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A Few Reasons to Stay Away from Shell

April 18, 2014 | About:



With oil resources drying, oil refineries and petro chemical industries have been extravagant in spending on explorations. The success rate of the oil hit at times vary which leads to a high risk for oil companies in the upstream. Shell (RDS.A) is one such company that has been boosting its expenditure on oil explorations.

The company basically operates the upstream and downstream business. As we see oil prices plunging, this creates more worries for oil and gas companies as it hits its top and bottom lines negatively. Shell is being seriously hit with this price fall which has compelled the company for some strategic moves to offset the price fall.

As per the recently declared fourth quarter earnings report, Shell produced 3.41 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. This is a 3% increase over a year, mainly due to its project Pearl gas to liquid plant in Qatar. The company also recorded a profit of $5.58 billion which was below expectations.

Exploration Activity

Not just Shell, but most of the companies in this segment have a healthy budget for oil exploration projects with the main motive of increasing production. Shell, with over 40 ongoing exploration wells projects spread across 18 different countries, sees a prospects of 10 basins for shale oil and gas this includes areas in China and Ukraine.

The risk is always high in such ventures, as noticed in the past. Shell also failed to complete two exploration well projects in Alaska where the execution of projects is seasonal. In the last six years, Shell has already spent around $5 billion in Alaska with no success to discover any reserves. It paid $2.2 billion as lease rental with another $2.8 billion as operation cost.

The company anticipates a capital investment of $33 billion which is 10% higher than 2012. Majority of this expenditure is in the high risk zone in order to ramp up production in areas like Arctic and Kazakhstan.

Shell’s expenses on exploration are rising over the years. It spent $5 billion in 2011, $6 billion in 2012 and around $7 billion in 2013.

Focus on Cost Cutting

The company recorded a record low quarterly profit in the recently declared results which was the lowest in the past five years. It now plans to curtail its expenses on various oil explorations projects.

Journey Ahead

Shell now has around 30 ongoing construction projects and post commissioning of these projects, it anticipates production to reach around 4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2017 to 2018. This would certainly place Shell among the top oil producers in the world. The only company that produces 4 billion barrels of oil equivalent per day is U.S Oil giant Exxon and Russia’s OAO Rosneft.

Shell’s growth in 2014 will be partially driven by limiting capital expenses to $37 billion as against $46 billion in 2013. It also plan to dispose assets worth $15 billion in 2014 to 2015 this accounts to 6.5% of Shell’s current $228 billion market cap. Furthermore, it plans divestment in U.S. shale interest, global oil products and onshore Nigeria across its portfolio to show progress in its capital efficiency


Analysts show concern with the expenditure plans of Shell. The company, in the past, had some high-risk exploration projects which had a negative impact on the bottom line. Although Shell has been curtailing a few projects just to reduce its operating expenses, this again may miss Shell’s guideline of achieving 4 billion barrels of oil equivalent per day. So, Shell is not a good investment.

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