10.22	7.98	9.00	12.03	16.83

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	0.97	1.43	2.22	3.62	5.28	12.72	12.85	12.65	13.66	15.02	15.13	3.63	3.61	4.02	3.77	3.73

Operating Income	6.88	11.58	16.50	15.44	25.71	-149	53.73	57.30	36.64	24.20	30.71	6.59	4.37	4.98	8.26	13.11
Interest Income/Expense	-1.56	-0.26	-0.77	0.60	-1.60	-18.60	-20.43	-16.01	-10.00	-7.51	-7.39	-1.87	-1.87	-1.97	-1.81	-1.75
Net Income	2.65	7.09	9.43	9.38	14.39	-156	21.13	23.63	16.94	8.48	12.12	3.04	1.42	1.16	2.87	6.68

Preferred dividends	3.75	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Earnings per Share ($)	-0.25	0.76	0.95	0.80	1.19	-12.42	1.60	1.78	1.27	0.64	0.91	0.23	0.11	0.09	0.22	0.49
Total Shares Outstanding	4.43	9.36	9.89	11.68	11.93	12.53	13.21	14.97	13.32	13.36	14.51	13.41	13.42	13.34	13.25	14.51
Balance Sheet	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Cash and cash equivalents	18.98	10.66	8.99	40.70	35.38	29.36	51.16	61.26	43.18	55.86	83.08	47.06	50.18	63.76	55.86	83.08
Accounts Receivable	12.78	23.85	33.73	47.98	83.09	85.06	92.07	85.88	92.30	104	93.72	101	98.80	98.04	104	93.72
Inventory	--	--	--	--	0.23	0.08	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Other Current Assets	1.56	4.01	7.25	7.05	23.26	27.17	24.15	24.43	22.61	16.45	17.73	20.48	27.87	22.16	16.45	17.73
Total Current Assets	33.32	38.51	49.97	95.73	142	142	167	172	158	176	195	168	177	184	176	195

Property, Plant and Equipment	1.77	2.32	2.39	2.78	11.56	11.98	11.17	16.40	28.56	30.38	29.86	31.01	31.44	30.58	30.38	29.86
Intangible Assets	14.42	32.23	64.23	85.69	379	194	188	180	173	164	162	172	170	165	164	162
Other Long Term Assets	3.78	2.87	2.43	8.13	19.50	17.69	16.93	18.74	19.19	21.59	21.78	18.75	22.06	21.96	21.59	21.78
Total Assets	53.29	75.92	119	192	552	366	383	387	379	392	408	390	400	402	392	408

Accounts Payable	5.73	9.24	13.42	24.49	75.25	62.29	78.31	78.31	82.77	98.86	108	89.55	95.06	103	98.86	108
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	1.58	0.40	4.08	0.33	8.95	14.27	17.48	18.11	10.00	14.00	15.00	10.00	11.25	12.50	14.00	15.00
Other Current Liabilities	0.00	0.95	2.04	3.78	12.41	13.65	21.36	17.27	14.12	19.77	18.55	12.81	18.72	18.93	19.77	18.55
Total Current Liabilities	7.32	10.59	19.54	28.60	96.61	90.21	117	114	107	133	142	112	125	134	133	142

Long-Term Debt	2.24	0.73	14.24	0.62	236	223	187	164	140	116	112	138	134	128	116	112
Other Long-Term Liabilities	--	--	3.98	4.06	38.25	21.34	23.85	27.26	29.61	31.38	33.72	32.80	31.84	31.77	31.38	33.72
Total Liabilities	9.56	11.32	37.77	33.28	371	335	328	305	277	280	288	283	291	294	280	288

Common Stock	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
Retained Earnings	-7.93	-0.85	8.58	17.96	32.35	-123	-102	-78.50	-61.56	-53.08	-46.40	-58.52	-57.10	-55.94	-53.08	-46.40
Additional Paid-In Capital	51.77	65.73	72.95	141	159	170	171	173	176	181	183	177	179	180	181	183
Treasury Stock	-0.12	-0.30	-0.30	-0.30	-11.26	-11.38	-11.38	-11.38	-11.44	-15.09	-15.48	-11.55	-11.60	-15.09	-15.09	-15.48
Total Equity	43.73	64.60	81.25	159	181	30.62	55.38	81.79	102	112	120	106	109	108	112	120
Cashflow Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Net Income	2.65	7.09	9.43	9.38	14.39	-156	21.13	23.63	16.94	8.48	12.12	3.04	1.42	1.16	2.87	6.68
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	0.97	1.43	2.22	3.62	5.28	12.72	12.85	12.65	13.66	15.02	15.13	3.63	3.61	4.02	3.77	3.73
Cash Flow from Others	-3.36	-7.01	-3.19	-6.20	-1.47	155	27.12	7.75	0.44	18.98	35.89	2.49	2.92	17.66	-4.08	19.39
Cash Flow from Operations	0.26	1.50	8.46	6.80	18.20	12.39	61.10	44.03	31.04	42.49	63.14	9.15	7.95	22.84	2.55	29.80

Investment for Property, Plant & Equipement	-0.95	-0.88	-0.92	-1.08	-1.95	-4.66	-3.70	-10.27	-11.31	-9.52	-6.79	-4.17	-2.16	-1.24	-1.96	-1.44
Cash Flow from Acquisitions	-2.97	-15.83	-24.34	-17.61	-242	-10.27	-1.04	--	-4.89	-0.19	--	-0.19	--	--	--	--
Cash Flow from Investing	-8.20	-15.70	-28.76	-25.57	-248	-9.74	-5.63	-12.69	-14.62	-6.64	-5.21	-2.83	-2.25	-0.96	-0.60	-1.40

Net Issuance of Stock	36.22	13.64	2.55	66.10	-8.60	0.35	0.15	0.47	0.01	-2.71	-1.18	-0.04	0.09	-3.45	0.69	1.49
Net Issuance of Debt	-13.01	-3.69	16.10	-17.43	243	-8.74	-34.42	-21.98	-31.83	-20.52	-20.76	-2.51	-2.50	-5.00	-10.50	-2.75
Cash Flow for Dividends	-1.07	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Other Financing	-0.20	-0.10	0.00	1.81	-10.21	0.18	0.14	0.07	-2.64	0.03	0.17	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.16
Cash Flow from Financing	21.93	9.85	18.65	50.48	224	-8.21	-34.13	-21.45	-34.46	-23.20	-21.77	-2.53	-2.41	-8.46	-9.79	-1.10

Net Change in Cash	13.99	-4.35	-1.66	31.71	-5.32	-6.01	21.79	10.10	-18.08	12.68	36.03	3.87	3.12	13.58	-7.89	27.22

Free Cash Flow	-0.69	0.63	7.54	5.72	16.26	7.72	57.40	33.76	19.73	32.97	56.34	4.99	5.79	21.60	0.59	28.36
Valuation Ratios (Daily)	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

PE Ratio(ttm)
Price to Tangible Book
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio
PS Ratio
EV-to-Revenue
EV-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBIT
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)
Forward Rate of Return
Shiller PE Ratio
Valuation and Quality	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Month End Stock Price
Net Cash (per share)
Net Current Asset Value (per share)
DCF (per share)
Median PS (per share)
Peter Lynch Fair Value (per share)
Graham Number (per share)
Altman Z-Score
Piotroski F-Score
Beneish M-Score

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PRSC Quarterly/Annuals Reports

PRSC: 10-Q - PROVIDENCE SERVICE CORP (0001220754) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-08-09
PRSC: 10-Q - PROVIDENCE SERVICE CORP (0001220754) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-05-10
PRSC: 10-K/A - PROVIDENCE SERVICE CORP (0001220754) (Filer): (10-K/A) - 2012-04-30
PRSC: 10-K - PROVIDENCE SERVICE CORP (0001220754) (Filer): (10-K) - 2012-03-15
PRSC: 10-Q - PROVIDENCE SERVICE CORP (0001220754) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-11-04

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