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Re: Bruce Berkowitz Details His Thesis On BAC

DaveinHackensack

Incidentally, I fleshed out my idea above (about how the high optimal hedging costs on BAC might have been a red flag) in a Seeking Alpha article today, High Optimal Hedging Costs: A Red Flag?

Something interesting I noticed, going back to that April 10th list of optimal hedging costs of Dow components: the 4 stocks with the lowest hedging costs significantly outperformed the Dow, and the 4 stocks with the highest hedging costs (BAC being one of them) significantly underperformed.

Tickers in the article:

What Worked in the Stock Market for Long-Term Investors?

Extensive research has found that the companies with predictable revenues and earnings outperform the market average; they also suffer lower probability of loss. As a matter of fact, this kind of companies are exactly what Warren Buffett wants to buy and hold forever. Please read the research about what worked in the stock market:

Part I: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Predictability Rank
Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety


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