He has also written books about investing, notably "Investment Philosophies" and "Investment Fables." In Chapter 2 of "Investment Fables: Exposing the Myths of 'Can't Miss' Investment Strategies," he questioned the conventional wisdom of selecting stocks solely on high dividend yield. He say that dividends, unlike coupons on bonds, are not promised cash flows. A dividend that is too high, relative to the earnings and cash flows generated by a company, is unsustainable and will have to be cut sooner rather than later. Also, high dividend payouts often translate into low expected growth rates in earnings.
Previously I have written an article on "Why the High Dividend-Yield Screen Fails," where I share similar thoughts with Professor Damodaran on the perils of screening and selecting stocks purely on high dividend yield.
He suggested the following improvements to the traditional high dividend yield screen:
- dividend yields > 4%
- dividend payout ratios< 60%
- dividends< FCFE
- expected EPS growth > 4%
The following stocks passed the Damodaran Dividend Stock Screen:
|Stock Symbol||Company Name||Dividend Yield||Dividend Payout|
|BOH||BANK OF HAWAII CORPORATION||4.0%||53%|
|BMO||BANK OF MONTREAL (USA)||4.7%||56%|
|HBC||HSBC HOLDINGS PLC (ADR)||4.1%||45%|
|DCM||NTT DOCOMO INC (ADR)||4.8%||50%|
|TAL||TAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.||5.8%||60%|
|TEO||TELECOM ARGENTINA S.A. (ADR)||9.7%||36%|