10 Low P/E Picks for the Enterprising Investor

Using the ModernGraham Valuation Model reveals top prospects

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Dec 05, 2016
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There are a number of great companies in the market today. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I've selected 10 low price-earnings (P/E) stocks for the Enterprising Investor. These companies have the lowest PEmg (price/normalized earnings) ratio out of all companies reviewed by ModernGraham. Each company has been determined to be suitable for the Enterprising Investor and undervalued according to the ModernGraham approach.

Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk.

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Navient

Navient Corp. (NAVI, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last 10 years and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from 63 cents in 2012 to an estimated $2.39 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.25% annual earnings loss over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham's formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Navient revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $21.98. The company pays a dividend of 64 cents per share for a yield of 4.5%, putting it among the best dividend-paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 6.01, below the industry average of 19.87, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. (See the full valuation)

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Gilead Sciences

Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, poor dividend history and the high price-book (P/B) ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.61 in 2012 to an estimated $8.69 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.72% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Graham's formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (See the full valuation)

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PulteGroup

PulteGroup Inc. (PHM, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last 10years and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-1.46 in 2012 to an estimated $2.06 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.7% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Graham's formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (See the full valuation)

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Seagate Technology

Seagate Technology PLC (STX, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last 10 years and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $2.39 in 2012 to an estimated $3.74 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.03% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Graham's formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (See the full valuation)

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LyondellBasell Industries

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last 10 years, the poor dividend history and the high P/B ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $-944.17 in 2012 to an estimated $8.48 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.4% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Graham's formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (See the full valuation)

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Kors Holdings

Kors Holdings Ltd. (KORS, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability over the last 10 years, the poor dividend history and the high P/B ratio. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the lack of dividends. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from 96 cents in 2013 to an estimated $4.07 for 2017. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.92% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham's formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (See the full valuation)

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Starwood Property Trust

Starwood Property Trust Inc. (STWD, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the insufficient earnings stability or growth over the last 10 years and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.17 in 2012 to an estimated $1.98 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.4% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Graham's formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Starwood Property Trust revealed the company was trading below its Graham Number of $27.64. The company pays a dividend of $1.92 per share for a yield of 8.6%, putting it among the best dividend-paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 11.3, below the industry average of 34.03, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. (See the full valuation)

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Valero Energy Corp.

Valero Energy Corp. (VLO, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last 10 years. The Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.71 in 2012 to an estimated $5.39 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.84% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Valero Energy revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $54.08. The company pays a dividend of $2.1 per share, for a yield of 3.8%, putting it among the best dividend-paying stocks today. Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.18, which was below the industry average of 55.24, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-18.5. (See the full valuation)

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Twenty-First Century Fox

Twenty-First Century Fox Inc. (FOXA, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last 10 years. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be Undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from 58 cents in 2012 to an estimated $2.37 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.14% annual earnings growth over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on the Graham value investing formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price.

At the time of valuation, further research into Twenty-First Century Fox revealed the company was trading above its Graham Number of $15.97. The company pays a dividend of 30 cents per share for a yield of 1.2% Its PEmg (price over earnings per share – ModernGraham) was 10.78, which was below the industry average of 40.02, which by some methods of valuation makes it one of the most undervalued stocks in its industry. Finally, the company was trading above its Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) of $-10. (See the full valuation)

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Western Refining

Western Refining Inc. (WNR, Financial) is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the more conservative Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the small size, insufficient earnings stability over the last 10 years and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor is only concerned with the level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, all Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach should feel comfortable proceeding with the analysis.

As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.03 in 2012 to an estimated $3.13 for 2016. This level of demonstrated earnings growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.97% annual earnings loss over the next seven to 10 years. As a result, the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Graham's formula, returns an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (See the full valuation)

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What do you think? Are these companies a good value for Enterprising Investors? Is there a company you like better? Leave a comment on our Facebook page or mention @ModernGraham on Twitter to discuss.

Disclosure:Â The author held a long position in Western Refining but did not hold a position in any other company mentioned in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing those holdings within the next 72 hours.

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