Nucor is currently trading at $40 which makes it look like a valuable buy with a large margin of safety. The stock hit a low of $25 in November and has rebounded significantly since then but it has risen far less than most other competitors, and is trading at only half of its high of $80 reached in mid 2008.
In evaluating a company Benjamin Graham says is important to look at several years of data and not just base data on TTM. I think this is especially true for the last 12 months which was by no means a normal business period. Earlier this year, Nucor declared its first quarterly loss since 1966. This feat would be phenomenal for a consumer goods company, but for a cyclical company like steel it is abnormal. On the basis of the past five years Nucor's diluted P/E is 10. This is far below the market average, and despite the fact that for the several past few years many metal companies have traded at low P/Es in the future this may not necessarily be the case. Regardless, even if the P/E ratio statys the same, at a current P/E of 10 Nucor has a 10% earning yield which is very attractive for such a well run company.
Nucor also is a very share holder friendly company the company has paid 145 consecutive dividends. This translates to over 36 years of never missing a dividend. Not only has Nucor never missed a dividend payment but it has consistently raised it for 35 year until the depression of the steel industry from late 2008 until late 2009. Despite not increasing its dividend the past several quarters, Nucor to date has not cut its dividend. The company is currently paying a .35 dividend a quarter which translates to a 3.4% dividend yield I think this is very impressive for a non cyclical like consumer goods but for a cyclical like steel it is a phenomenal feat. Nucor up until 2009, was also paying out special dividends in addition to the regular quarterly dividend. This translated into a total of $3.86 worth of dividends in 2007 and increased its stated dividend yield of about 3.2% to approximately double that number. Nucor has also paid out significant amounts of special dividends in the prior years.
As Benjamin Graham states one of the reasons dividends are so important is that they show a company is acting in the interests of its shareholders and not just its management. This is certainly the case for Nucor. The company can be expected to increase its dividend as the economy and steel industry returns to normal growth.
below is some data comparing Nucors' dividend to other competitors.
DIVIDENDS
| [b]Company[/b] | [b]Industry[/b] | [b]Sector[/b] | [b]S&P 500[/b] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.51 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Avg. | 3.49 | 2.62 | 2.51 | 2.75 |
| Dividend 5 Year Growth Rate | 57.04 | 11.79 | 11.17 | 9.47 |
MANAGEMENT EFFECTIVENESS
| [b]Company[/b] | [b]Industry[/b] | [b]Sector[/b] | [b]S&P 500[/b] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on Assets (TTM) | -1.55 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 3.62 |
| Return on Assets - 5 Yr. Avg. | 18.65 | 12.26 | 10.85 | 5.24 |
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| ||||
| Return on Investment (TTM) | -1.88 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 4.94 |
| Return on Investment - 5 Yr. Avg. | 22.79 | 15.73 | 14.48 | 6.73 |
|
| ||||
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -3.18 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 8.71 |
| Return on Equity - 5 Yr. Avg. | 32.73 | 18.93 | 17.49 | 15.21 |
What about financial condition is Nucor in good financial shape? The anwser again is a resounding yes. Martin Whitman, Benjamin Graham and many other great investors were very careful that any company be in top financial shape. The anwser again is a resounding yes. Its quick ratio is close to below and current ratio is almost four.Nucor's cash and receivables alone is more than its long term debt and could pay off approximately 60% of its total liabilities. Nucor is in good enough financial shape to whether several years of a possible week economy and to make acquisitions and increase market share while other heavily indebted steel makers stumble. Below is some more data about Nucor's financial strength versus other companies
FINANCIAL STRENGTH
Nucor Industry Sector S&P 500
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 2.97 1.20 1.04 0.84
Current Ratio (MRQ) 3.96 1.97 1.66 0.99
But the miracle story of the company is not due to one phenomonal CEO. The previous CEO Iverson retired in 1999 after achieving great success and market share for the company. The new CEO Daniel DiMicco, has in the past ten years has achieved in greater success in growing the company into one of the largest steel companies in the world, and providing huge returns to shareholders.
So what makes Nucor so special and why will it continue to be in the future? One of the reasons, is the culture the company has created in its workplace. nucor is probally one of the most unique and enjoyable places to work at. Nucor pays employees large bonuses based on the productivity of their group. Managers are also paid bonuses based on the output of their group. Senior employees also get paid bonuses based on how well the company does. In addition to this, nucor pays out extraordinary bonuses when the company has a strong year. In some years this has worked out to $2,000 dollars per employee and $18,000 per employee in profit sharing. A worker has never been laid off because of a slow economy, and not a single worker has been laid off since the recession began. Nucor's success is not just due to one CEO. Nucor does not have perks like executive parking spots. Any special perk like Employee Stock Purchase Plan that is available to management is available to all its employees.
Businessweek had an article on Nucor called "The Art Of Motivation". It describes about how employees went out of their way on a weekend to repair an electric grid that was needed. They recieved no financial compensation for this, yet the company produced record profits for the quarter. The article also states that one of the reasons Nucor is able to make successful acquisitions, is because the new employees see how much money they can make if they produce good work working for Nucor and eventually are happy to join the company. This is the culture that has allowed the company to produce phenomenal success that should continue into the future. More information about how the company is successful at motivating its employees can be found on the below link http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/06_18/b3982075.htm
In conclusion I think Nucor is a great company at a very attractive price. You are getting a company with great management that is very shareholder friendly. The company's salary structure ensures that the workers will be highly productive and continue to achieve great success. Nucor also has a very strong balance sheet and a consistent record of increasing earnings and dividends. The A company like this should be trading at a high premium and high P/E, instead it is trading at a large discount to the S&P 500 average P/E. In addition, you are getting a 3.4% dividend which will likely increase in the future. This all makes Nucor a very attractive stock at its current price.
All charts are Reuters Data
Full disclosure: The author has holdings in nucor Corporation.
My investment ideas have been inspired by many of value investors including Benjamin Graham, Charles Royce, John Neff, Joel Greenblatt, Peter Lynch, Seth Klarman,Martin Whitman and Bruce Greenwald. .I live with my wife and daughter in Monsey, NY. I can be contacted jacobwolinsky(AT)gmail.com and my blog is www.valuewalk.com
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User Comments:
1. James Nyka says on Nov 17, 2009 at 3:45 PM:
A lot is spelled as TWO words, not one. Don't confuse allot with A LOT.
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2. Yswolinsky says on Nov 17, 2009 at 7:01 PM:
thanks for letting me know. I try to proofread my article carefully but sometimes I make mistakes.
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3. Sierrap says on Nov 18, 2009 at 8:11 PM:
Thanks for the article,
Have you compared the value of NUE to STLD at current prices? NUE appears to be the better investment based on a 3-5 year holding period. I own both stocks but may sell STLD and reinvest in a different sector. Any thoughts on the recycling business at NUE?
Have you compared the value of NUE to STLD at current prices? NUE appears to be the better investment based on a 3-5 year holding period. I own both stocks but may sell STLD and reinvest in a different sector. Any thoughts on the recycling business at NUE?
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4. Yswolinsky says on Nov 19, 2009 at 9:46 AM:
Not sure about Steel Dynamics, I have never looked into it. But I will try to do some analysis and let you know what I think. I think there are many other good value plays in the metals right now. US steel was at 180 2 years ago and is now at 40. I bought it at 40 and averaged down at 18 which was when it hit its low. I think it is still a great value play.
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5. Hschacht says on Nov 20, 2009 at 1:32 AM:
No grammar or spelling lessons, I promise.... but if you like NUE, you should love TX. Best balance sheet in the industry and getting better. For more on it... several articles in fact... go to www.lonelyvalue.com
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6. Yswolinsky says on Dec 03, 2009 at 8:55 AM:
CHARLOTTE, N.C., Dec. 2 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- The board of directors of Nucor Corporation (NYSE: NUE - News) increased the regular quarterly cash dividend on Nucor's common stock by 2.9% to $0.36 per share from $0.35 per share. This cash dividend is payable on February 11, 2010 to stockholders of record on December 31, 2009, and is Nucor's 147th consecutive quarterly cash dividend.
Nucor has increased its regular, or base, dividend for 37 consecutive years -- every year since it first began paying dividends in 1973. Reflecting the Nucor team's success in building Nucor's long-term earnings power, the base quarterly dividend has more than tripled since the end of 2007. In addition, over the period from 2000 to 2009, Nucor's base dividend has increased approximately ten-fold.
Nucor has increased its regular, or base, dividend for 37 consecutive years -- every year since it first began paying dividends in 1973. Reflecting the Nucor team's success in building Nucor's long-term earnings power, the base quarterly dividend has more than tripled since the end of 2007. In addition, over the period from 2000 to 2009, Nucor's base dividend has increased approximately ten-fold.
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