10-year

Don't Miss This Only Promotion (20% off)

Join GuruFocus Premium Membership Now for Only $279/Year

Save up to $500 on Global Membership.

Don't Miss It !

Free 7-day Trial
All Articles and Columns »

VistaPrint: Small and rapid growing low-cost printing service with more than $16 million of insider buying

January 21, 2012 | About:
It would be nice for any investors to spot the company with consistent grow in the level of revenue over time, while returning double digit on equity as well as generating consistent positive growing trend of cash flow. Today, I would like to take you through the Netherlands Company named VistaPrint (VPRT), which matches the criteria on the scanning look. VPRT is involved in the business of providing online coordinated portfolios of customized marketing products and services to micro businesses worldwide. It offers wide range of products such as business cards, brochures, post cards, holiday cards, calendars, etc. Since 2006, VPRT got not so extreme fluctuations in its stock price, starting at around $14 at the end of 2005, up to $61.5 in April 2010, and now it is staying at around $30 level.

1315288415.jpg

VPRT has experienced the tremendous growth over the last 10 years. The top line of the company has grown from $6.1 million in 2001 to more than $810 million in 2011, and all of the growth has been organic. The Internet-based order- processing systems has received and stored tens of thousands of individual orders on a daily basis, and organize these orders for efficient production and delivery to the customers. The second quarter ending December 31, including the majority of holiday shopping season is becoming the strongest quarter for sales of consumer-oriented products such as holiday cards, calendars and gifts. So business is quite seasonal, with the main focus on the second quarter. Historically, the second quarter net income delivered 33%-40% of the total profit for the year.

VPRT successfully used two pillars of its business models. First, the customers mainly come from the Internet where they can conveniently browse for products and place orders. So VPRT doesn’t have large large capital expenditure like other brick-and-mortar establishments. In addition, it uses a mass-customization manufacturing model, meaning that customers can choose between fixed products or it can customize the products to fit customers’ tastes. The company got more than 70,000 photographs and illustrations to appear on every single product it offers to customers. With that economy of scales, the company can provide the private small businesses lower priced products than other printing services can offer. VPRT can be considered one of the outstanding business in the strategy of low cost leadership, that leads to providing customers with low cost printing services, further enhance its economy of scale. However, the business model can be easy to copy, and that would lead to substantial competition in the near future.

Over the years, VPRT experienced the growing trend of operating income as well as net income. And the same trend can be spotted in the level of operating cash flow and free cash flow, although the cash flow position seemed to be more fluctuating than the operating and net income.

USD million 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Revenue 91 152 256 401 516 670 817
Operating Income -16 19 27 41 62 77 93
Net Income -16 19 27 40 56 68 82
Operating Cash Flow -7 35 54 88 120 154 163
Free Cash Flow -25 7 -13 18 37 46 119


When the income turned positive from 2006 onwards, VPRT began to deliver double digit return on equity consistently. The return on equity over 06 years average since 2006 is staying at nearly 23%, with the range of 18-39%.

In terms of financial structure, VPRT got quite conservative and liquid one. The company is debt-free, even with D/A is 23.2% but the main component of liabilities is accrued liabilities. In the asset side, the PP&E takes around 54% and the cash level of as high as 34% of the total company’s asset. Adjusting the level of cash, with $1.15 billion in market capitalization, the enterprise value of the company stays around $1 billion. Currently, VPRT is trading at reasonable valuation, of 16.7x P/E, 3.2x book and only 7.6x cash flow, half of the 05 year average historical valuation.

In terms of insider trading, VPRT is experiencing the significant insider buying with large amount of shares in. It can somehow indicates the signal of undervalue.

389351535.jpg

In conclusion, VPRT can be considered the position for the basket of value investment portfolio. It was not screamingly cheap at this price, but it is somehow undervalued, at least comparing to its historical valuation, besides the undervalue signal of large insider buying.

  • CEO Buys, CFO Buys: Stocks that are bought by their CEO/CFOs.
  • Insider Cluster Buys: Stocks that multiple company officers and directors have bought.
  • Double Buys:: Companies that both Gurus and Insiders are buying
  • Triple Buys: Companies that both Gurus and Insiders are buying, and Company is buying back.

» Take a Free Trial of Premium Membership

About the author:

Anh Hoang
Money manager into global equities, especially with US and Vietnam markets. CFA level 3 candidate. Lecturer for Stalla - CFA course in Vietnam

Visit Anh Hoang's Website


Rating: 3.9/5 (14 votes)

Comments

ssg280
Ssg280 - 2 years ago
I agree that VPRT looks undervalued by 35-45%. $45 -$50 seems closer to IV per my DCF.

Q2'12 earnings are to be released on 1/26/12. Short interest is at ~20%, making VPRT the most shorted Dutch stock.

I'm weary of entering prior to earnings. There is equally a chance of a short squeeze and big pop if earnings are slightly positive and a chance of further declines in share price if news is mediocre.

If the former occurs, I may miss out on this investment. However, I don't want to take the risk and give up a few hundred bps margin of safety if there is further downside.
ssg280
Ssg280 - 2 years ago
Prior to earnings, I had a change of heart after remembering that as a value investor you shouldn't time the market and if you believe in your Margin of Safety / Thesis you should buy. If it get's cheaper you buy more. I put in my order at $30.80 prepared for a wild swing either way.

Guess I got a bit of luck from Mr. Market given the 21% appreciation. Must be a sign!

Please leave your comment:


Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)
Free 7-day Trial
FEEDBACK