10 Year Financial Data of Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)

83.39 (1y: +12%)

Market Cap	6.19 B	P/E(ttm)	15.80
Enterprise Value	6.2 B	P/B	5.10

AAP- NYSE (USA)
Advance Auto Parts Inc

Currently 5/5

Business Predictability Rank: 5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 5-Star stocks: 12.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 3%.
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$83.39

5 Medium Warning Signs 1 Good Sign

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Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs*	5 yrs*	12 months*
Revenue Growth (%)	12.1	13	4.6
EBITDA Growth (%)	14	20.5	4.9
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	26.8	16.2	-23.1
Book Value Growth (%)	10.4	5.5	43.2

*12-month growth rate is calculated with the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) of the last 12 months over the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) over the previous 12 months. 5-year and 10-year growth rates are calculated with least-square regression based on the 5-year and 10-year numbers.

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data

Per Share Data	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12

Revenue per Share ($)	31.16	33.30	38.78	43.09	46.29	53.96	56.91	67.98	80.06	83.78	83.77	17.91	26.37	19.72	19.70	17.98
EBITDA per Share	3.51	3.84	4.81	5.07	5.39	5.90	6.36	8.60	10.91	11.43	11.43	2.07	3.78	2.86	2.64	2.15
Free Cashflow per Share	2.27	0.74	0.99	0.70	1.91	3.08	5.33	5.35	7.28	5.59	5.59	2.12	2.06	1.51	0.52	1.50
Earnings per Share ($)	1.11	1.66	2.13	2.16	2.28	2.50	2.83	3.95	5.11	5.22	5.22	0.90	1.79	1.34	1.21	0.88
Dividends Per Share	--	--	--	0.24	0.24	0.24	0.24	0.24	0.24	0.24	0.24	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.06
Book Value per Share	5.63	6.38	8.36	9.62	9.78	11.28	13.48	11.93	11.00	16.35	16.38	11.44	13.19	14.30	15.51	16.38
Month End Stock Price	27.72	29.17	43.46	35.56	37.99	33.65	40.48	66.15	69.63	72.35	72.35	69.63	88.57	68.22	68.44	72.35
Ratios	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12

Return on Equity %	19.80	26.00	25.50	22.40	23.30	22.10	21.10	33.30	46.50	32.00	21.60	31.20	54.40	37.60	31.20	21.60
Return on Assets %	6.30	8.50	9.20	8.60	8.50	8.00	8.80	10.30	10.80	8.40	5.60	7.20	13.20	9.60	8.40	5.60
Return on Capital - Joel Greenblatt %	25.60	27.40	30.30	26.60	24.90	25.40	31.90	43.00	52.30	49.80	34.40	35.20	69.60	52.40	44.40	34.40
Debt to Equity	0.75	0.68	0.53	0.50	0.67	0.57	0.16	0.29	0.49	0.50	0.50	0.49	0.61	0.57	0.52	0.50

Gross Margin %	45.90	46.50	47.20	47.70	47.90	47.90	48.90	50.00	49.70	49.90	49.90	49.00	50.10	49.90	49.80	49.90
Operating Margin %	8.30	8.70	9.60	8.70	8.60	8.10	8.40	9.90	10.80	10.60	8.50	8.40	11.50	11.60	10.30	8.50
Net Margin %	3.60	5.00	5.50	5.00	4.90	4.60	5.00	5.80	6.40	6.20	4.90	5.00	6.80	6.80	6.10	4.90

Days Sales Outstanding	8.90	9.90	8.10	7.70	6.40	6.90	6.20	7.70	8.30	13.50	15.70	9.60	6.80	9.90	12.80	15.70
Days Inventory	215	217	222	221	221	221	215	230	241	271	315	275	196	261	273	315
Inventory Turnover	1.70	1.70	1.60	1.70	1.60	1.70	1.70	1.60	1.50	1.30	0.30	0.30	0.50	0.30	0.30	0.30

Debt to Revenue	0.14	0.13	0.12	0.11	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.05	0.07	0.10	0.46	0.31	0.31	0.41	0.41	0.46
COGS to Revenue	0.54	0.53	0.53	0.52	0.52	0.52	0.51	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.51	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50
Inventory to Revenue	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.30	0.32	0.33	0.37	1.74	1.54	1.08	1.44	1.51	1.74
Interest Exp. to Revenue %	-1.08	-0.53	-0.76	-0.78	-0.72	-0.66	-0.43	-0.45	-0.50	-0.55	-0.60	-0.38	-0.50	-0.54	-0.55	-0.60

Asset Turnover	1.76	1.71	1.68	1.72	1.73	1.74	1.76	1.77	1.69	1.35	0.29	0.36	0.48	0.35	0.34	0.29
Buyback Ratio	-20.30	-10.90	-12.20	-7.40	-17.90	-14.80	-13.10	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Dividend Payout Ratio	--	--	--	0.11	0.11	0.10	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.05	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.05	0.07
Income Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12

Revenue	3,494	3,770	4,265	4,617	4,844	5,142	5,413	5,925	6,170	6,205	6,205	1,328	1,957	1,461	1,458	1,329
Cost of Goods Sold	1,889	2,017	2,250	2,415	2,523	2,679	2,768	2,964	3,101	3,107	3,107	677	977	732	732	666
Gross Profit	1,605	1,753	2,014	2,201	2,321	2,463	2,644	2,961	3,069	3,098	3,098	651	981	729	725	663

Selling, General, &Admin. Expense	1,306	1,425	1,606	1,798	1,905	2,048	2,190	2,376	2,405	2,441	2,441	539	756	560	575	550
Earnings Before DDA	394	435	529	543	564	562	605	749	841	847	847	153	280	212	196	159

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	106	106	121	140	148	147	151	164	176	190	190	41.47	55.80	42.73	45.24	45.78

Operating Income	288	329	408	403	416	415	454	585	665	657	657	112	225	169	150	113
Interest Income/Expense	-37.58	-20.07	-32.38	-35.99	-34.81	-33.73	-23.34	-26.86	-30.95	-33.84	-33.84	-5.07	-9.85	-7.95	-8.05	-7.99
Net Income	125	188	235	231	238	238	270	346	395	388	388	66.44	134	99.61	89.50	65.06

Earnings per Share ($)	1.11	1.66	2.13	2.16	2.28	2.50	2.83	3.95	5.11	5.22	5.22	0.90	1.79	1.34	1.21	0.88
Total Shares Outstanding	112	113	110	107	105	95.31	95.11	87.16	77.07	74.06	73.93	74.11	74.22	74.08	73.99	73.93
Balance Sheet	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12

Cash and cash equivalents	11.49	56.32	40.78	11.13	14.65	37.36	100	59.21	57.90	598	598	57.90	364	449	479	598
Accounts Receivable	84.80	102	94.69	97.05	84.98	97.20	92.56	124	140	230	230	140	146	159	205	230
Inventory	1,114	1,201	1,367	1,463	1,529	1,623	1,632	1,864	2,043	2,309	2,309	2,043	2,107	2,096	2,193	2,309
Other Current Assets	16.39	17.69	45.37	40.46	53.72	49.98	63.17	76.97	52.75	47.61	47.61	52.75	52.58	60.88	70.58	47.61
Total Current Assets	1,226	1,377	1,548	1,612	1,683	1,808	1,888	2,124	2,294	3,184	3,184	2,294	2,670	2,765	2,948	3,184

Property, Plant and Equipment	713	786	899	995	1,048	1,071	1,100	1,143	1,223	1,292	1,292	1,223	1,234	1,264	1,270	1,292
Intangible Assets	--	--	67.09	61.64	60.56	62.17	60.81	59.75	108	105	105	108	107	106	105	105
Other Long Term Assets	43.92	38.32	28.26	14.09	14.23	22.86	24.20	27.03	31.07	32.62	32.62	31.07	34.91	34.44	33.85	32.62
Total Assets	1,983	2,202	2,542	2,683	2,806	2,964	3,073	3,354	3,656	4,614	4,614	3,656	4,045	4,169	4,357	4,614

Accounts Payable	742	786	1,014	905	990	1,164	1,391	1,728	2,039	2,409	2,409	2,039	2,114	2,156	2,239	2,409
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	53.31	51.88	82.93	34.27	184	158	1.34	0.97	0.85	0.63	0.63	0.85	0.81	0.76	0.70	0.63
Other Current Liabilities	58.55	123	44.50	175	51.39	43.18	73.26	119	148	150	150	148	134	136	141	150
Total Current Liabilities	854	961	1,141	1,113	1,226	1,365	1,466	1,848	2,188	2,560	2,560	2,188	2,249	2,292	2,381	2,560

Long-Term Debt	423	438	406	477	505	455	203	301	415	604	604	415	600	600	600	604
Other Long-Term Liabilities	75.10	80.22	74.87	61.23	50.78	68.74	122	166	205	239	239	205	218	218	229	239
Total Liabilities	1,352	1,480	1,622	1,652	1,782	1,889	1,791	2,315	2,808	3,403	3,403	2,808	3,066	3,110	3,210	3,403

Common Stock	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
Retained Earnings	-15.34	173	407	613	824	1,040	1,287	1,613	1,990	715	715	1,990	474	569	654	715
Additional Paid-In Capital	647	695	565	414	275	336	393	457	500	520	520	500	507	512	516	520
Treasury Stock	--	-146	-55.67	--	-74.64	-291	-391	-1,029	-1,645	-27.10	-27.10	-1,645	-5.17	-25.04	-25.19	-27.10
Total Equity	631	722	920	1,031	1,024	1,075	1,282	1,039	848	1,211	1,211	848	979	1,059	1,147	1,211
Cashflow Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12

Net Income	125	188	235	231	238	238	270	346	395	388	388	66.44	134	99.61	89.50	65.06
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	106	106	121	140	148	147	151	164	176	190	190	41.47	55.80	42.73	45.24	45.78
Cash Flow from Others	125	-30.15	-30.07	-37.67	24.73	93.76	278	156	258	108	108	110	46.11	33.63	-41.34	69.67
Cash Flow from Operations	356	264	325	334	411	479	700	666	829	685	685	218	235	176	93.40	180

Investment for Property, Plant & Equipement	-101	-180	-216	-259	-211	-185	-193	-200	-268	-271	-271	-60.62	-82.46	-63.82	-54.93	-69.97
Cash Flow from Acquisitions	--	--	-99.30	-12.50	--	--	--	--	-23.13	-8.37	-8.37	-4.96	--	--	-5.33	-3.04
Cash Flow from Investing	-85.47	-167	-303	-259	-202	-182	-186	-199	-290	-273	-273	-65.41	-82.28	-63.74	-60.18	-66.78

Net Issuance of Stock	25.41	-126	-72.90	-120	-240	-184	-100	-622	-631	-27.10	-27.10	-1.96	-5.17	-19.87	-0.15	-1.90
Net Issuance of Debt	-264	20.38	-27.53	456	49.62	-59.58	-263	97.64	89.98	177	177	-200	169	-0.03	1.65	7.07
Cash Flow for Dividends	--	--	--	-19.15	-25.15	-23.18	-22.80	-21.05	-18.55	-17.60	-17.60	-0.01	-8.78	-4.41	-4.39	-0.01
Other Financing	-34.31	53.39	62.46	-421	11.02	-7.46	-65.38	38.23	19.54	-4.85	-4.85	41.16	-1.76	-3.40	0.46	-0.14
Cash Flow from Financing	-273	-52.14	-37.97	-105	-205	-274	-451	-508	-540	128	128	-160	153	-27.72	-2.43	5.01

Net Change in Cash	-2.40	44.83	-15.54	-29.66	3.53	22.70	62.66	-40.81	-1.31	540	540	-8.03	306	84.51	30.79	119

Free Cash Flow	255	84.03	109	75.02	200	294	507	467	561	414	414	157	153	112	38.47	111
Valuation Ratios (Daily)	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12

PE Ratio(ttm)
Price to Tangible Book
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio
PS Ratio
EV-to-Revenue
EV-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBIT
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)
Forward Rate of Return
Shiller PE Ratio
Valuation and Quality	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12

Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Month End Stock Price
Net Cash (per share)
Net Current Asset Value (per share)
DCF (per share)
Median PS (per share)
Peter Lynch Fair Value (per share)
Graham Number (per share)
Altman Z-Score
Piotroski F-Score
Beneish M-Score

Switch to Another Stock:

AAP Quarterly/Annuals Reports

AAP: 10-Q - ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (0001158449) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-11-13
AAP: 10-Q - ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (0001158449) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-08-20
AAP: 10-Q - ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (0001158449) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-05-29
AAP: 10-K - ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (0001158449) (Filer): (10-K) - 2012-02-28
AAP: 10-Q - ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (0001158449) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-11-16

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