10 Year Financial Data of Novartis AG (NVS)

73.15 (1y: +33%)

Market Cap	180.16 B	P/E(ttm)	18.70
Enterprise Value	195 B	P/B	2.60

NVS- NYSE (USA)
Novartis AG

Currently 4/5

Business Predictability Rank: 4-Star
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 4-Star stocks: 9.8% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 8%.
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$73.15

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Annual Rates (per share)	10 yrs*	5 yrs*	12 months*
Revenue Growth (%)	10.5	7	-2.7
EBITDA Growth (%)	7.7	4.9	59.5
Free Cash Flow Growth (%)	10.1	9	-16.2
Book Value Growth (%)	10.8	5.9	4.6

*12-month growth rate is calculated with the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) of the last 12 months over the per share revenue (EBITDA, FCF, earnings) over the previous 12 months. 5-year and 10-year growth rates are calculated with least-square regression based on the 5-year and 10-year numbers.

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See this page for the explanation of the data and charts * All numbers are in millions except for per share data

Per Share Data	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue per Share ($)	9.91	11.46	13.77	15.27	16.35	18.64	19.89	22.56	24.61	23.54	23.58	5.71	5.96	5.74	6.14	5.74
EBITDA per Share	2.90	3.22	3.71	4.21	4.14	5.09	4.95	5.04	4.56	6.73	6.76	-0.02	1.80	1.74	1.57	1.65
Free Cashflow per Share	2.12	2.21	2.95	2.84	5.87	3.22	4.17	5.18	4.94	4.55	4.25	0.78	0.93	1.35	1.49	0.48
Earnings per Share ($)	2.00	2.34	2.62	3.04	5.13	3.59	3.69	4.26	3.78	3.89	3.91	0.95	1.11	1.00	0.83	0.97
Dividends Per Share	0.60	0.78	0.86	0.89	1.10	1.54	1.71	1.95	2.36	2.48	2.53	2.48	--	--	--	2.53
Book Value per Share	12.13	13.71	14.10	17.42	21.14	22.02	25.30	27.64	27.29	28.26	27.10	25.91	26.27	27.44	28.14	27.10
Month End Stock Price	45.89	50.54	52.48	57.44	54.31	49.76	54.43	58.95	57.17	63.30	71.24	55.41	55.90	61.26	63.30	71.24
Ratios	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Return on Equity %	16.50	17.10	18.60	17.50	24.30	16.30	14.60	15.50	13.80	13.80	14.40	14.80	16.80	14.80	12.00	14.40
Return on Assets %	10.20	10.60	10.60	10.60	15.80	10.50	8.80	7.90	7.80	7.70	8.00	7.60	9.20	8.00	6.40	8.00
Return on Capital - Joel Greenblatt %	58.50	56.60	70.10	54.00	34.60	47.40	61.80	62.80	61.30	61.50	57.20	57.20	65.20	61.60	53.20	57.20
Debt to Equity	0.20	0.20	0.22	0.18	0.12	0.15	0.24	0.36	0.31	0.29	0.31	0.39	0.35	0.31	0.29	0.31

Gross Margin %	76.30	76.50	73.40	73.40	73.30	73.10	73.00	71.90	68.00	67.40	67.60	67.80	68.30	67.40	66.20	67.60
Operating Margin %	23.70	23.10	21.40	22.10	17.80	21.10	22.10	22.40	18.50	20.00	20.40	20.20	21.90	21.60	16.50	20.40
Net Margin %	20.20	20.40	19.00	19.90	31.40	19.20	18.60	19.00	15.30	16.50	16.90	16.60	18.60	17.40	13.60	16.90

Days Sales Outstanding	64.20	62.70	60.50	80.70	81.50	73.50	67.20	69.90	76.10	63.70	67.20	69.40	65.60	68.20	60.70	67.20
Days Inventory	207	196	159	159	181	185	175	154	114	131	139	131	127	136	121	139
Inventory Turnover	1.80	1.90	2.30	2.30	2.00	2.00	2.10	2.40	3.20	2.80	0.70	0.70	0.70	0.70	0.80	0.70

Debt to Revenue	0.24	0.24	0.23	0.20	0.15	0.17	0.31	0.45	0.34	0.34	1.47	1.77	1.56	1.48	1.31	1.47
COGS to Revenue	0.24	0.23	0.27	0.29	0.29	0.27	0.27	0.28	0.32	0.33	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.33	0.34	0.32
Inventory to Revenue	0.14	0.13	0.12	0.13	0.14	0.14	0.13	0.12	0.10	0.12	0.49	0.46	0.44	0.49	0.45	0.49
Interest Exp. to Revenue %	0.32	0.45	0.52	0.15	0.77	0.22	-0.78	-1.22	-1.27	-1.26	-1.23	-1.18	-1.26	-1.27	-1.32	-1.23

Asset Turnover	0.50	0.52	0.56	0.53	0.51	0.54	0.47	0.42	0.51	0.46	0.12	0.12	0.12	0.12	0.12	0.12
Buyback Ratio	--	-1.00	-1.10	-3.60	-28.30	-35.20	--	-7.30	-1.80	-4.30	-50.20	--	--	--	-19.90	-50.20
Dividend Payout Ratio	0.30	0.33	0.33	0.29	0.21	0.43	0.46	0.46	0.63	0.64	2.61	2.62	--	--	--	2.61
Income Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Revenue	24,864	28,247	32,212	36,031	38,072	42,584	45,103	51,561	59,375	57,561	57,854	13,913	14,541	14,039	15,068	14,206
Cost of Goods Sold	5,894	6,625	8,554	10,299	11,032	11,439	12,179	14,488	18,983	18,756	18,878	4,484	4,610	4,575	5,087	4,606
Gross Profit	18,970	21,622	23,658	26,450	27,915	31,145	32,924	37,073	40,392	38,805	38,976	9,429	9,931	9,464	9,981	9,600

Selling, General, &Admin. Expense	9,325	10,413	11,544	12,411	13,259	14,097	14,331	15,797	18,049	17,290	17,294	4,214	4,350	4,086	4,640	4,218
Research &Development	3,756	4,207	4,846	5,349	6,430	7,217	7,469	9,070	9,583	9,332	9,394	2,235	2,285	2,191	2,621	2,297
Earnings Before DDA	7,275	7,927	8,670	9,936	9,639	11,634	11,232	11,526	10,998	16,465	16,596	-57.00	4,382	4,259	3,865	4,090

Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	1,386	1,388	1,765	1,987	2,858	2,670	1,250	--	--	4,954	5,004	-2,872	1,194	1,232	1,384	1,194

Operating Income	5,889	6,539	6,905	7,949	6,781	8,964	9,982	11,526	10,998	11,511	11,592	2,815	3,188	3,027	2,481	2,896
Interest Income/Expense	80.00	127	167	53.00	294	94.00	-353	-628	-751	-724	-735	-164	-183	-178	-199	-175
Net Income	5,016	5,767	6,130	7,175	11,946	8,195	8,400	9,794	9,113	9,505	9,598	2,305	2,706	2,449	2,045	2,398

Earnings per Share ($)	2.00	2.34	2.62	3.04	5.13	3.59	3.69	4.26	3.78	3.89	3.91	0.95	1.11	1.00	0.83	0.97
Total Shares Outstanding	2,508	2,465	2,340	2,360	2,329	2,284	2,268	2,286	2,413	2,445	2,473	2,435	2,441	2,445	2,455	2,473
Balance Sheet	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Cash and cash equivalents	13,259	14,593	10,933	7,955	8,958	3,738	17,449	8,134	4,957	8,119	6,035	5,388	6,106	5,801	8,119	6,035
Accounts Receivable	4,376	4,851	5,343	7,971	8,504	8,573	8,310	9,873	12,373	10,051	10,484	10,605	10,487	10,519	10,051	10,484
Inventory	3,346	3,558	3,725	4,498	5,455	5,792	5,830	6,093	5,930	6,744	7,021	6,458	6,420	6,845	6,744	7,021
Other Current Assets	1,292	1,609	1,442	980	4,513	2,778	2,102	2,585	824	3,090	3,255	3,336	3,109	2,983	3,090	3,255
Total Current Assets	22,273	24,611	21,443	21,404	27,430	20,881	33,691	26,685	24,084	28,004	26,795	25,787	26,122	26,148	28,004	26,795

Property, Plant and Equipment	7,597	8,497	8,679	10,945	12,633	13,100	14,075	15,840	15,627	16,939	16,585	16,012	15,584	16,182	16,939	16,585
Intangible Assets	4,708	5,629	13,294	21,230	21,249	20,819	12,039	64,923	61,912	61,421	60,485	61,707	60,566	61,924	61,421	60,485
Other Long Term Assets	14,739	15,732	14,316	14,429	14,140	23,499	35,700	15,870	15,873	17,852	17,146	15,905	16,220	16,965	17,852	17,146
Total Assets	49,317	54,469	57,732	68,008	75,452	78,299	95,505	123,318	117,496	124,216	121,011	119,411	118,492	121,219	124,216	121,011

Accounts Payable	4,577	3,462	3,040	3,224	3,908	3,395	4,012	4,788	7,884	8,630	4,875	4,487	4,585	4,591	8,630	4,875
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt	2,779	4,119	5,993	6,560	5,117	5,186	5,313	8,627	6,344	5,945	9,334	10,698	8,878	5,017	5,945	9,334
Other Current Liabilities	1,964	3,497	6,295	6,450	7,616	7,923	10,145	11,243	8,920	9,476	12,160	12,171	11,457	12,251	9,476	12,160
Total Current Liabilities	9,320	11,078	15,328	16,234	16,641	16,504	19,470	24,658	23,148	24,051	26,369	27,356	24,920	21,859	24,051	26,369

Long-Term Debt	3,191	2,736	1,319	656	677	2,178	8,675	14,360	13,855	13,781	11,610	13,896	13,754	15,823	13,781	11,610
Other Long-Term Liabilities	6,377	6,872	8,095	10,007	8,911	9,329	9,973	21,104	14,649	17,291	16,003	15,054	15,688	16,455	17,291	16,003
Total Liabilities	18,888	20,686	24,742	26,897	26,229	28,011	38,118	60,122	51,652	55,123	53,982	56,306	54,362	54,137	55,123	53,982

Common Stock	1,017	1,008	994	990	990	959	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Retained Earnings	29,533	32,902	32,142	40,261	45,031	49,825	56,562	62,364	64,949	68,184	--	--	--	--	68,184	--
Additional Paid-In Capital	--	--	--	--	--	198	957	957	1,016	1,001	--	--	--	--	1,001	--
Treasury Stock	-121	-127	-146	-140	-175	-139	-132	-125	-121	-92.00	--	--	--	--	-92.00	--
Total Equity	30,429	33,783	32,990	41,111	49,223	50,288	57,387	63,196	65,844	69,093	67,029	63,105	64,130	67,082	69,093	67,029
Cashflow Statement	Annuals (USD $) View: $ %											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	TTM	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Net Income	5,016	5,767	6,141	7,019	6,540	8,163	--	9,969	9,245	9,618	9,713	2,327	2,733	2,476	2,082	2,422
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization	1,386	1,388	1,765	1,987	2,858	2,670	1,250	--	--	4,954	5,004	-2,872	1,194	1,232	1,384	1,194
Cash Flow from Others	250	-430	174	12.00	7,411	-1,169	10,941	4,098	5,064	-378	-1,211	3,061	-942	358	1,161	-1,788
Cash Flow from Operations	6,652	6,725	8,080	9,018	16,809	9,664	12,191	14,067	14,309	14,194	13,506	2,516	2,985	4,066	4,627	1,828

Investment for Property, Plant & Equipement	-1,329	-1,269	-1,188	-2,322	-3,133	-2,316	-2,733	-2,232	-2,387	-3,068	-3,094	-624	-714	-755	-975	-650
Cash Flow from Acquisitions	-402	-1,031	-8,866	-4,522	-52.00	-11,526	-925	-26,666	-581	-1,741	-1,741	--	-43.00	-1,515	-183	--
Cash Flow from Investing	-1,298	-3,219	-7,482	-6,575	-6,244	-10,367	-14,219	-15,756	-792	-5,675	-4,534	-445	-723	-1,971	-2,536	696

Net Issuance of Stock	-3,731	-1,814	-164	254	-4,599	-473	263	419	-3,465	-91.00	913	211	-266	-36.00	--	1,215
Net Issuance of Debt	-309	683	2,037	-2,908	-2,159	1,295	7,030	8,279	-2,801	-462	-2,946	4,183	-1,479	-2,055	-1,111	1,699
Cash Flow for Dividends	-1,724	-1,993	-2,139	-2,049	-2,598	-3,345	-3,993	-4,582	-5,571	-6,116	-6,212	-6,010	-20.00	--	-86.00	-6,106
Other Financing	--	--	--	-267	38.00	-50.00	-491	--	-3,187	-6.00	-28.00	-126	93.00	-26.00	53.00	-148
Cash Flow from Financing	-5,764	-3,124	-266	-4,970	-9,318	-2,573	2,809	4,116	-15,024	-6,675	-8,273	-1,742	-1,672	-2,117	-1,144	-3,340

Net Change in Cash	-152	437	238	-2,502	1,545	-3,322	856	2,425	-1,610	1,843	665	332	557	-7.00	961	-846

Free Cash Flow	5,323	5,456	6,892	6,696	13,676	7,348	9,458	11,835	11,922	11,126	10,412	1,892	2,271	3,311	3,652	1,178
Valuation Ratios (Daily)	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

PE Ratio(ttm)
Price to Tangible Book
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio
PS Ratio
EV-to-Revenue
EV-to-EBITDA
EV-to-EBIT
Earnings Yield (Joel Greenblatt)
Forward Rate of Return
Shiller PE Ratio
Valuation and Quality	Annuals											Quarterly
Fiscal Period	Dec03	Dec04	Dec05	Dec06	Dec07	Dec08	Dec09	Dec10	Dec11	Dec12	Latest Q.	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13

Market Cap
Enterprise Value
Month End Stock Price
Net Cash (per share)
Net Current Asset Value (per share)
DCF (per share)
Median PS (per share)
Peter Lynch Fair Value (per share)
Graham Number (per share)
Altman Z-Score
Piotroski F-Score
Beneish M-Score

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