5 Predictable Guru Stocks

Booking Holdings tops the list

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Sep 18, 2019
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According to the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener, the following companies have high business predictability ratings and a wide margin of safety.

Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG, Financial)

The company has a 3.5-star business predictability rank (out of five) and, according to the discounted cash flow calculator, a 19.60% margin of safety at $2,068 per share.

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The online travel agency has a market cap of $87.74 billion and an enterprise value of $90.09 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has grown 18.10%.

Over the last 12 months, the stock has risen 9.16% and it is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 22.89. The share price has been as high as $2,071 and as low as $1,606 in the last 52 weeks. As of Wednesday, the stock was trading 0.38% below its 52-week high and 28.49% above its 52-week low.

With 3.39% of outstanding shares, Dodge & Cox is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by Steve Mandel (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.76% and Pioneer Investments (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.65%.

British American Tobacco PLC (BTI, Financial)

The company has a three-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 51% margin of safety at $36.9 per share.

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The tobacco company has a market cap of $84.32 billion and an enterprise value of $141.65 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has increased 6.70% and its earnings per share have grown 27.60%.

The stock has fallen 23.62% over the last 12 months and shares are trading with a price-earnings ratio of 11.14 and a price-book ratio of 1.05. The price has been as high as $48.41 and as low as $30.67 in the last 52 weeks. As of Wednesday, the stock was trading 25.06% below its 52-week high and 18.29% above its 52-week low.

With 0.10% of outstanding shares, Lee Ainslie (Trades, Portfolio) is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by Sarah Ketterer (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.04% and Jeremy Grantham (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.04%.

Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD, Financial)

The company has a 4.5-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 49% margin of safety at $65.7 per share.

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The company, which develops therapies to treat life-threatening infectious diseases, has an $84.24 billion market cap and an enterprise value of $83.28 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has grown 17.20% and its earnings per share have risen 5.20%.

Shares have fallen 8.60% over the last 12 months; the stock is trading with a price-earnings ratio of 14.43 and a price-book ratio of 3.77. The price has been as high as $79.61 and as low as $60.32 in the last 52 weeks. As of Wednesday, the stock was trading 16.84% below its 52-week high and 9.75% above its 52-week low.

With 1.36% of outstanding shares, Dodge & Cox is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio)’ Renaissance Technologies with 1.01% and the T Rowe Price Equity Income Fund (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.28%.

BlackRock Inc. (BLK, Financial)

The company has a 3.5-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 27% margin of safety at $443 per share.

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The investment management company has a market cap of $68.9 billion and an enterprise value of $71.04 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has grown 8.50% and its earnings per share have increased 10.80%.

Shares have fallen 5.93% over the last 12 months; the stock is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 16.82 and a price-book ratio of 2.20. The price has been as high as $492 and as low as $360.79 in the last 52 weeks. As of Wednesday, the stock was trading 9.97% below its 52-week high and 22.78% above its 52-week low.

With 0.23% of outstanding shares, Pioneer Investments is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by Tom Gayner (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.13%, Fisher with 0.09% and Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.02%.

VMware Inc. (VMW, Financial)

The company has a four-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 63% margin of safety at $151 per share.

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The company, which provides server and desktop virtualization software, has a $61.75 billion market cap and an enterprise value of $63.63 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has grown 12% and its earnings per share have risen 12.20%.

Shares have fallen 32.70% over the past year; the stock is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 10.03 and a price-book ratio of 12.10. The price has been as high as $206.80 and as low as $128.69 in the last 52 weeks. As of Wednesday, the stock was trading 27.20% below its 52-week high and 16.99% above its 52-week low.

The company's largest guru shareholder is Simons’ firm with 0.94% of outstanding shares, followed by PRIMECAP Management (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.30%, Pioneer Investments with 0.01% and Paul Tudor Jones (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.01%.

Disclosure: I do not own any stocks mentioned.

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