Also like Buffett, Watsa likes to be graded by growth of the book value per share of his company. One has to get him a pretty good grade for his performance, as he summarizes in the letter:
“In 1985, we began with $30 million in assets and $7.6 million in common equity.We ended 2009, 24 years later, with $28 billion in assets and $7.4 billion in common equity – almost 1,000 times higher than when we began. More importantly, since inception, book value per share has compounded by 26% per year, while our common stock price has followed at 22% per year.”
Among the other things, Watsa commented on some of his stock holdings in the letter:
Wells Fargo, as you know, is a wonderful bank in the U.S. with an outstanding long term track record. In the financial crisis of 2008/2009, it seized the opportunity to double its size (without much overlap) through the purchase of Wachovia Corporation, while increasing its shares outstanding by only about a quarter. Today it has more than 70 million customers in the U.S. with a net interest margin of 4.3%, the highest among the major U.S. banks. With
80+ separate businesses, cross selling at least six products per customer and a funding base of $800 billion in deposits at a cost of 40 basis points – all embedded in a risk averse culture under John Stumpf’s leadership –Wells Fargo is well positioned for strong growth over the next decade and we expect to be a major beneficiary.
US Bancorp is, similar to Wells Fargo, an outstanding bank with a great track record. Like Wells Fargo, it has benefited from the financial crisis by making many tuck-in acquisitions (FDIC assisted). It also has a very profitable payments processing division with worldwide expansion prospects. Under Richard Davis’ leadership and with its risk averse culture, we expect to be a major beneficiary in the next decade.
We continue to like Johnson & Johnson and we believe that Kraft Foods will, over time, benefit greatly from its purchase of Cadbury’s (one example – Cadbury’s has a distribution network of over 1 million stores in India!). All these are very high quality companies selling at modest multiples compared to their past and relative to the S&P500! We expect to hold these investments for a long period and if we are right, unrealized gains will become a significant portion of our equity base (at year-end 2009 it was already significant at $747 million after tax). A side benefit will be a smaller tax bill (until we sell), since gains generally compound tax free while we hold the investments.
Again, remember to read the entire Letter to Shareholders.
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"On September 23, 2010, we will be celebrating Fairfax’s 25th anniversary....at the end of 2009 our book value per share had increased 243 times and our stock price had followed suit, increasing 126 times – with one year yet to go! Talking about the long term, my favourite company from the past is the British East India Company which began in 1600 and lasted the better part of 250 years! The Queen was one of its major shareholders and imagine my shock when I read that its objective was to make 20% on invested capital. The more things change. . . .





