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David Einhorn Has Crushed Green Mountain Roasters (GMCR)

October 26, 2011 | About:
A lot of former momentum high fliers have been trashed of late - Green Mountain Roasters (GMCR) is definitely near the head of the list. The stock was actually holding up quite well during the majority of the swoon in the market late summer, early fall - but a short selling presentation by respected hedge fund maven David Einhorn a week and a half ago, crushed the stock. It's lost about 40% of its value in that time.

Here is the report if you are interested

David Einhorn's presentation on Green Mountain

I thought earnings were tonight and this potentially set up a very interesting risk reward as the stock is down over 40% in the past two weeks, but it appears the original date (which many services had listed as tonight) has changed. I just called investor relations to check, and the recording says as much. Expectations are extremely low - obviously.



On the flip side, there are still massive gaps in the long term chart that eventually should be filled - one down at $45 and another at (gulp) low $30s. But usually things don't move in a straight line. We'll see how this one plays out. But the 'momo' group has taken some serious hits this week.

No position

About the author:

Mark's equity focus is identifying secular growth trends, and the companies most likely to benefit from these macro trends. Stocks are identified through fundamental analysis, although basic technical analysis is used in determining entry and exit points. With a degree in Economics from the University of Michigan, a broader understanding of the economy as a whole, along with interpreting investor psychology is also a major interest for Mark. His career background has focused on financial analysis in corporate America. Visit Mark's website at http://www.fundmymutualfund.com/

Visit TraderMark's Website

Tickers in the article:

What Worked in the Stock Market for Long-Term Investors?

Extensive research has found that the companies with predictable revenues and earnings outperform the market average; they also suffer lower probability of loss. As a matter of fact, this kind of companies are exactly what Warren Buffett wants to buy and hold forever. Please read the research about what worked in the stock market:

Part I: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Predictability Rank
Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety


Rating: 2.6/5 (5 votes)

Comments

paulwitt
Paulwitt premium member - 1 year ago
The proper play in that case is to load up on puts!

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