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Small and Mid-Caps are close to all-time highs even as Large-Caps have marked time for the past decade.

January 23, 2011
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Dr. Paul Price

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Because big companies dominated the top performers lists back in 1999 – 2000 their share valuations grew to unsustainably overpriced levels. That’s why the stock prices of many fine companies that have posted significant advances in their fundamentals have seen little to no progress in their share prices since 2000.

Conversely, many of the overlooked small and mid-cap companies at the turn of the millennium were trading at less than typical multiples simply due to being the ‘out of favor’ group. Their stocks, as a group, have been superb performers as noted on this 10-year chart from the Jan. 23, 2011 Wall Street Journal.





While the chart only shows the Mid-Caps versus the S&P 500, the body of the WSJ article noted that the S&P Small-Cap 600 was recently within 3% of its all-time peak set in July 2007.

From 2000 – 2010:

Index Cum. Performance (including Div.) Outperformance
S & P 500 14.1% N/A
S& P 400 (mid-caps) 72.0% 410.6%
S & P 600 (small-caps) 77.2% 447.5%


For 2010 only:

Index Cum. Performance (including Div.) Outperformance
S & P 500 15.% N/A
S& P 400 (mid-caps) 26% 73.3%
S & P 600 (small-caps) 27% 80%


Credit Suisse Group notes that the relative outperformance has now pushed the average P/Es of the smaller companies to 17x versus the large caps average of 14x. That may set the stage for a reversal of trend going forward.

Dr. Paul Price www.BeatingBuffett.com www.OptionsProfits.com

About the author:

Dr. Paul Price: After college at The American University [BS - 1971] and dental school at University of Pennsylvania [DMD - 1977] Paul served as a dental officer in the United States Air Force both domestically and overseas in Turkey and England. In 1987 he made a full-time career switch by joining Merrill Lynch. Over the next 13 years he also worked with A.G. Edwards, Wheat First [now Wachovia Securities], and Ferris, Baker Watts. Dr. Price had enough success to retire in October 2000 but continues to help friends and family with their investments. He continues to give occasional investment seminars for civic groups and business schools.

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Rating: 2.8/5 (10 votes)

Comments

superguru
Superguru - 2 years ago
"Credit Suisse Group notes that the relative outperformance has now pushed the average P/Es of the smaller companies to 17x versus the large caps average of 14x."

How does that indicate that large cap is cheaper?

Large cap average of 14x means fairly valued to slightly overvalued?

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