10 Year Financial Data of Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV)

6.02 (1y: +238%)

Market Cap	816.8 M	P/E(ttm)
Enterprise Value	2.36 B	P/B

HOV- NYSE (USA)
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc

Currently 1/5

Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
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$6.02

2 Severe Warning Signs

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Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs*	5 yrs*	12 months*
Revenue Growth (%)	-20.5	-28.6	9.8
EBITDA Growth (%)	0	-57.5	0
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	0	0	0
Book Value Growth (%)	0	0	0

*12-month growth rate is calculated with the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) of the last 12 months over the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) over the previous 12 months. 5-year and 10-year growth rates are calculated with least-square regression based on the 5-year and 10-year numbers.

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data

Per Share Data	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Oct03	Oct04	Oct05	Oct06	Oct07	Oct08	Oct09	Oct10	Oct11	Oct12	TTM	Jan12	Apr12	Jul12	Oct12	Jan13

Revenue per Share ($)	48.85	63.88	81.59	94.82	76.08	47.17	20.40	17.22	11.30	11.76	11.71	2.48	2.94	2.79	3.45	2.53
EBITDA per Share	7.48	9.40	12.77	9.69	-6.78	-14.91	-13.01	-2.52	-1.78	-0.56	-0.40	-0.37	-0.21	-0.05	0.01	-0.15
Free Cashflow per Share	-5.99	-4.50	-5.21	-10.83	0.38	6.51	-0.39	0.38	-2.07	-0.57	-0.17	-0.40	0.02	-0.19	-0.04	0.04
Earnings per Share ($)	3.93	5.35	7.16	2.14	-10.11	-16.04	-9.16	0.03	-2.85	-0.52	-0.41	-0.17	0.02	0.25	-0.60	-0.08
Book Value per Share	12.51	18.31	27.33	29.95	20.95	4.71	-4.47	-4.25	-4.94	-3.84	-3.40	-4.73	-3.92	-2.92	-3.44	-3.40
Month End Stock Price	40.64	37.54	44.99	30.85	11.37	4.29	3.91	3.56	1.44	4.30	5.71	2.42	2.00	2.32	4.30	5.71
Ratios	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Oct03	Oct04	Oct05	Oct06	Oct07	Oct08	Oct09	Oct10	Oct11	Oct12	Latest Q.	Jan12	Apr12	Jul12	Oct12	Jan13

Return on Equity %	31.40	29.20	26.30	7.70	-47.40	-341	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Return on Assets %	11.00	11.00	10.00	2.70	-13.80	-30.90	-35.40	0.10	-17.90	-3.90	-2.80	-4.80	0.40	8.40	-20.00	-2.80
Return on Capital - Joel Greenblatt %	34.10	26.00	28.20	14.10	-17.30	-50.90	-106	-25.40	-23.10	-11.10	-12.80	-20.40	-14.00	-4.80	--	-12.80
Debt to Equity	1.18	1.07	0.95	1.25	1.79	8.13	-5.42	-5.14	-3.42	-3.52	-3.41	-3.20	-3.45	-3.90	-3.52	-3.41

Gross Margin %	25.20	24.30	26.40	22.90	3.80	-16.90	-35.50	1.80	2.00	14.50	14.30	13.50	14.10	6.30	36.80	14.30
Operating Margin %	14.80	13.90	14.60	9.10	-12.70	-33.30	-64.90	-15.60	-16.60	-5.20	-6.40	-15.70	-7.70	-2.30	-0.10	-6.40
Net Margin %	8.00	8.40	8.80	2.40	-13.10	-34.00	-44.90	0.20	-25.20	-4.50	-3.20	-6.80	0.50	9.00	-17.30	-3.20

Days Sales Outstanding	4.80	5.00	9.20	21.00	23.10	22.70	--	16.20	16.80	15.20	0.70	18.00	14.30	14.40	11.50	0.70
Days Inventory	253	286	319	313	278	204	187	271	318	282	298	382	293	252	290	298
Inventory Turnover	1.40	1.30	1.10	1.20	1.30	1.80	1.90	1.30	1.10	1.30	0.30	0.20	0.30	0.40	0.30	0.30

Debt to Revenue	0.30	0.31	0.32	0.39	0.49	0.81	1.19	1.27	1.50	1.15	4.59	6.09	4.59	4.07	3.50	4.59
COGS to Revenue	0.75	0.76	0.74	0.77	0.96	1.17	1.36	0.98	0.98	0.86	0.86	0.87	0.86	0.94	0.63	0.86
Inventory to Revenue	0.52	0.59	0.64	0.66	0.73	0.65	0.70	0.73	0.85	0.66	2.81	3.63	2.77	2.59	2.02	2.81
Interest Exp. to Revenue %	-1.99	-0.48	-0.37	-0.06	-0.20	-0.92	-7.77	-7.14	-8.56	-6.59	-6.70	-8.16	-7.63	-6.35	-5.19	-6.70

Asset Turnover	1.37	1.32	1.13	1.12	1.06	0.91	0.79	0.76	0.71	0.88	0.23	0.18	0.23	0.24	0.29	0.23
Buyback Ratio	-4.20	-2.40	-28.80	-0.90	0.50	11.30	--	--	19.20	71.50	--	--	-2,622	--	0.10	--
Income Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Oct03	Oct04	Oct05	Oct06	Oct07	Oct08	Oct09	Oct10	Oct11	Oct12	TTM	Jan12	Apr12	Jul12	Oct12	Jan13

Revenue	3,202	4,160	5,348	6,148	4,799	3,308	1,596	1,372	1,135	1,485	1,574	270	342	387	487	358
Cost of Goods Sold	2,393	3,149	3,935	4,741	4,616	3,867	2,163	1,347	1,112	1,271	1,271	233	293	363	308	307
Gross Profit	808	1,011	1,413	1,407	183	-559	-567	24.58	23.21	215	303	36.37	48.24	24.51	179	51.08

Selling, General, &Admin. Expense	325	405	586	794	630	505	322	238	211	195	262	56.61	48.38	8.81	154	50.17
Earnings Before DDA	490	612	837	628	-427	-1,046	-1,018	-201	-179	-71.36	-52.41	-40.58	-24.64	-7.41	1.26	-21.63

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	15.09	35.11	55.87	70.74	181	55.31	18.53	12.58	9.34	6.22	6.03	1.66	1.56	1.49	1.51	1.46

Operating Income	475	577	781	558	-609	-1,101	-1,036	-214	-188	-77.58	-58.44	-42.24	-26.20	-8.90	-0.25	-23.09
Interest Income/Expense	-63.66	-20.06	-19.72	-3.62	-9.80	-30.38	-124	-97.92	-97.17	-97.90	-99.90	-22.00	-26.06	-24.59	-25.25	-24.00
Net Income	257	349	472	150	-627	-1,125	-717	2.59	-286	-66.20	-59.24	-18.27	1.80	34.68	-84.41	-11.31

Preferred dividends	--	--	2.76	10.68	10.67	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Earnings per Share ($)	3.93	5.35	7.16	2.14	-10.11	-16.04	-9.16	0.03	-2.85	-0.52	-0.41	-0.17	0.02	0.25	-0.60	-0.08
Total Shares Outstanding	65.54	65.13	65.55	64.84	63.08	70.13	78.24	79.68	100	126	142	109	116	139	141	142
Balance Sheet	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Oct03	Oct04	Oct05	Oct06	Oct07	Oct08	Oct09	Oct10	Oct11	Oct12	Latest Q.	Jan12	Apr12	Jul12	Oct12	Jan13

Cash and cash equivalents	128	78.02	417	54.32	16.23	848	420	367	251	258	238	166	195	219	258	238
Accounts Receivable	42.51	56.75	135	355	304	206	--	61.02	52.28	61.79	2.62	53.39	53.85	61.14	61.79	2.62
Inventory	1,660	2,467	3,437	4,071	3,518	2,159	1,110	1,002	968	981	1,006	979	946	1,004	981	1,006
Other Current Assets	97.41	134	126	187	192	165	153	113	77.62	41.73	51.49	49.48	48.25	48.14	41.73	51.49
Total Current Assets	1,928	2,737	4,114	4,666	4,031	3,378	1,683	1,543	1,349	1,343	1,298	1,248	1,243	1,333	1,343	1,298

Property, Plant and Equipment	26.26	44.14	96.89	111	107	92.82	73.92	62.77	53.27	48.52	47.78	52.01	51.24	49.67	48.52	47.78
Intangible Assets	140	158	282	198	36.88	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Other Long Term Assets	238	217	227	505	366	167	268	212	200	292	234	202	223	243	292	234
Total Assets	2,332	3,156	4,720	5,480	4,541	3,637	2,025	1,818	1,602	1,684	1,580	1,502	1,518	1,625	1,684	1,580

Accounts Payable	236	336	519	595	341	431	340	336	167	184	136	133	149	162	184	136
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	167	188	199	320	204	108	143	98.61	95.60	165	115	1,064	1,079	1,110	165	115
Other Current Liabilities	198	148	510	185	259	28.68	18.81	62.77	171	252	253	165	194	254	252	253
Total Current Liabilities	600	672	1,228	1,099	804	568	502	497	433	600	504	1,363	1,422	1,525	600	504

Long-Term Debt	802	1,084	1,499	2,101	2,161	2,578	1,752	1,640	1,603	1,542	1,529	578	489	466	1,542	1,529
Other Long-Term Liabilities	110	208	202	338	254	161	121	18.54	63.25	27.31	28.65	75.09	61.22	38.36	27.31	28.65
Total Liabilities	1,513	1,964	2,929	3,538	3,219	3,307	2,374	2,156	2,099	2,170	2,062	2,016	1,973	2,029	2,170	2,062

Common Stock	0.08	0.72	0.73	0.74	0.75	0.89	0.90	0.90	1.07	1.45	1.52	1.09	1.39	1.45	1.45	1.52
Preferred Stock	0.28	--	--	135	135	135	135	135	135	135	135	135	135	135	135	135
Retained Earnings	705	1,054	1,523	1,662	1,024	-109	-826	-823	-1,110	-1,176	-1,187	-1,128	-1,126	-1,091	-1,176	-1,187
Additional Paid-In Capital	164	200	371	253	277	419	455	464	592	669	684	593	650	665	669	684
Treasury Stock	-49.54	-50.05	-84.07	-109	-115	-115	-115	-115	-115	-115	-115	-115	-115	-115	-115	-115
Total Equity	820	1,192	1,791	1,942	1,322	330	-350	-339	-497	-486	-481	-514	-455	-404	-486	-481
Cashflow Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Oct03	Oct04	Oct05	Oct06	Oct07	Oct08	Oct09	Oct10	Oct11	Oct12	TTM	Jan12	Apr12	Jul12	Oct12	Jan13

Net Income	257	349	472	150	-627	-1,125	-717	2.59	-286	-66.20	-59.24	-18.27	1.80	34.68	-84.41	-11.31
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	15.09	35.11	55.87	70.74	181	55.31	18.53	12.58	9.34	6.22	6.03	1.66	1.56	1.49	1.51	1.46
Cash Flow from Others	-467	-572	-552	-871	508	1,531	668	17.32	69.33	-7.02	35.11	-26.52	-0.11	-58.38	77.98	15.62
Cash Flow from Operations	-195	-188	-23.94	-651	61.97	462	-29.73	32.49	-207	-67.00	-18.10	-43.12	3.26	-22.21	-4.92	5.78

Investment for Property, Plant & Equipement	-198	-105	-318	-51.51	-37.78	-5.24	-0.75	-2.46	-0.83	-5.06	-5.37	-0.13	-0.59	-4.15	-0.19	-0.45
Cash Flow from Acquisitions	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	-0.60	0.52	--	--	--	-0.60
Cash Flow from Investing	-198	-121	-448	-74.54	-32.39	-1.64	-19.91	-0.02	1.20	-1.50	9.49	-1.27	-0.83	0.19	0.41	9.72

Net Issuance of Stock	-0.24	5.18	102	-25.28	-3.35	127	--	--	54.90	47.22	47.22	--	47.15	--	0.07	--
Net Issuance of Debt	251	253	525	596	-55.98	251	-372	-90.33	40.28	-71.24	-87.48	-35.97	-39.62	45.08	-40.72	-52.22
Cash Flow for Dividends	--	--	-2.76	-10.68	-10.67	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Other Financing	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7.86	2.34	-6.31	--	-1.66	-5.40	115	117	-0.68	27.38	3.89	84.42	1.65
Cash Flow from Financing	250	259	624	568	-67.66	371	-372	-91.98	89.78	90.99	77.08	-36.66	34.90	48.97	43.78	-50.57

Net Change in Cash	-142	-50.20	151	-157	-38.09	832	-421	-59.51	-116	22.49	68.46	-81.05	37.33	26.95	39.26	-35.08

Free Cash Flow	-393	-293	-342	-702	24.19	457	-30.48	30.03	-208	-72.06	-23.47	-43.26	2.66	-26.36	-5.11	5.33
Valuation Ratios (Daily)	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Oct03	Oct04	Oct05	Oct06	Oct07	Oct08	Oct09	Oct10	Oct11	Oct12	Latest Q.	Jan12	Apr12	Jul12	Oct12	Jan13

PE Ratio(ttm)
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio
PS Ratio
EV-to-Revenue
EV-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBIT
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)
Forward Rate of Return
Shiller PE Ratio
Valuation and Quality	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Oct03	Oct04	Oct05	Oct06	Oct07	Oct08	Oct09	Oct10	Oct11	Oct12	Latest Q.	Jan12	Apr12	Jul12	Oct12	Jan13

Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Month End Stock Price
Net Cash (per share)
Net Current Asset Value (per share)
DCF (per share)
Median PS (per share)
Peter Lynch Fair Value (per share)
Graham Number (per share)
Altman Z-Score
Piotroski F-Score
Beneish M-Score

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HOV Quarterly/Annuals Reports

HOV: 10-K - HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC (0000357294) (Filer): (10-K) - 2012-12-20
HOV: 10-Q - HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC (0000357294) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-06-08
HOV: 10-Q - HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC (0000357294) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2012-03-08
HOV: 10-K - HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC (0000357294) (Filer): (10-K) - 2011-12-30
HOV: 10-Q - HOVNANIAN ENTERPRISES INC (0000357294) (Filer): (10-Q) - 2011-09-09

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