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Why Warren Buffett Keeps Adding To His Wells Fargo Investment

In its annual report for 2011, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) reported common stock investments in eleven companies that each had a market value exceeding $1 billion. However, there has been only one of these companies that Warren Buffett has been adding to every year since 2005. That company is Wells Fargo (WFC). Berkshire further added to its stake in Wells Fargo during the first quarter of 2012. Currently, Wells Fargo is Berkshire’s second largest investment, valued at $13.7 billion. (Berkshire’s largest common stock investment is in Coca-Cola (KO), with a market value of $15.6 billion. Berkshire’s third largest investment is in IBM (IBM), which has a market value of $12.6 billion.)

In 1990, Berkshire Hathaway made an initial investment in Wells Fargo of $289 million (5 million shares). That position was relatively stable from 1990 through 2004. (In 1998, Wells Fargo merged with Norwest and each share of Wells Fargo was converted into 10 shares of the “new” Wells Fargo.) Beginning in 2005, Warren Buffett has added to his stake in Wells Fargo, as shown in the table below:

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(Source: Data derived from Berkshire Hathaway Annual Reports 2004-2011, SEC 13F First Quarter 2012, and Yahoo Finance.) (Note: It is assumed that Berkshire Hathaway purchased its Wells Fargo shares at the average price in each time period. Neither the annual reports, nor the 13F filings, reveal the actual cost of these purchases each year, or each quarter.)

From this table, it can be seen that Berkshire’s largest investments in Wells Fargo were in 2007 ($2,866 million), 2005 ($1,183 million), and 2011 ($1,168 million), respectively. Even at the peak of the financial crisis in 2008, Warren Buffett added $32 million to his position in Wells Fargo. As of March 31, 2012, Berkshire Hathaway owned 7.7% of Wells Fargo and is its largest shareholder.

In recent Berkshire annual meetings, Warren Buffett has praised Wells Fargo as one of his favorite investments. It is ranked number one in the U.S. banking industry in total market value ($176 billion), even though it is only fourth largest by assets. It has the most extensive bank branch network in the U.S., with 6,200 retail branches in 39 states, and serves one of every three U.S. households.

Wells Fargo originates one of every four home mortgages and services more home loans than anyone else. What seems most notable of all is that this is one of a relatively few large banks that has focused almost exclusively on its original mission of commercial banking. It has not diversified into the high risk area of investment banking as so many of its major competitors have. In addition, it has avoided geographically expanding into Europe, where the banks and economies of many countries are facing enormous challenges. Indeed, 97 percent of Wells Fargo’s assets and 98 percent of its employees are based in the U.S. Wells Fargo vigorously pursues a cross-selling strategy, in which additional products are sold to its existing customers. The average Wells Fargo customer now uses six products from the bank, a substantial increase from the one or two in the 1980’s.

Wells Fargo’s 2011 net income was almost $16 billion, up from $2.7 billion in 2008. In 2008, it purchased Wachovia for $15 billion, which greatly expanded its presence in the East and the South. This acquisition also resulted in a major entry into brokerage services through Wachovia’s A.G. Edwards, which enhanced its ability to cross-sell additional products.

Finally, the current quality of Wells Fargo’s loan portfolio compares favorably to its competition. In the first quarter of 2012, Wells Fargo’s net charge-offs were 1.25% of its total loans, versus 1.8% at Bank of America (BAC), 2.19% at JP Morgan Chase (JPM), and 3.19% at Citigroup (C).

With analysts currently projecting Wells Fargo to achieve annual growth in earnings per share exceeding 10% over the next five years, and with the shares reasonably valued at 10 times earnings, Wells Fargo is a very attractive investment with an appealing risk/reward profile.

About the author:

David Kass
David I Kass
Tyser Teaching Fellow, Department of Finance
Ph.D., Harvard University

Robert H. Smith School of Business
4412 Van Munching Hall
University of Maryland
College Park, MD 20742-1815
Phone: 301-405-9683
Email: dkass@rhsmith.umd.edu

Dr. David Kass has published articles in corporate finance, industrial organization, and health economics. He currently teaches Advanced Financial Management and Business Finance. Prior to joining the faculty of the Smith School in 2004, he held senior positions with the Federal Government (Federal Trade Commission, General Accounting Office, Department of Defense, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis). Dr. Kass has recently appeared on Bloomberg TV, CNBC, Maryland Public Television, Business News Network TV (Canada), and WYPR Radio (Baltimore), and has been quoted on numerous occasions by Bloomberg News, where he has primarily discussed Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. He has also launched a Smith School “Warren Buffett” blog. Dr. Kass has accompanied MBA students on trips to Omaha for private meetings with Warren Buffett, and Finance Fellows to Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meetings. He is an officer of the Harvard Business School Club of Washington, DC, and is a member of the investment and budget committees of a local nonprofit organization. Dr. Kass received a Smith School “Top 15% Teaching Award” for the 2009-2010 academic year.

Visit David Kass's Website


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Comments

PHILCIR
PHILCIR - 2 years ago
Buffett blew a major whole into his balance sheet similar to AIG in 2008 when the market crashed. He was likely tipped off about the Fed's plans long before the rest of us. that's because he's one of the uber cronies. Bet he got a gov't backstop in GS and BAC that went unreported. If you recall, there was some doubt after the crash as to whether the Fed would be so generous. If not for the bailouts, Buffett could have blown up.

I guess you think he's just some ultra smart grand-fatherly guy from NB who isn't one of the uber cronies. Where do you buy your kool-aide?

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