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Carl Icahn Writes Letter to Transocean Shareholders - Wants A Dividend Increase

April 05, 2013 | About:
Canadian Value

CanadianValue

210 followers
How does Icahn get any sleep? He seems to be publicly active with a new company every week — Herbalife, Chesapeake, Dell (potential acquisition).

Yesterday he released this letter asking shareholders to support his three proposed directors and the implementation of a much larger dividend. Here is his letter:

"Dear Fellow Transocean Shareholders:

THE 2013 TRANSOCEAN ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING WILL BE HELD ON MAY 17, 2013. MY AFFILIATES AND I OWN APPROXIMATELY 5.43% OF THE SHARES OF TRANSOCEAN.

WE URGE SHAREHOLDERS TO VOTE AT THE 2013 TRANSOCEAN ANNUAL GENERAL MEETINGFORTHE ICAHN PROPOSAL TO INCREASE THE DIVIDEND AT TRANSOCEAN TO $4.00 PER SHARE ANDFORTHE ICAHN PROPOSAL TO ELECT JOSE MARIA ALAPONT, JOHN J. LIPINSKI AND SAMUEL MERKSAMER TO THE TRANSOCEAN BOARD OF DIRECTORS.

We believe that shareholders have the opportunity to increase shareholder value by supporting our proposals and replacing Michael Talbert, Thomas Cason and Robert Sprague, directors who presided as members of the Transocean Board during the transactions described below, which we believe destroyed approximately $11 billion of shareholder value and that continues to pursue strategies, as described below, that we believe are likely to destroy as much as $3 billion of further value in the future.

As more fully described below, we believe that the Transocean Board:

· has destroyed over $10 billion of value in the Global Santa Fe Merger
· has destroyed almost $1 billion of value by pursuing the Aker acquisition
· is likely to destroy $3 billion of additional value by pursuing the current capital allocation strategy


Transocean chairman Michael Talbert has been at the helm of Transocean for 20 years, and along with Thomas Cason and Robert Sprague (who have sat respectively, for 20 and 10 years on the Board of Transocean) these directors cannot avoid their share of responsibility for the performance of Transocean and its shares. These Board members are now up for reelection and shareholders have the opportunity, in our opinion, to close the valuation gap at Transocean by replacing the directors that oversaw the performance at Transocean, and by increasing the dividend to $4.00 per share. We believe that a $4.00 per share dividend will not only result in an appropriate and meaningful return of value to shareholders, but will also force discipline on the Board.

Share Performance

The actions taken by the Board over the past several years have, in our opinion, destroyed billions of dollars of value, which we believe is clearly reflected in the performance of Transocean shares when compared to its competitors.

We believe that Transocean shares have underperformed as a direct result of the poor decisions made by the Transocean Board. We further believe, for the reasons set forth below, that under the current capital allocation strategy championed by this Board, Transocean will continue to underperform its peers.

Transocean Relative Stock Appreciation
11/07-Present

Post GSF
Avg. 2009-Present

“Trough”
11/07-3/10

GSF To Macando
2011-Present

Post Macando
Diamond Offshore --20.0% 1.8% -9.6% 13.0%
Ensco 7.4% 66.1% -16.8% 8.3%
Noble --25.0% 22.2% -18.3% 4.9%
Seadrill 68.4% 144.5% 7.6% 8.5%
Atwood Oceanics 18.0% 96.6% --20.6% 37.7%
Rowan -4.4% 83.2% --17.8% -2.7%
Comp Set Average 7.4% 69.1% -12.6% 11.6%
Transocean -63.2% -29.1% --37.1% -27.3%


Global Santa Fe [/b]In 2007, the same directors who are now using over $5 billion of capital to pay down low coupon debt at Transocean oversaw the purchase of Global Santa Fe (“GSF”) while simultaneously leveraging the balance sheet to pay a special dividend. The GSF acquisition occurred at the height of a global bull market, and while the timing itself was unfortunate, focusing on timing obfuscates what we view as the fundamental problems with the acquisition.

We believe that in pursuing GSF, Mr. Talbert and the Board acquired a fleet which substantially increased the age and volatility of Transocean’s asset base while simultaneously increasing financial leverage. Transocean paid almost $18.2 billion for the GSF assets which we believe are worth only $7.5 billion today, [b]thereby destroying $10.3 billion of shareholder value
. 1

Even using an estimate of Transocean’s current net asset value of $68 per share to value the stock portion of consideration, the purchase price comes to $12.75 billion (about $11 billion at today’s depressed market price) meaning that over $5 billion of shareholder value was destroyed using this metric.

Not only did the Board approve the purchase of old and volatile assets while simultaneously leveraging the balance sheet, but even the strategic logic behind this acquisition (as stated in the merger proxy) proved incorrect. This acquisition represented the pinnacle of a decade of deal making and consolidation, which Transocean justified under the premise that a larger company would benefit from cost savings, diversity and an “enhanced industry presence” according to their proxy statement. However, in 2006, before the GSF acquisition, Transocean was running SGA at 2.3% of sales and post the GSF acquisition for the last three years Transocean has been at 3.2% of sales. Clearly, the consolidation benefits never materialized. In comparison, while Transocean was busy paying top dollar for old GSF assets, Seadrill was building new assets and driving shareholder returns.

Aker Drilling

In 2011, Transocean purchased Aker Drilling in an apparent attempt to upgrade their fleet following the damage that we believe was caused by the GSF acquisition. Transocean purchased four rigs in the Aker Drilling transaction (two of which were still under construction) at a premium to new build construction costs. Although Transocean had the ability to utilize cash to fund the acquisition, instead, Mr. Talbert and the Board, in what appears to us to have been an emphasis on credit ratings over shareholder returns, issued almost 30 million shares of Transocean at $40.50 per share immediately after the acquisition of Aker Drilling. In essence, Transocean bought assets at a premium to net asset value and paid for them by issuing shares at substantially below net asset value, in our opinion destroying almost $840 million ($2.50) per share in value. As observed by Morgan Stanley:

“We estimate the secondary offering will create a total NAV loss of ~$837m, raising the implied value paid for the two semis by ~$419m apiece, thereby bringing the total implied amount paid for each harsh environment semi to a high ~$1.4bn. Conversely, at ~$43/sh, the implied value for each of RIG’s UDW floaters (including the Aker rigs) is about $293m, a sharp difference from the “price paid” for the Aker semis.” Ole Slorer – Morgan Stanley November 29, 2011.2

The New Transocean Plan

The Board of Transocean is now endorsing a new plan whereby Transocean will invest billions of dollars in building low return assets and repaying low coupon debt, rather than returning capital to shareholders. Transocean is accepting lower returns on new build assets in exchange for long term contracts to reduce the volatility of their business. However, at the same time Transocean is using massive amounts of cash flow to reduce debt. In stark contrast to the GSF acquisition, in which Transocean increased volatility and leverage, Transocean is now going to the other extreme and decreasing both volatility and leverage thereby driving returns to below its cost of capital. In our view, a balanced approach to managing financial leverage and volatility would yield superior returns for shareholders.

Transocean’s plan appears to use $8.75 billion of capital over the next several years to build new assets and reduce debt, generating an average after tax return of approximately 7%. The sheer size of this investment is equal to almost $25 per share. In fact, a $5 billion ($13.92 per share) investment in debt reduction would result in less than $200 million per year in after tax income ($0.57 per share). Based on an 8.25x 2015 P/E multiple, $8.75 billion of capital invested in this manner would only add $5.1 billion of value, thereby destroying another $3.6 billion of shareholder value. Furthermore, if Transocean chooses to pay down that much debt, the terms of the underlying debt documents will require Transocean to pay hundreds of million in debt prepayment penalties erasing even this modest benefit.3 Recently, Transocean established a 10% weighted average cost of capital (“WACC”) in their management incentive plan for 2012. Generating EBITDA in excess of this WACC (which they describe as “Cash Flow Value Added”), according to the Board, is “closely correlated with total shareholder return” and therefore results in high incentive payouts to management. We cannot help but observe that if the Board understands the “close correlation” between such Cash Flow Value Added and “total shareholder return”, then we believe that they should also understand that their investment plans are below their own target, and will have a “close correlation” to any negative total returns for shareholders. Further, shareholders should not be surprised if the Board realizes that these targets will not be met, and moves the goal posts to assure bonus payments continue to flow to management regardless of meeting these targets.

Support The Icahn Proposals

We urge shareholders to take control of decision making and capital allocation by replacing longstanding Transocean Board members and by approving a substantial dividend of $4.00 per share.

The poor decisions of the Transocean Board, as evidenced by the Global Santa Fe and Aker Drilling transactions and the current capital allocation policy, and as reflected in the performance of Transocean shares relative to its peers, persuades us that it is time for Talbert, Cason and Sprague to go. We have proposed directors who we believe are capable and willing to develop a value added strategy for shareholders, and who are prepared to focus the company on higher return opportunities and distribute more cash to shareholders.

VOTE FOR Mr. Alapont, who has more than 30 years of global leadership experience at both vehicle manufacturers and suppliers, with business and operations responsibilities in the Europe, Middle East and Africa, Asia Pacific, and Americas regions.

VOTE FOR Mr. Lipinski, who has had a long and successful career in the energy industry, including as CEO and President of CVR Energy, Inc. and CVR Refining, LP, and has a deep understanding of operations and executive management.

VOTE FOR Mr. Merksamer, who has extensive investing experience and strong understanding of business operations and finance.

VOTE FOR A $4.00 PER SHARE DIVIDEND.

We look forward to having further communications with shareholders as the Annual General Meeting approaches.

Very truly yours,

Carl C. Icahn"

About the author:

CanadianValue
http://valueinvestorcanada.blogspot.com/

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