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Tweedy Browne: These markets seem to know no fear

April 12, 2006

Tweedy Browne: Historically, stock markets have provided a better balance between fear and greed. The fear quotient which generally provides us with ample investment opportunities is from our point of view, virtually nonexistent in global equity markets today. These markets seem to know no fear. Liquidity abounds, and pricing seems full in most asset categories including real estate, private equity, high yield bonds and public equities. This will eventually change. It's hard to know what it will be, but something will occur to once again impugn the confidence of investors. Reversion to the mean is a powerful force. As to when, it's anyone's guess.

As Yogi Berra said, "It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." In the meantime, we believe we need to avoid temptations to change our investment principles to accommodate a market that is not very accommodating to our needs. Until better opportunities present themselves, our Funds will remain closed to new investors with certain exceptions.

"Our deep value approach continues to bear precious little “new” fruit as bargain-priced issues around the globe remain scarce. We were once again net sellers in both funds during the quarter resulting in a modest increase in cash reserves."

About Wal-Mart:

"We were once again net sellers of stocks in terms of dollar volume during the quarter by an over 5 to 1 margin, taking a modest initial position in only one new name, Wal-mart Stores. Wal-mart, which has a terrific long term record of above average compound growth in revenues and earnings, is trading 26% off its high achieved in 2002 and at a very reasonable multiple of estimated earnings. Warren Buffett has been building a position in Wal-mart for Berkshire Hathaway, of late, at prices roughly equivalent to what we have paid for our shares."

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Rating: 3.5/5 (2 votes)


Vooch - 10 years ago    Report SPAM
I read the Tweedy Browne report and noticed their loss in Natuzzi, the Italian furniture maker. If they would have done some research, they would have realized that Chinese furniture is killing the market because it's priced far below competitors.

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