GuruFocus Premium Membership

Serving Intelligent Investors since 2004. Only 96 cents a day.

Free Trial

Free 7-day Trial
All Articles and Columns »

Why Plug Power is a Sell

August 15, 2014 | About:
JuhiKulkarni

JuhiKulkarni

0 followers

Plug Power (PLUG) is on a robust run in the not-so-distant future. The organization is riding positive patterns in the power module industry and is putting forcefully in the business to tap development over the long haul. This was the reason for Plug Power's frail performance in the first quarter.

Compounding in a far-reaching way

It was as of late reported that Plug Power's business effectiveness is focused around three essential measurements, in particular days of stock availablity, days of offers extraordinary and days of payables remarkable.

Plug Power's stock has been climbing for as far back as 2 years and this unmistakably implies that the organization is attempting to offer its item as fast as it anticipated. Moreover, the Days of Sales Outstanding, which means the normal number of days Plug Power takes to gather revenue after a deal has been made, and Days of Payables Outstanding, which connotes the time taken by the organization to pay its suppliers, is likewise climbing extensively.

This plainly demonstrates that Plug Power is intensifying in a far-reaching way, and the organization needs to transform its plan of action to turn productive.

Are energy units' prospects splendid enough?

Plug Power is the first hydrogen power device organization to concentrate on fueling a sort of armada vehicles, a forklift truck, which expends hydrogen at a rate proportionate to the utilization at a corner store. The utilization of energy units in autos is likewise what Plug Power is dealing with. It is a bit confounding for financial specialists to choose whether or not they ought to put resources into Plug Power as a few automakers, for example, Honda (NYSE:HMC) and Hyundai are putting resources into power modules, contrasted with the battery-fueled electric vehicles.

Energy components have a few points of interest that incorporate less charge time, longer running time, et cetera. The issue with respect to Plug Power is whether the forklift business and some other corner applications of power modules can give the earnings required to advocate the cost.

The force productivity of power modules can never be more than that of batteries. While an auto battery might be fueled straightforwardly, bringing about 80%-90% proficiency, driving a hydrogen auto experiences numerous vitality-driven methodologies. Vitality is utilized to deliver the hydrogen, pack it and afterward at long last transport it to filling stations, all of which decreases the proficiency to around 25%. The exorbitant extraction of hydrogen that is utilized as a part of energy components is an alternate reason that helps this less productive innovation.

Negatives to consider

Plug Power, with around 150 licenses in power devices, is expecting development, yet the more-extensive-than-anticipated misfortune for the trailing 75 percent demonstrates that the energy unit industry is not going to profit the organization. The organization's securing of Relion, a developer of measured air-cooled hydrogen energy component stacks and interesting minimal effort stack-gathering frameworks, ended up being a disappointment and it is required to build misfortunes by $1 million not long from now.

Plug Power is doing admirably just in its Genkey business and is hoping to ship roughly 650 Gendrive units in the following quarter to clients, for example, Wal-Mart, P&G, Volkswagen , Central Grocers and Ace. Genkey is a comprehensive result that gives convenience to Plug Power's clients in the material taking care of space. It joins together Gendrive power device units, Genfuel foundation and hydrogen atom and Gencare administration contracts to make the move of energy components client benevolent.

The successive climb and fall in the organization's stocks state that it is not commendable for long haul financial specialists. Falling revenue, diminishing EPS, negative gross margin of 42%, unpredictable earnings, all have been helping its burdens.

Generally, Plug Power has been incredible at squandering speculators' cash by obliterating shareholder esteem due to the steady weakening of stocks. Since its beginning, PLUG has lost about $850 million. PLUG has a nice measure of money on account of its latest stock deal so I will assume the best about the organization on that round of weakening and say that the jury is still out on whether it will be damaging to shareholder esteem. Be that as it may, the past deals assuredly were.

In addition, on value/watt introduced premise, utilizing energy unit rather than common gas for creating vitality ends up being costlier and this element will limit Plug Power's potential market by keeping down the selection of power modules.

Conclusion

Thus, despite the fact that Plug Power has acknowledged firmly, in the not-so-distant future, its prospects are not as splendid as they may appear. Consequently, financial specialists ought to stay far from this stock as it may tumble from its perch severely over the long haul.


Rating: 1.0/5 (1 vote)

Voters:

Comments

ap.gatti
Ap.gatti - 1 month ago

As a matter of fact, hydrogen is one of the most important alternatives to oil. The entire sector is poised to grow very fast. Plug is one of the flagships of this sector. That's why Plug is growing and it is a buy. That's why I purchased some Plug shares as a long term investment: I am sure the company will give satisfactions to it's shareholders, including myself.

About the climb (probably due to a short squeeze) and the subsequent stock value decrease, they brought the company's capitalization where it is now: More than ten times bigger than one year ago.

Falling revenue? Where is it?

Plug has a lot of cash, growing orders, growing reputation, a lot of patents and excellent products. It looks a healthy company, with a great future.

chris711
Chris711 - 1 month ago

Can you translate this article into English please?

Please leave your comment:


Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)
Free 7-day Trial
FEEDBACK