10 Year Financial Data of Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG)

59.46 (1y: +26%)

Market Cap	12.99 B	P/E(ttm)	20.20
Enterprise Value	17.13 B	P/B	5.30

HOG- NYSE (USA)
Harley-Davidson Inc

Currently 1/5

Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
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$59.46

1 Severe Warning Sign 2 Medium Warning Signs

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Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs*	5 yrs*	12 months*
Revenue Growth (%)	3.9	1.4	6.3
EBITDA Growth (%)	3.1	7.6	15.9
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	0	0	-17.9
Book Value Growth (%)	-0.2	5.7	5.6

*12-month growth rate is calculated with the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) of the last 12 months over the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) over the previous 12 months. 5-year and 10-year growth rates are calculated with least-square regression based on the 5-year and 10-year numbers.

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data

Per Share Data	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue per Share ($)	15.19	16.91	18.98	23.32	22.92	23.86	20.47	20.70	22.61	24.34	25.08	6.18	7.49	5.48	5.16	6.95
EBITDA per Share	1.20	5.31	5.95	6.85	6.52	5.42	1.89	3.56	4.35	5.14	5.47	1.39	1.89	1.11	0.74	1.73
Free Cashflow per Share	2.33	2.55	2.71	2.04	2.23	-3.91	1.80	3.92	2.96	2.67	2.52	-0.43	1.41	1.71	-0.02	-0.58
Earnings per Share ($)	2.50	3.00	3.41	3.93	3.74	2.79	-0.24	0.62	2.55	2.72	2.96	0.74	1.07	0.59	0.31	0.99
Dividends Per Share	0.20	0.41	0.63	0.81	1.06	1.29	0.40	0.40	0.48	0.62	0.68	0.16	0.16	0.16	0.16	0.21
Book Value per Share	9.72	10.85	10.96	10.39	9.51	9.02	9.03	9.40	10.30	11.16	11.75	11.13	11.55	11.86	11.28	11.75
Month End Stock Price	47.53	60.75	51.49	70.47	46.71	16.97	25.20	34.67	38.87	48.83	53.30	49.08	45.73	42.37	48.83	53.30
Ratios	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Return on Equity %	25.70	27.60	31.10	37.80	39.30	30.90	-2.60	6.60	24.80	24.40	33.60	26.80	37.20	20.00	11.20	33.60
Return on Assets %	15.50	16.20	18.30	18.90	16.50	8.40	-0.60	1.60	6.20	6.80	9.60	7.20	10.80	5.20	3.20	9.60
Return on Capital - Joel Greenblatt %	9.20	68.00	60.20	55.00	42.70	20.50	6.90	19.10	29.10	34.60	44.40	37.20	54.80	40.80	16.00	44.40
Debt to Equity	0.34	0.40	0.39	0.62	0.88	1.85	2.67	2.61	2.36	2.00	1.99	2.16	2.00	1.55	2.00	1.99

Gross Margin %	36.00	37.90	38.20	39.50	36.90	34.50	39.30	43.40	41.50	38.70	40.50	42.90	41.90	39.40	36.90	40.50
Operating Margin %	3.60	27.10	27.50	25.90	24.90	18.40	4.10	11.50	15.60	17.90	22.20	19.30	22.60	17.40	9.90	22.20
Net Margin %	16.50	17.70	18.00	16.90	16.30	11.70	-1.20	3.00	11.30	11.20	14.30	12.00	14.30	10.70	6.00	14.30

Days Sales Outstanding	88.00	96.70	121	132	162	269	130	153	136	129	135	137	111	144	153	135
Days Inventory	25.60	26.60	24.50	28.10	35.30	39.90	40.60	43.30	49.10	42.00	40.50	52.10	29.20	45.50	48.50	40.50
Inventory Turnover	14.20	13.70	14.90	13.00	10.30	9.10	9.00	8.40	7.40	8.70	2.20	1.70	3.10	2.00	1.90	2.20

Debt to Revenue	0.22	0.26	0.23	0.28	0.37	0.70	1.18	1.18	1.08	0.91	3.37	3.90	3.08	3.35	4.36	3.37
COGS to Revenue	0.64	0.62	0.62	0.60	0.63	0.65	0.61	0.57	0.58	0.61	0.60	0.57	0.58	0.61	0.63	0.60
Inventory to Revenue	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.05	0.06	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.08	0.07	0.27	0.33	0.19	0.30	0.34	0.27
Interest Exp. to Revenue %	2.00	1.58	1.75	--	2.01	1.40	3.96	6.58	7.05	-0.69	-0.62	6.55	5.80	-0.80	-0.83	-0.62

Asset Turnover	0.94	0.92	1.02	1.12	1.01	0.72	0.52	0.52	0.55	0.61	0.17	0.15	0.19	0.13	0.13	0.17
Buyback Ratio	-2.50	-7.00	-3.30	-12.10	-2.30	-0.20	--	-5.40	--	-7.40	-6.20	--	--	-24.20	-13.60	-6.20
Dividend Payout Ratio	0.08	0.14	0.18	0.21	0.28	0.46	--	0.64	0.19	0.23	0.21	0.21	0.15	0.26	0.50	0.21
Income Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue	4,624	5,015	5,342	6,186	5,727	5,594	4,782	4,859	5,312	5,581	5,722	1,430	1,730	1,250	1,171	1,571
Cost of Goods Sold	2,959	3,116	3,302	3,742	3,613	3,663	2,901	2,749	3,106	3,418	3,437	817	1,005	758	739	935
Gross Profit	1,666	1,900	2,040	2,444	2,114	1,931	1,881	2,110	2,205	2,162	2,285	613	724	493	432	636

Selling, General, &Admin. Expense	774	821	762	841	901	985	979	1,020	1,061	1,111	1,117	266	283	257	305	271
Earnings Before DDA	365	1,576	1,676	1,816	1,630	1,271	442	835	1,021	1,179	1,249	321	437	254	168	391

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	197	214	206	214	204	242	246	275	191	179	176	45.95	45.07	36.43	51.50	42.85

Operating Income	168	1,361	1,470	1,603	1,426	1,029	196	561	830	1,000	1,073	275	392	217	116	348
Interest Income/Expense	92.50	79.45	93.72	--	115	78.22	189	320	375	-38.66	70.79	93.57	100	-9.99	-9.75	-9.78
Net Income	761	890	960	1,043	934	655	-55.12	147	599	624	676	172	247	134	70.64	224

Earnings per Share ($)	2.50	3.00	3.41	3.93	3.74	2.79	-0.24	0.62	2.55	2.72	2.96	0.74	1.07	0.59	0.31	0.99
Total Shares Outstanding	304	297	281	265	250	234	234	235	235	229	226	231	231	228	227	226
Balance Sheet	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Cash and cash equivalents	1,323	1,612	1,046	897	405	594	1,670	1,162	1,680	1,204	1,154	1,411	1,207	1,932	1,204	1,154
Accounts Receivable	1,114	1,328	1,764	2,244	2,538	4,119	1,705	2,042	1,980	1,973	2,334	2,150	2,105	1,982	1,973	2,334
Inventory	208	227	221	288	350	401	323	326	418	394	416	468	323	379	394	416
Other Current Assets	84.34	98.85	114	122	175	265	643	536	464	481	429	485	434	455	481	429
Total Current Assets	2,729	3,266	3,145	3,551	3,467	5,378	4,342	4,067	4,542	4,051	4,333	4,514	4,070	4,748	4,051	4,333

Property, Plant and Equipment	1,046	1,025	1,012	1,024	1,061	1,094	907	815	809	815	790	791	777	765	815	790
Intangible Assets	53.68	59.46	56.56	58.80	61.40	139	31.40	29.59	29.08	29.53	28.86	29.74	28.60	28.93	29.53	28.86
Other Long Term Assets	1,094	1,133	1,042	898	1,067	1,218	3,875	4,519	4,293	4,275	4,183	4,271	4,442	4,474	4,275	4,183
Total Assets	4,923	5,483	5,255	5,532	5,657	7,829	9,156	9,431	9,674	9,171	9,335	9,605	9,317	10,015	9,171	9,335

Accounts Payable	631	677	668	763	785	865	677	782	777	763	824	934	787	900	763	824
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	324	495	205	832	1,120	1,739	1,522	1,232	1,879	732	1,403	1,650	1,753	843	732	1,403
Other Current Liabilities	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	--	0.00	69.54	-0.00	43.31	7.92	--	--	-0.00	559	7.92	--
Total Current Liabilities	956	1,173	873	1,596	1,905	2,604	2,268	2,014	2,699	1,503	2,227	2,583	2,541	2,302	1,503	2,227

Long-Term Debt	670	800	1,000	870	980	2,176	4,114	4,521	3,844	4,371	3,892	3,918	3,577	3,340	4,371	3,892
Other Long-Term Liabilities	340	292	298	310	396	933	665	690	711	740	558	529	533	1,671	740	558
Total Liabilities	1,965	2,265	2,172	2,775	3,281	5,713	7,047	7,224	7,254	6,613	6,678	7,031	6,650	7,312	6,613	6,678

Common Stock	3.27	3.30	3.31	3.34	3.35	3.36	3.37	3.38	3.39	3.41	--	--	--	--	3.41	--
Retained Earnings	3,074	3,845	4,630	5,461	6,118	6,459	6,324	6,336	6,824	7,306	--	--	--	--	7,306	--
Additional Paid-In Capital	419	533	596	766	812	847	871	908	968	1,066	--	--	--	--	1,066	--
Treasury Stock	-586	-1,150	-2,205	-3,267	-4,420	-4,671	-4,673	-4,674	-4,899	-5,211	--	--	--	--	-5,211	--
Total Equity	2,958	3,218	3,084	2,757	2,375	2,116	2,108	2,207	2,420	2,558	2,657	2,575	2,666	2,703	2,558	2,657
Cashflow Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Net Income	761	890	960	1,043	934	655	-55.12	147	599	624	676	172	247	134	70.64	224
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	197	214	206	214	204	242	246	275	191	179	176	45.95	45.07	36.43	51.50	42.85
Cash Flow from Discontinued Operations	--	--	--	--	--	--	-90.10	-72.27	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Cash Flow from Others	-22.29	-134	-205	-495	-340	-1,582	437	743	94.98	-1.41	-85.29	-292	69.54	254	-33.18	-375
Cash Flow from Operations	936	970	961	762	798	-685	538	1,092	885	801	767	-73.62	362	424	88.96	-108

Investment for Property, Plant & Equipement	-227	-214	-198	-220	-242	-232	-117	-171	-189	-189	-187	-24.68	-35.40	-35.25	-93.67	-22.26
Cash Flow from Acquisitions	--	--	--	--	--	-95.55	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Cash Flow from Investing	-485	-708	177	-35.26	391	-393	-882	145	-63.54	-261	-266	32.02	-222	-85.10	13.59	27.54

Net Issuance of Stock	-84.50	-502	-1,023	-936	-1,132	-249	-1.91	6.14	-225	-266	-357	-20.75	-152	-85.24	-7.68	-113
Net Issuance of Debt	224	305	-80.72	493	352	1,845	1,645	-1,850	-46.28	-596	-231	-177	-174	488	-733	188
Cash Flow for Dividends	-58.99	-119	-174	-213	-261	-302	-93.81	-94.15	-111	-142	-153	-35.94	-35.70	-34.92	-35.12	-47.31
Other Financing	-0.00	0.00	6.07	18.93	3.07	0.32	-167	81.42	72.89	13.07	3.29	24.24	21.29	19.46	-51.92	14.47
Cash Flow from Financing	80.63	-316	-1,272	-637	-1,038	1,293	1,382	-1,856	-309	-990	-738	-210	-340	387	-827	42.20

Net Change in Cash	532	-54.17	-134	97.42	164	191	1,043	-615	505	-459	-258	-251	-205	724	-727	-49.38

Free Cash Flow	708	756	762	542	556	-917	421	922	696	612	580	-98.30	326	389	-4.71	-131
Valuation Ratios (Daily)	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

PE Ratio(ttm)
Price to Tangible Book
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio
PS Ratio
EV-to-Revenue
EV-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBIT
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)
Forward Rate of Return
Shiller PE Ratio
Valuation and Quality	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Month End Stock Price
Net Cash (per share)
Net Current Asset Value (per share)
DCF (per share)
Median PS (per share)
Peter Lynch Fair Value (per share)
Graham Number (per share)
Altman Z-Score
Piotroski F-Score
Beneish M-Score

Switch to Another Stock:

HOG Quarterly/Annuals Reports

HOG: 10-Q - HARLEY DAVIDSON INC (0000793952) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-11-08
HOG: 10-Q - HARLEY DAVIDSON INC (0000793952) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-08-09
HOG: 10-Q - HARLEY DAVIDSON INC (0000793952) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-05-10
HOG: 10-K - HARLEY DAVIDSON INC (0000793952) (Filer): (10-K) - 2012-02-23
HOG: 10-Q - HARLEY DAVIDSON INC (0000793952) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-11-03

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