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Is Rupert Murdoch overpaying for Dow Jones?

June 21, 2007 | About:
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wslounge

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While the market debates which way it wants to go, one thing is for certain, M&A activity has slowed down these past couple of weeks. It became routine to turn on the television and see company “X” has taken over company “Y”. But the offer I am keeping a close eye on is Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp’s (NWS) 5 billion dollar bid for Dow Jones (DJ).

The debate that is going on in my mind is whether Murdoch is overpaying for Dow Jones. The first thought that came to mind when I heard the offer on television was a) Murdoch is paying to high of a premium b) investment return on Dow Jones’s newspaper assets (Wall Street Journal and Barons) are sure to decline as time passes. At a 5 billion market cap Dow Jones trades 14 times earnings (ttm) and 33 times estimated 2008 earnings! Similarly, Google (GOOG) currently trades at 26 times estimated 2008 earnings. So what is wrong with the picture? Google’s earnings are growing at an expeditious pace while Dow Jone’s growth rate is “ho-hum.”

On the other hand, it is tough to put a value on the Wall Street Journal. I mean, it is the Wall Street Journal. The Wall Street Journal is the second most important newspaper only behind the New York Times (NYT) and without a doubt the most important financial news source in the world. In the meantime, I can only guess at what happens next while waiting for the outcome.

Disclaimer: I do not own any of the companies mentioned in this article

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Rating: 3.5/5 (4 votes)

Comments

vooch
Vooch - 5 years ago
The key sentence from:
[biz.yahoo.com]

is this:

"Also, gaining control of Dow Jones would bolster Murdoch's plan to launch a financial cable news channel that would compete with CNBC, which is a unit of GE's NBC Universal subsidiary."

Murdoch's new financial cable channel will be tough competitiion for CNBC. Yes, CNBC does a great job today, but GE should overpay (yes, overpay for Dow Jones), thus knocking out any potential future competition for a long time.

I don't understand why GE should allow Murdoch come in and buy his way into "financial news" credibility. He will get that when he seals the deal.

Murdoch is smart, but his company hasn't been a good long-term investment because he overpays for things. However, he does continue to strengthen his business at the expense of shareholders, imo. Perhaps that's why GE walked away from the deal? I dunno.

- Vooch
billytickets
Billytickets - 5 years ago
i liek Murdoch but i agree with Vooch that hes "overpaying" but Murdoch has always overpaid. if Dow Jones was so "chaep" WEB would have owned it. its certainly in his competence level. murdoch and Trump are more concerned with EGO than making money for shareholders IMO Just my 2 cents
vooch
Vooch - 5 years ago
> murdoch and Trump are more concerned with EGO than
> making money for shareholders

I very much agree with your statement!

- Vooch

valuefan
Valuefan premium member - 5 years ago
I've held DJ for a long time now. It seemed quite underalued to me before the bidding started.

Not sure what I should do with it now. My feeling is maybe sell it, as it is no longer overlooked,
to make an understatement.


billytickets
Billytickets - 5 years ago
well Murdoch is going to buy Dow Jones and had to pay the"premium" to get it ( as he did for TV guide from the annenbergs) .Great call on DJ and it would not shock me if Rupert paid "more than 60".Again kudos on the great call

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