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Dividend ETFs Make Swift Train Tracks

Yesterday was the worst day for the Dow Jones Industrial Average so far this year with the bellwether index falling 265 points. We saw nearly every sector of the market get beaten down for 1% or more which left many traders screens bathed in red across the board.

Despite that thorough drubbing, many sectors have rebounded significantly today to nearly erase yesterday's losses. Specifically I have been closely monitoring the defensive equity income sectors such as Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU), iShares Real Estate ETF (IYR) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP).

Looking at a charts of all three of these sectors below we can see a very strong upward push on the High/Low/Close bars since yesterday's lows. When a stock or ETF makes a very long bar followed the next day by an immediate reversal, this pattern is known as "train tracks" in trading slang.

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This strength suggests that there is still a healthy appetite for sector rotation out of higher volatility stocks like Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE), Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY). Investors appear to be losing faith in these cyclical stocks as we have seen widespread selling across the board in commodities like gold, oil and other natural resources.

During times of volatility like this we often see a flight to quality in terms of money moving to more income oriented equity sectors that pay healthy dividends and tend to be less price sensitive. Another equity income ETF that has held up very well over the last few days is the iShares U.S. Preferred Stock ETF (PFF).

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The chart above shows how PFF only pulled back slightly yesterday and has pushed to new highs today. I recently wrote an article about how preferred stock ETFs work and the benefits of adding them to an income portfolio.

The Final Word

Whether or not we are starting to see signs of a market top remain to be seen, but there is clear evidence that dividend ETFs are not going to go quietly. We are still seeing strength across the board in sectors that provide strong dividend streams and low volatility. I believe this speaks volumes about the need for real return in a world of zero interest-rate policy.

About the author:

fabiancapital
David is currently the Chief Operations Officer and Managing Partner of Fabian Capital Management, a registered investment advisory firm. David has years of experience constructing actively managed growth and income portfolios using ETFs and mutual funds.

David’s responsibilities include: operations management, technology coordinator, chief compliance officer, investment research, client communication, marketing and portfolio management. In addition, David actively contributes to the Fabian Capital Management blog, podcasts, and special reports.

Visit fabiancapital's Website


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