New Threads Only:  Add to Google Reader or Homepage
New Threads & Replies:  Add to Google Reader or Homepage
Forums are for serious investors only. GuruFocus Forum Rules.

Forum List » Guru News and Commentaries
Guru News, Stock picks and commentaries
New Topic Search
Goto Thread: PreviousNext
Goto: Forum ListMessage ListNew TopicSearchLog In
Outlook for May 2014
Posted by: Roadmap2Retire (IP Logged)
Date: May 1, 2014 11:44AM

That's another month of see-sawing activity, but the market remains fairly resilient, closing at an all-time high, even though we saw some corrections in the pharma, tech and solar sector. I am still sitting tight on the sidelines hoping for a better entry point which May traditionally provides, with the sell-in-may-and-go-away mentality. On the Fed front, the bond purchases are cut by another $10 billion in May to a total of $45 billion per month.

My Holdings

Provided the right conditions, I intend to add to my positions in Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Medtronic (MDT), Qualcomm (QCOM) and/or Rogers Communications Inc. (RCI.B.TO).

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is a behemoth in the health care and consumer goods sectors. The double play on the two sectors makes this a great pick. JNJ is a dividend champion that has been raising dividends (JNJ announced a 6.1% dividend raise in April) consecutively for 52 years; has 5-year DGR of 7.6% and a 10-year DGR of 10.8%.

Medtronic Inc. (MDT) manufactures and sells device-based medical therapies worldwide. Medtronic is a dividend champion that has been raising dividends for 36 years, and has a 5-year DGR of 11.6% and 10-year DGR of 14.9%. The recent injunction against its CoreValve device has seen some weakness in the stock price, but MDT was able to appeal and meanwhile still able to sell the device.

Qualcomm (QCOM) designs, develops, manufactures and markets digital communications products and services based on CDMA, OFDMA and other technologies. QCOM is the leader in ARM-based processors which are found in the bulk of Windows, BlackBerry and Android devices. QCOM has been raising dividends for 12 years and has a five-year DGR of 16.95%. Click here to read my full analysis of QCOM.

Rogers Communications Inc. (RCI.B.TO) is the largest wireless service provider in Canada and is growing its business segments in cable and media aggressively. Rogers has been growing dividends for 10 years and has a five-year DGR of 11.13%. Click here to read about my analysis of the telecom providers in Canada.

Monthly Contributions: Every month, I add to my positions in the following stock and funds:

  • Claymore S&P US Dividend Growers ETF (CUD.TO) is an ETF of 83 dividend growers and provides me with exposure to excellent corporations across all sectors. The ETF has a 1.8% yield and pays distributions monthly.
  • iShares Canadian Financial Monthly Income Fund (FIE.A.TO) is an ETF of 24 Canadian financial equities. The fund yields 7% and pays distributions monthly.
  • Scotia Canadian Balanced Fund (mutual fund) is an index fund tracking the Canadian S&P/TSX Composite Index and the DEX Universe Bond Index. The fund yields 0.52% and pays distributions quarterly.
  • The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS.TO) is the third largest of the Canadian banks by deposits and market cap. BNS is also the most international of the Canadian banks with exposure in 55 countries outside Canada. BNS saw a pause in its dividend growth during the financial crisis. However, BNS has started raising dividends after the crisis with a five-year DGR of 5.03%. I have a DRIP plan in BNS and invest monthly to this holding.

My Watchlist

I am also considering various stocks that are not currently in my portfolio, but the current high valuations do not provide many options. I am also looking closely at the following sectors as I am under-invested and need better diversification: Industrials and Services.

Industrials:

  • General Electric Company (GE) is a conglomerate operating in eight segments: Power & Water, Oil & Gas, Energy Management, Aviation, Healthcare, Transportation, Home & Business Solutions, and GE Capital. GE cut its dividends during the financial crisis and now has a track record of raising dividends for four years in a row at an annualized rate of 16%.
  • United Technologies Corp (UTX) is a conglomerate operating in six segments: Otis, UTC fire & security, Pratt & Whitney, Hamilton Sundstrand and Sikorsky. UTX has been raising dividends for 20 years with five-year and 10-year DGRs of 10.3% and 14.5% respectively.
  • Illinois Tool Works (ITW) is a manufacturer of diversified range of industrial products and equipment with operations in 58 countries. The company operates in seven segments: transportation, power systems and electronics, industrial packaging, food equipment, construction products, polymers and fluids and all other. ITW is a dividend champion who has been raising dividends for 39 years. ITW has a five-year DGR of 9.9% and a 10-year DGR of 12.6%.
  • Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH) is a full-line diversified manufacturer of motion and control technologies and systems, including fluid power systems, electromechanical controls and related components. The company's motion and control technologies and systems are used in the products of its three business segments: industrial, aerospace, and climate & industrial controls. PH is a dividend champion who has been raising dividends for 57 years. PH has a five-year DGR of 16.2% and 10-year DGR of 12.9%.

Services:

  • Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO) engages in transportation of goods including petroleum and chemicals, grain and fertilizers, coal, metals and minerals, forest products, intermodal, and automotive products. The company operates 20,100 route miles of track that spans Canada and mid-America connecting the three coasts of Atlantic, Pacific and Gulf of Mexico. CNR is a dividend contender that has been raising its dividends for 17 consecutive years and has a five-year DGR of 13.9% and a 10-year DGR of 17.4%.
  • Norfolk Southern (NSC) engages in rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate and finished goods operating approximately 20,000 router miles across the southern and eastern U.S. NSC and other railroads stand to benefit from the oil boom in continental U.S., and before permanent pipelines are put in place, railroads are the only option available to transport the huge supplies. NSC is a dividend contender raising its dividends for 12 consecutive years and has a five-year DGR of 10.8% and 10-year DGR of 21.1%.

Other:

  • Aqua America (WTR) is a water utility company based in Pennsylvania but also provides services in seven other states. WTR is a dividend contender having raised dividends for 22 years consecutively. WTR has a five-year DGR of 7.4% and 10-year DGR of 7.9%. Water utilities are a great fit as an essential resource and the company provides very agreeable dividend growth for the sector.
  • Procter & Gamble (PG) and Unilever Plc (UL) are giants in the consumer packaged goods field. PG has five segments - beauty, grooming, healthcare, fabric care and home care. UL has four segments: personal care, foods, refreshment and home care. PG has been raising dividends for 57 years and has a five-year DGR of 10.2% and a 10-year DGR of 10.8%. UL has been raising dividends for 25 years and has a five-year 7.07%.
  • Index Funds - China ETF, Emerging Markets - I am also considering adding a new index fund to my portfolio to track the Chinese market/economy. Everyone is dumping the emerging market equities these days, and I am looking for the right time to jump in. Read about my comparison of available China ETFs here. I am also considering using an emerging market ETF instead of China-specific ETF and need to weigh out the options available.
  • Global High Yield - In a global economy, it would be naive to ignore international equities as an investment target, especially when a plethora of foreign companies pay a attractive dividends. I am considering adding international equities exposure via ETFs which yield approximately 6.5%. Click here for my list and analysis.
  • Income ETFs - I am also considering adding covered call ETFs to my portfolio as a more economical alternative to writing covered calls myself. The current environment is well suited to taking advantage of this strategy and should provide some good complementary income in my portfolio. Read about my review and analysis here.

What are your thoughts on the stocks mentioned here? Do you own them or are they on your watchlist?

Disclosure: My full list of holdings are available here.



Stocks Discussed: JNJ, MDT, RCI, QCOM, BNS, GE, UTX, ITW, PH, CNI, NSC, WTR, PG,
Rate this post:

Rating: 2.7/5 (3 votes)





Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.

Please Login if you have an account or Create a Free Account if you don't
Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)
Free 7-day Trial
FEEDBACK