|New Threads Only:|
|New Threads & Replies:|
Forum List » Guru News and Commentaries|
Guru News, Stock picks and commentaries
Verizon Shareholders: Greatly Affected by the Vodafone Deal
Posted by: Muhammad Bazil (IP Logged)
Date: September 11, 2013 10:17AM
In what emerges as one of the most sizable deals ever witnessed in the corporate world, Vodafone (VOD) has announced that they are selling their 45% share in Verizon Wireless to American telecommunications company Verizon Communications (VZ) for $130 billion.
Although stocks for both companies are yet to pick up, short-traders can still make a killing from Verizon Communications.
The next couple of months are likely to see more trading in VZ shares, with reduced price per share, particularly towards the next stock distribution date.
Let us examine the reasons for this:
Running a company like Vodafone requires consistent reinvestment of monetary returns back into the shares. In a span of about five years, the annual rate of returns for Vodafone was close to a third of the value, at only 11.3 percent.
But for Verizon, it amounted to more than half for returns that had not been reinvested over the same period.
The reason Verizon has had better figures is because many investors expected that the company would be acquired at a premium rather than be the buyer.
But tables have turned.
It seems that Verizon is banking on long-term loans to seal the deal. Its debt burden will slow down its growth for a while. Now that Vodafone has more cash and Verizon has more debt, the latter’s share value will shoot up.
Structure and Style
Selling of stocks is not just about assessment of share values. It is also about what CEOs can do with the shares in a foreign subsidiary. This has a lot to do with the legal issues in the particular country.
For example, given the laws in the U.S., Europe and other countries, companies are usually inclined to sell off all the acquired shares in a U.S. company as soon as the opportunity arises. The cash raised from selling these stocks can be invested back into other markets outside the U.S.
Another factor that contributes to this is the general difference in management styles between European and American companies, as well the general profiles of the shareholders in the respective companies.
In Vodafone and Verizon’s case, it is not difficult to point out the sharp contrast between the make up of the top 10 shareholders in the two companies.
In normal circumstances, you would expect Verizon to sell its acquired shares the next time the opportunity arises. And obviously, wealthy investors will be clamoring for the stocks as soon as news of a sale comes up.
And we should not fail to mention that there has been an unprecedented increase in deals involving telecom companies, especially after most companies dipped in profits in the past two years. Most telecom companies are keen to go wireless, and this requires a lot of cash.
But that is not to say that this deal is not viable. In fact, looking at the rate of growth of the wireless business in the U.S. and even elsewhere, you realize that there is so much opportunity for Verizon to reap from.
Perhaps the bigger problem for Verizon would be to raise the funds to seal this deal, which, apparently, is very important for them. Although the management says they have measures in place to cut on some of their financing in order to reduce their debt, which is easier said than done.
Maybe we would just have to wait and see what these measures are. Meanwhile, VZ shareholders might really have something to worry about.
Comparing Yields for Verizon and AT&T
Considered the two biggest Telecommunications companies in the U.S., Verizon and AT&T have for a long time been regarded as high income companies with reliable stock values. But recently, there seems to be a rift developing between the two.
This Year’s Performance
Verizon has appeared to be the better performer this year, that is, before the announcement of the Vodafone deal. AT&T has not done quite well, dipping 1.7 percent compared to Verizon.
But AT&T is still valued higher than Verizon. It is difficult to actually explain the discrepancy between AT&T’s valuation and performance, given the state of the market. But it is not something new in the stock market.
Sometimes in the market, the company with higher share prices does not have to be the one with higher income.
Even so, AT&T justifies this, as it outperforms Verizon on several other areas, especially the annual income rate. Its broadband service grows at a whopping 30 percent, which is yet another feather to its cap.
Why Even a Small Difference in Income Counts.
Although the difference may seem rather minimal, it does count in the long term.
A typical investor will keep in mind long term gains. Assuming that the stock values are the same, and that all share dividends are reinvested, then with only 1 percent difference in annual income, it can make a huge difference in the long term.
If, for example, one invests $100,000 in both companies, the annual difference in dividends will be only $2,431.4 or thereabout. But in 10 years, and with reinvestment, it grows to $2,431.4. How about that?
The point is, in stocks like Verizon and AT&T, it is better to have long-term goals, even at the cost of some short-term gains here and there. Although Verizon could still yield better than AT&T in the next few years, it is clear that the latter is poised to bring in more in terms of long-term yields.
Stocks Discussed: VOD, VZ, T,
Disclaimers: GuruFocus.com is not operated by a broker, a dealer, or a registered investment adviser. Under no circumstances does any information posted on GuruFocus.com represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, investment advice or recommendations. The gurus may buy and sell securities before and after any particular article and report and information herein is published, with respect to the securities discussed in any article and report posted herein. In no event shall GuruFocus.com be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on GuruFocus.com, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, GuruFocus.com or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, investment advice or recommendations. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. The gurus listed in this website are not affiliated with GuruFocus.com, LLC. Stock quotes provided by InterActive Data. Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.