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Economic Calendar - Week Starting 10 Jan 2011

January 10, 2011
EconGrapher

EconGrapher

5 followers
Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 10th of January 2011. This week there's some key inflation data due out from the EU and US, with both economies set to release their CPI reports, and the US and UK also set to release producer prices. There's also industrial production stats from France, Italy, the EU, UK, and US - the US also has capacity utilisation, University of Michigan confidence, and its trade balance data due (oh and China just released its trade stats). On monetary policy the Bank of England and European Central Bank both meet this week to review monetary policy settings.

(More commentary follows the table)

DateGMTCountry/

Currency
EventForecastPrevious
SUN21:45NZDExports (New Zealand dollars) (NOV)3.65B3.68B
SUN21:45NZDImports (New Zealand dollars) (NOV)3.80B4.00B
SUN00:30AUDRetail Sales s.a. (MoM) (NOV)0.30%-1.10%
SUN02:00CNYImports (YoY) (DEC)24.90%37.70%
SUN02:00CNYTrade Balance (USD) (DEC)$20.75B$22.89B
SUN02:00CNYExports (YoY) (DEC)23.30%34.90%
MON07:45EURFrench Industrial Production (YoY) (NOV)4.40%4.70%
MON07:45EURFrench Manufacturing Production (YoY) (NOV)3.60%4.50%
MON13:30CADBuilding Permits (MoM) (NOV)0.80%6.50%
TUE13:15CADHousing Starts (DEC)178.0K188.1K
TUE23:50JPYTrade Balance - BOP Basis (Yen) (NOV)¥297.7B¥912.9B
TUE23:50JPYCurrent Account Total (Yen) (NOV)¥972.5B¥1436.2B
TUE23:50JPYAdjusted Current Account Total (Yen) (NOV)¥1149.7B¥1462.6B
WED05:00NZDREINZ Housing Price Index (DEC)
WED08:00EURGerman Real GDP Growth (DEC 31)3.60%-4.70%
WED09:00EURItalian Industrial Production w.d.a. (YoY) (NOV)4.40%2.90%
WED09:30GBPTotal Trade Balance (Pounds) (NOV)-£3800-£3946
WED10:00EUREuro-Zone Industrial Production (YoY) (NOV)5.90%6.90%
WED13:30USDImport Price Index (YoY) (DEC)4.70%3.70%
WED19:00USDMonthly Budget Statement (APR 23)-$83.5B-$91.4B
WED23:50JPYMachine Orders (YoY) (NOV)17.40%7.00%
WED00:30AUDUnemployment Rate (DEC)5.10%5.20%
WED00:30AUDEmployment Change (DEC)25.0K54.6K
THU06:30EURFrench Consumer Price Index (YoY) (DEC)1.70%1.60%
THU09:30GBPIndustrial Production (YoY) (NOV)3.30%3.30%
THU09:30GBPManufacturing Production (YoY) (NOV)5.30%5.80%
THU12:00GBPBank of England Asset Purchase Target (JAN)200B200B
THU12:00GBPBank of England Rate Decision (JAN 13)0.50%0.50%
THU12:45EUREuropean Central Bank Rate Decision (JAN 13)1.00%1.00%
THU13:30CADInternational Merchandise Trade (NOV)-2.0B-1.7B
THU13:30USDInitial Jobless Claims (JAN 8)402K409K
THU13:30USDContinuing Claims (JAN 1)4100K4103K
THU13:30USDPPI Ex Food & Energy (YoY) (DEC)1.40%1.20%
THU13:30USDProducer Price Index (YoY) (DEC)3.80%3.50%
THU13:30USDTrade Balance (NOV)-$41.0B-$38.7B
THU23:50JPYDomestic CGPI (YoY) (DEC)1.00%0.90%
FRI07:00EURGerman Consumer Price Index (YoY) (DEC F)1.70%1.70%
FRI09:30GBPProducer Price Index Input n.s.a. (YoY) (DEC)10.20%9.00%
FRI09:30GBPProducer Price Index Output n.s.a. (YoY) (DEC)3.90%3.90%
FRI10:00EUREuro-Zone CPI - Core (YoY) (DEC)1.10%1.10%
FRI10:00EUREuro-Zone Trade Balance (euros) (NOV)3.3B5.2B
FRI10:00EUREuro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (DEC)2.20%
FRI13:30USDCPI Ex Food & Energy (YoY) (DEC)0.80%0.80%
FRI13:30USDConsumer Price Index (YoY) (DEC)1.30%1.10%
FRI13:30USDAdvance Retail Sales (DEC)0.80%0.80%
FRI14:15USDCapacity Utilization (DEC)75.60%75.20%
FRI14:15USDIndustrial Production (DEC)0.50%0.40%
FRI14:55USDU. of Michigan Confidence (JAN P)75.5074.50
As noted there's a few key CPI releases out this week, including of course the US CPI data (the US also has capacity utilization numbers out - highly relevant to the inflation picture). The US is expected to report an increase in the headline inflation rate, but for core CPI to remain more or less flat vs November. Over in the EU it's a similar story, slightly higher headline, but flat core inflation. For now it seems inflation is not a worry in the developed economies - but one has to wonder about imported inflation from the rapidly growing emerging markets like China and India - who're both seeing rising inflation.

Another feature of this weak is a set of industrial production figures - this will be a good chance to get an insight into how the manufacturing sector is coping in various parts of the world. First up is France (expect a little worse), then Italy (expect a little better), Euro-Zone (worse), UK (flat), and of course the US (flat to slight improvement). It's worth noting two stats here - the US last reported its industrial production growth at 0.4% year on year; China last reported its industrial production growth at over 13% year on year.

On the monetary policy front, as noted the Bank of England will meet this week to review monetary policy, now - with this one, there's a reasonable chance they may actually start the normalization process this year with a couple of rate hikes - but for now expect no change. It's a similar story for the European Central Bank - but we'll have to watch that one closer within the backdrop of the Euro-crisis; which is still ongoing, what will the ECB have to say about it this time?

Elsewhere there's a bunch of other interesting stats like the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey (expect a small improvement), the US trade balance (worse), UK producer prices (higher), US producer prices (higher). Also out this week (was) China's trade results, (click through to the article for full analysis).

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, and stay tuned for updates...



Sources

DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar

Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/

Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com

+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification



Article Source: http://www.econgrapher.com/10jan11-calendar.html


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