Feedback
European Shorting
My Portfolios
Browse Gurus
Print
Email
But the problem had always been the debt-to-equity ratio which now stands at slightly more than 6 (with $12.87 billion LT debt and $2.44 billion equity). I had looked at the morningstar data before and never dug deeper because this ratio was too high for me. In this article, I will try to explain why this was terribly stupid of me to not dig deeper in this particular case.
I have been reading a barrage of recommendations for Philip Morris (PM). So, I decided to look a bit deeper. I found something very interesting. Here is the figures from the cash flow statement of PM.
| Item (cash flow) | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
| Short term borrowings | (9) | 246 | (449) |
| LT debt (net) | 947 | 2,886 | 6,156 |
| Repurchase common stock (net) | (4,801) | (5,448) | (5,138) |
| Dividends paid | (4,423) | (4,327) | (2,060) |
| Interest | (912) | (743) | (499) |
Here is the equity part of PM’s balance sheet.
| Item | 2010 | 2009 |
| Common stock, no par value (2,109,316,331 shares issued in 2010 and 2009) | 0 | 0 |
| Additional paid-in capital | 1,225 | 1,403 |
| Earnings reinvested in the business | 18,133 | 15,358 |
| Accumulated other comprehensive losses | (1,140) | (817) |
| 18,218 | 15,944 | |
| Less: cost of repurchased stock (307,532,841 and 222,151,828 shares in 2010 and 2009, respectively) | 14,712 | 10,228 |
| Total PMI stockholders’ equity | 3,506 | 5,716 |
| Non-controlling interests | 427 | 429 |
| Total stockholders’ equity | 3,933 | 6,145 |
And here we see the culprit for the high debt-to-equity ratio of PM, the share buybacks.
This was a light-bulb-on-the-head kind of discovery for me. I will explain it here.
We know the basic equation for the balance sheet.
asset=liability+equity
book value=(equity-non-controlling interest)/(no. of shares outstanding)
Now, let us see what happens when a company buys back shares. Let us suppose that the company bought back $100 million worth of shares. This money goes out of the assets of the company. How do we account for this on the right side of the equation ? Well, this money goes out of the equity. And we get lower equity and lower book value. Not surprisingly if we look at the book value per share of PM we have the following data
| Year | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
| Book value per share | 2.18 | 3.26 | 3.94 |
So, here are the lessons to learn
- Share buyback reduces the book value per share and reduces equity hence increasing the debt-to-equity ratio.
- For companies doing share repurchases the decrease in book value per share is not a warning sign, the same goes for large debt-to-equity ratio. One needs to be careful when rejecting such companies using a screener or a black box method of not choosing companies with large debt-to-equity ratio and decreasing book value per share.
About the author:
I started investing in December 2009and my first stock CreditSuisse (CS) tanked to almost half its
value. This nudged me to start learning about investing from the ground
up. I am a long term value investor and am planning to generate sustainable amount of money from investment income by the time I am 40 years old i.e., 2025.
Subscribe RSS
RSS
Regarding PM - I feel the shares are modestly over valued. Still it is high quality company with good cash return.
Risk is the ever present litigation risk. There is an ethical issue as well. The company makes an highly addictive substance which is the greatest killer of mankind. About 5 million people die every year because of smoking - more than all wars and famines combined.