If you're buying Loews based on its earnings report, you've missed the point.
Barron's.com attempts to focus investor attention on the essentials in today's article entitled: Why Loews Can Reach New Highs. Author Avi Salzman says (in part):
Investors can buy all of Loews' assets at a discount to their sum-of-the-parts value, and based on Monday's results, that discount continues to be quite attractive.Looks like somebody's been reading The Lonely Value Investor!
In fact, Loews shares are trading below the net-asset value of its public holdings, meaning investors essentially get the company's $3.4 billion in cash and its other assets, for free. A back-of-the envelope calculation of Loews' new asset-value yields a value of about $53 per share, well above the current share price of about $37. That's about a 29% discount.
Loews has historically traded at a discount to its net-asset value, in part because shareholders have to weigh concerns about the company's future investments. But the company has traded at a more significant discount over the past year or so, making its shares more attractive. Prior to the recession, shares traded at closer to a 20% discount to net-asset value.
The company has aggressively repurchased its own stock in recent quarters, buying 6.8 million shares through April for about $250 million. Since the second quarter of 2009, Loews has repurchased about 17.4 million shares, or about 4% of its outstanding shares. And even as it increased its buybacks, the company also grew its cash position, from $2.5 billion after the first quarter last year to $3.4 billion this year.
Increasing cash and share buybacks should interest potential shareholders. After all, the Loews management team doesn't repurchase stock willy nilly (a technical term). In the past, they have been very disciplined with an eye towards intrinsic value. So this passage from the earnings release got my attention:
At March 31, 2010, there were 419,733,029 shares of Loews common stock outstanding. During the three months ended March 31, 2010, the Company purchased 5,387,600 shares of its common stock at an aggregate cost of $197 million. From April 1, 2010 through April 28, 2010, the Company acquired an additional 1,245,900 shares of its common stock for $47 million.Regardless of whether or not the company "beat expectations", this is meaningful. The Tisch family is careful with their cash. And they know a bargain when they see it.
Despite a drop in the value of Diamond Offshore (DO), the public assets of Loews continue to be worth more than the whole. In fact, the non-public assets (and all that cash) continue to garner a negative value.
Market value of the 3 public stakes owned by Loews: $15.8 billion
Market value of Loews: $15.7 billion
Market value of the "stub": negative $100 million
The market's got this one dead wrong... and Loews knows it.
They're buying Loews shares... and you?
Disclosure: Author owns Loews shares.
Henry W. Schacht