This was one of the stocks I bought on analyst recommendations at the end of 2010. I subsequently sold it at a loss of near 30% [Righting the Ship]. The reason for my selling were as follows.
The company has continually diluted shareholders by awarding stock options to its management. For example, in just 2010 the company awarded RSUs worth $10.6 million and options worth $3.8 million. For a company with market cap $493 million at the moment, this represents a significant burn rate of 2.8%! The cumulative effect shows in the share outstanding data.
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The growth is great, i.e. 14% CAGR, but the company has only been profitable since 2010 and that too seems to be a fluke in the sense that the income is going down year over year.
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[ Enlarge Image ]Furthermore, the company operates in a subsidized industry. Changes in government subsidy will have adverse effect on both the business (revenue) as well as profitability.
The only saving grace was the lack of debt on its balance sheet. The company has no long term debt since 2011 and has a net cash position of $266 million. But cash is no substitute for business. Hence, I bit the loss and sold the stock.
Feed-in tariffs have been a significant driver in the growth of the solar industry, with countries throughout the world providing incentives to spur adoption of renewable energy. While many countries have adopted feed-in tariffs, subsidies, or other incentives, some are re-evaluating the level of incentives they wish to provide.
I was surprised to see the following announcement in my Google Reader news feed today.
The stock closed at $4 on 19 April 2013 and the offer is nearly 60% higher.
The boards of ABB and Power-One have agreed to a transaction in which ABB will acquire Power-One at $6.35 per share or approximately $1 billion equity value, which includes Power-One’s net cash of $266 million.
I would like to make a few comments about the transaction/merger.
Foremost, I am happy to see that this is a very good strategic fit for ABB. They have the global reach and expansion to drive the revenue of the company. Also, ABB knows the inverter business and it is one of its core markets.
It is also heartening to see that the price it paid is not outrageous. Power One has $266 million net cash on the balance sheet. So, ABB is paying $734 million for the company. With sales of $1 billio, ABB has paid a P/S multiple of 0.73 — not an outrageous sum.
Given that the company has not earned any money on the whole, i.e. it has accumulated losses of $197 million, it is not clear what the valuation should be. This is definitely not my area of competence. I don’t know about the regulatory situation and I have no idea how much it affects the profitability of Power One. This is the reason why I sold. But $734 million does not look outrageous to me, given the growth, opportunities and global reach of Power One. I would not expect the management to sell the company at a significantly lower price.
Additional Disclosure: I am long ABB (ABB).
About the author:I started investing in December 2009
and my first stock CreditSuisse (CS) tanked to almost half its
value. This nudged me to start learning about investing from the ground
up. I am a long term value investor and am planning to generate sustainable amount of money from investment income by the time I am 40 years old i.e., 2025.