10 Year Financial Data of Fossil, Inc. (FOSL)

107.75 (1y: +49%)

Market Cap	6.24 B	P/E(ttm)	18.10
Enterprise Value	6.19 B	P/B	5.20

FOSL- NAS (USA)
Fossil, Inc.

Currently 4.5/5

Business Predictability Rank: 4.5-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4.5-Star stocks: 10.6% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 10%.
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$107.75

3 Medium Warning Signs 3 Good Signs

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Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs*	5 yrs*	12 months*
Revenue Growth (%)	17	21.5	17.5
EBITDA Growth (%)	20.9	30.2	14.8
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	0	66.6	268.1
Book Value Growth (%)	14.9	13.5	15.1

*12-month growth rate is calculated with the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) of the last 12 months over the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) over the previous 12 months. 5-year and 10-year growth rates are calculated with least-square regression based on the 5-year and 10-year numbers.

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data

Per Share Data	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue per Share ($)	10.67	12.89	14.21	17.64	20.37	23.17	23.05	30.00	40.14	46.54	48.60	9.44	10.24	11.22	15.75	11.39
EBITDA per Share	1.77	2.23	1.89	2.26	3.12	3.56	3.77	6.16	8.19	9.03	9.39	1.57	1.66	2.13	3.71	1.89
Free Cashflow per Share	0.61	0.72	-0.27	1.37	1.21	0.31	3.39	2.40	1.87	5.35	6.11	0.41	1.23	0.04	3.74	1.10
Earnings per Share ($)	0.93	1.22	1.07	1.13	1.75	2.02	2.07	3.77	4.61	5.59	5.90	0.93	0.92	1.26	2.51	1.21
Book Value per Share	5.79	7.04	7.19	8.75	10.97	11.74	14.34	15.43	17.29	20.09	20.69	17.97	18.23	18.82	20.49	20.69
Month End Stock Price	19.02	25.64	21.51	22.58	41.98	16.70	33.56	70.48	79.36	93.10	96.60	132	76.54	84.70	93.10	96.60
Ratios	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Return on Equity %	16.10	17.30	14.80	12.90	16.00	17.20	14.50	24.40	26.60	27.80	23.20	20.80	20.40	26.80	49.20	23.20
Return on Assets %	11.60	11.60	10.50	9.10	11.00	12.70	10.90	17.40	17.90	18.60	15.60	14.80	13.60	16.40	32.80	15.60
Return on Capital - Joel Greenblatt %	40.90	44.00	26.50	30.80	39.30	34.80	42.00	60.50	55.70	54.40	40.80	36.80	39.20	46.80	91.20	40.80
Debt to Equity	0.01	0.06	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.06	0.12	0.02	0.10	0.16	0.06	0.12

Gross Margin %	51.40	53.10	51.30	50.20	51.80	53.80	54.60	56.90	56.10	56.20	55.60	55.80	56.00	55.80	56.90	55.60
Operating Margin %	14.00	14.70	10.50	10.20	13.00	13.00	13.70	18.50	18.40	17.10	13.90	14.10	13.80	16.50	21.60	13.90
Net Margin %	8.70	9.40	7.50	6.40	8.60	8.70	9.00	12.60	11.50	12.00	10.60	9.90	9.00	11.20	15.90	10.60

Days Sales Outstanding	57.00	59.00	49.80	46.70	57.90	47.50	49.50	47.30	43.00	46.40	36.50	34.50	32.40	38.70	34.90	36.50
Days Inventory	122	145	174	138	131	146	128	155	158	148	157	179	171	177	113	157
Inventory Turnover	3.00	2.50	2.10	2.70	2.80	2.50	2.90	2.40	2.30	2.50	0.60	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.80	0.60

Debt to Revenue	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.22	0.04	0.18	0.27	0.08	0.22
COGS to Revenue	0.49	0.47	0.49	0.50	0.48	0.46	0.45	0.43	0.44	0.44	0.44	0.44	0.44	0.44	0.43	0.44
Inventory to Revenue	0.16	0.19	0.23	0.19	0.17	0.18	0.16	0.18	0.19	0.18	0.76	0.87	0.82	0.86	0.53	0.76
Interest Exp. to Revenue %	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.20	0.31	0.23	-0.02	-0.06	-0.08	-0.15	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-0.21	-0.16	-0.18

Asset Turnover	1.33	1.23	1.40	1.42	1.28	1.46	1.21	1.38	1.56	1.55	0.37	0.38	0.37	0.37	0.51	0.37
Buyback Ratio	-12.00	-11.60	-7.20	-6.60	-23.60	-3.60	--	--	-2.50	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Income Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue	781	960	1,040	1,214	1,433	1,583	1,548	2,031	2,567	2,858	2,949	590	636	684	948	681
Cost of Goods Sold	380	450	507	605	691	732	703	876	1,128	1,251	1,293	261	280	303	408	302
Gross Profit	401	510	534	609	742	851	845	1,155	1,439	1,607	1,656	329	356	382	540	378

Selling, General, &Admin. Expense	292	369	424	486	556	645	633	779	967	1,118	1,156	246	268	268	335	284
Earnings Before DDA	130	166	138	155	219	243	253	417	524	554	569	98.09	103	130	223	113

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	19.85	24.66	29.03	32.05	32.80	37.64	41.33	40.56	51.93	65.54	69.07	15.23	15.05	16.87	18.39	18.76

Operating Income	110	141	109	123	186	206	212	376	472	489	500	82.86	88.10	113	205	94.32
Interest Income/Expense	-0.06	-0.03	-0.32	-2.44	4.47	3.65	-0.24	-1.12	-2.04	-4.27	-5.58	-0.81	-1.43	-1.44	-1.48	-1.23
Net Income	68.34	90.57	78.06	77.58	123	138	139	255	295	343	357	58.14	57.34	76.79	151	72.19

Earnings per Share ($)	0.93	1.22	1.07	1.13	1.75	2.02	2.07	3.77	4.61	5.59	5.90	0.93	0.92	1.26	2.51	1.21
Total Shares Outstanding	73.18	74.46	73.21	68.82	70.33	68.32	67.15	67.69	63.97	61.40	59.78	62.46	62.09	60.96	60.19	59.78
Balance Sheet	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Cash and cash equivalents	164	192	64.01	140	268	178	413	402	288	177	241	261	139	143	177	241
Accounts Receivable	122	155	142	155	227	206	210	263	302	363	273	223	226	291	363	273
Inventory	127	179	241	228	248	292	246	372	489	506	520	512	524	589	506	520
Other Current Assets	26.57	47.09	58.89	57.33	81.02	87.09	77.81	104	156	96.98	113	161	161	152	96.98	113
Total Current Assets	439	573	506	581	825	763	946	1,141	1,235	1,144	1,148	1,157	1,051	1,175	1,144	1,148

Property, Plant and Equipment	116	123	148	171	186	207	212	217	282	335	329	289	301	318	335	329
Intangible Assets	--	80.68	81.38	89.26	97.87	103	104	100	118	212	321	117	294	294	212	321
Other Long Term Assets	32.16	7.02	9.35	10.85	13.90	13.01	13.73	9.02	7.52	151	58.70	7.67	63.30	63.13	151	58.70
Total Assets	588	784	745	853	1,123	1,087	1,276	1,468	1,643	1,842	1,857	1,571	1,710	1,851	1,842	1,857

Accounts Payable	97.20	134	147	159	228	194	242	334	382	404	313	284	317	380	404	313
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	2.81	27.09	8.55	11.34	9.99	5.27	3.62	5.31	9.01	2.79	1.60	12.85	7.24	5.95	2.79	1.60
Other Current Liabilities	25.76	48.60	30.23	53.07	40.05	7.33	--	--	--	0.00	-0.00	--	--	--	0.00	-0.00
Total Current Liabilities	126	210	186	223	278	207	245	339	391	407	314	297	324	386	407	314

Long-Term Debt	--	1.49	1.22	--	3.45	4.73	4.54	4.51	6.24	75.14	151	7.74	106	179	75.14	151
Other Long-Term Liabilities	38.36	48.23	31.58	27.02	69.11	73.45	63.88	79.45	139	127	154	145	148	139	127	154
Total Liabilities	164	260	219	250	351	285	314	423	537	608	620	449	578	704	608	620

Common Stock	0.47	0.71	0.68	0.68	0.70	0.67	0.67	0.68	0.68	0.60	0.59	0.62	0.61	0.60	0.60	0.59
Retained Earnings	379	470	487	529	646	695	835	1,090	1,385	1,066	1,084	961	980	979	1,066	1,084
Additional Paid-In Capital	25.88	39.05	35.16	53.46	88.00	81.91	93.04	117	149	138	140	130	134	140	138	140
Treasury Stock	--	--	--	-1.34	--	--	--	-183	-451	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Total Equity	423	524	526	602	772	802	963	1,044	1,106	1,234	1,237	1,122	1,132	1,147	1,234	1,237
Cashflow Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Net Income	68.34	90.57	78.06	77.58	123	138	144	265	307	354	367	61.07	60.39	79.88	153	73.98
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	19.85	24.66	29.03	32.05	32.80	37.64	41.33	40.56	51.93	65.54	69.07	15.23	15.05	16.87	18.39	18.76
Cash Flow from Others	-14.56	-33.53	-73.30	38.83	-24.09	-66.79	80.36	-96.27	-108	31.81	65.77	-40.80	25.45	-64.63	112	-6.83
Cash Flow from Operations	73.63	81.70	33.79	148	132	109	266	209	251	452	502	35.50	101	32.11	283	85.90

Investment for Property, Plant & Equipement	-28.93	-28.41	-53.20	-54.03	-47.08	-87.60	-38.07	-46.81	-131	-123	-133	-10.06	-24.79	-29.85	-58.11	-20.21
Cash Flow from Acquisitions	-0.10	-47.86	-4.44	-7.23	-1.58	--	--	-0.86	--	-229	-244	--	-229	-0.01	--	-15.17
Cash Flow from Investing	-30.70	-76.28	-60.44	-61.39	-52.54	-81.53	-38.30	-47.53	-110	-345	-370	-10.21	-253	-23.53	-58.24	-34.92

Net Issuance of Stock	-6.14	3.56	-69.61	-20.81	12.85	-101	--	-199	-263	-285	-279	-67.88	-59.15	-78.60	-79.72	-61.19
Net Issuance of Debt	0.30	23.63	-18.16	2.03	1.36	-5.75	-1.94	0.85	4.05	56.18	128	3.90	89.65	69.97	-107	75.38
Cash Flow for Dividends	-1.65	-3.40	-8.01	--	--	--	-2.69	-7.59	-9.37	-8.20	-4.42	-3.79	-0.31	-0.31	-3.79	-0.00
Other Financing	0.00	-0.00	--	-1.34	15.52	-6.09	4.92	35.37	18.52	17.78	9.60	14.25	0.25	2.00	1.28	6.07
Cash Flow from Financing	-7.49	23.79	-95.77	-20.13	29.73	-113	0.29	-171	-250	-220	-146	-53.52	30.43	-6.94	-190	20.26

Net Change in Cash	45.71	27.37	-128	75.08	122	-83.23	233	-12.38	-105	-110	-19.08	-27.02	-122	4.00	34.40	64.16

Free Cash Flow	44.70	53.30	-19.41	94.43	84.88	21.36	228	162	120	329	369	25.44	76.10	2.27	225	65.70
Valuation Ratios (Daily)	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

PE Ratio(ttm)
Price to Tangible Book
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio
PS Ratio
EV-to-Revenue
EV-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBIT
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)
Forward Rate of Return
Shiller PE Ratio
Valuation and Quality	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Month End Stock Price
Net Cash (per share)
Net Current Asset Value (per share)
DCF (per share)
Median PS (per share)
Peter Lynch Fair Value (per share)
Graham Number (per share)
Altman Z-Score
Piotroski F-Score
Beneish M-Score

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FOSL Quarterly/Annuals Reports

FOSL: 10-Q - FOSSIL INC (0000883569) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-11-08
FOSL: 10-Q - FOSSIL INC (0000883569) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-08-09
FOSL: 10-Q - FOSSIL INC (0000883569) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-05-10
FOSL: 10-K - FOSSIL INC (0000883569) (Filer): (10-K) - 2012-02-29
FOSL: 10-Q - FOSSIL INC (0000883569) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-11-10

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