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A Typo, or Intentional Cheating?

December 22, 2012 | About:
Dr. Paul Price

Dr. Paul Price

35 followers
Wall Street Cheats – Don’t be fooled

Readers of mainstream financial publications expect what is printed to be accurate. This should be especially true when a brokerage firm is putting out a specific buy/sell opinion that is priced and dated.

The Dec. 22, 2012 issue of Barron’s illustrates how firms can pad their performance numbers by ‘past-posting’ recommendations after a stock has already moved up.

Here is a look at exactly what was published. The column is dated Dec.22, but the "Outperform" rating claims to have been made on Dec. 20, 2012. Robert W. Baird & Co. really liked Sealed Air (SEE) at $15.21 per share.



I found only one itsy bitsy problem with that. SEE had a weekly range (Dec. 17 to 21) from a low of $16.13 to a weekly high of $17.36. Despite Friday’s sell-off SEE closed the week at $17.35.

How, then, could Baird & Co. have put it on the buy list at $15.21? Give them the benefit of the doubt and assume they put out their research recommendation after the close on Dec.19 but prior to Thursday’s opening. Sorry, it closed at $17.23 on December 19th.



Robert Baird & Co. will probably take credit for a very nice $2.14 per share (+14.07%) fictional gain for the first day following their claimed, well-timed buy at $15.21.

Why would Barron's complicate matters by letting readers that it didn’t happen?

I’ll be waiting to see if Barron’s or Baird & Co. publishes a correction. I won’t be holding my breath, though.

About the author:

Dr. Paul Price: After college at The American University [BS - 1971] and dental school at University of Pennsylvania [DMD - 1977] Paul served as a dental officer in the United States Air Force both domestically and overseas in Turkey and England. In 1987 he made a full-time career switch by joining Merrill Lynch. Over the next 13 years he also worked with A.G. Edwards, Wheat First [now Wachovia Securities], and Ferris, Baker Watts. Dr. Price had enough success to retire in October 2000 but continues to help friends and family with their investments. He continues to give occasional investment seminars for civic groups and business schools.

Tickers in the article:

What Worked in the Stock Market for Long-Term Investors?

Extensive research has found that the companies with predictable revenues and earnings outperform the market average; they also suffer lower probability of loss. As a matter of fact, this kind of companies are exactly what Warren Buffett wants to buy and hold forever. Please read the research about what worked in the stock market:

Part I: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Predictability Rank
Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety


Rating: 3.6/5 (15 votes)

Comments

AlbertaSunwapta
AlbertaSunwapta - 4 months ago
I love these 'outings'!

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