John Rogers

Last Update: 2014-07-10

Number of Stocks: 182
Number of New Stocks: 10

Total Value: $8,197 Mil
Q/Q Turnover: 9%

Countries: USA
Details: Top Buys | Top Sales | Top Holdings  Embed:

John Rogers' s Profile & Performance

Profile

John Rogers is the Founder of Ariel Investment, LLC, which he started in 1983. As of 2008, the firm had over $15.5 billion in assets under management. John manages Ariel's small and mid-cap institutional portfolios as well as the Ariel Fund (ARGFX) and Ariel Appreciation Fund (CAAPX). He is also a long-term Forbes columnist writing a column called "Patient Investor."

Web Page:http://www.arielmutualfunds.com/

Investing Philosophy

Rogers has concentrated his investment selection on small and medium-sized companies whose share prices are undervalued. He believes that patience, independent thinking, and a long-term outlook are essential to achieving good returns. His fund seeks to purchase companies whose prospects include high barriers to entry, sustainable competitive advantages, and predictable fundamentals that allow for double digit cash earnings growth. Rogers purchases companies when they are trading at a low valuation relative to potential earnings (p/e less than 13x forward cash earnings) and/or a low valuation relative to intrinsic worth (40% discount to private market value - PMV).

Total Holding History

Performance of Ariel Fund

YearReturn (%)S&P500 (%)Excess Gain (%)
201344.6831.5513.1
201220.3215.44.9
2011-11.342.08-13.4
3-Year Cumulative54.3 (15.6%/year)55 (15.7%/year)-0.7 (-0.1%/year)
201025.9715.0610.9
200963.4226.4637.0
5-Year Cumulative217.7 (26%/year)125.5 (17.7%/year)92.2 (8.3%/year)
2008-48.25-37-11.2
2007-1.75.61-7.3
200610.3515.79-5.4
20050.924.91-4.0
200421.971210.0
10-Year Cumulative119.5 (8.2%/year)104.1 (7.4%/year)15.4 (0.8%/year)
200328.0428.7-0.7
2002-5.18-22.116.9
200114.21-11.926.1
200028.77-9.137.9
1999-5.7621-26.8
15-Year Cumulative269.4 (9.1%/year)98.3 (4.7%/year)171.1 (4.4%/year)
19989.8928.6-18.7
199736.4433.43.0
199623.51230.5
199518.5237.6-19.1
1994-4.221.3-5.5
20-Year Cumulative676.6 (10.8%/year)483.2 (9.2%/year)193.4 (1.6%/year)
19938.7310.1-1.4
199211.737.64.1
199132.7230.52.2
1990-16.08-3.1-13.0
198925.1131.7-6.6
25-Year Cumulative1214.6 (10.9%/year)1050.7 (10.3%/year)163.9 (0.6%/year)
198839.9216.623.3
198711.45.16.3

Top Ranked Articles

Notes from the Cincinnati CFA Value Investing Panel (DELL, AAPL, CX, YMC, LAZ, BX, KKR)
On Tuesday, October 11th, I attended a Value Investing Panel sponsored by the CFA Society of Cincinnati. The event, moderated by Chris Meyer of the Fund Evaluation Group, featured renowned small cap investor John Rogers of Ariel Investments and James Thompson, senior analyst at Southeastern Asset Management. While less known than Rogers, Thompson has spent 12 years under the tutelage of the legendary Mason Hawkins at Southeastern. The session covered everything from investment philosophy to choosing portfolio managers to finding value in today’s market. My notes are below, broken down by category. I used quotation marks for any direct quotes. Any errors in the notes are mine. Read more...
John Rogers' October Monthly Market Commentary
This past month the 25-year anniversary of a very important market incident occurred—“Black Monday,” which was the largest single-day drop in the history of the American stock market. That day, October 19, 1987, holds special meaning for Ariel Investments for two related reasons. First, it was the first huge shock to the stock market system after our firm’s launch in 1983. Second, the crash served as an intellectual kiln; hardening and making permanent the ideas on which we founded Ariel. While many might think a one-day market event 25 years ago is no longer relevant, to our ears its lessons continue to echo. Read more...
Ariel Funds Top Buys: "We think like Halvorsen: CRL is a buy"
John Rogers founded Ariel Capital Management LLC in 1983. As of 2008, the firm had over $15.5 billion in assets under management. Read more...
Why John Rogers of Ariel Capital Managemnent own 13% of Gannett
John Rogers owns 29 million shares of GCI or roughly 13% of the company. Why would an investor want to own a newspaper company? Everyone will tell you that newspapers are a dying industry. My two sons, both in college, will insist that they will never read newspapers, but instead will continue get all of their information free from various free on-line sites. So what's to like here? Lets go over a few valuation metrics. GCI closed at $11.16 yesterday, down from a recent high of $14 and change, and an all-time high of $89 in 2003. Read more...
Aflac Announces Increased Share Repurchases and Boosts Dividends
Aflac (AFL), one of the largest insurers and most familiar brands in American insurance, enhanced its financial reputation this week by increasing its dividend and announcing that it would be spending more on stock repurchases in the near future. Read more...
» More John Rogers Articles

Commentaries and Stories

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This Tobacco Stock Looks Attractive Enough
In this article let's take a look at an option for investing in the tobacco sector with British American Tobacco plc (BTI), which sells tobacco products in 180 countries. The company holds leadership positions in around 50 of them. Brands like Dunhill, Kent, Pall Mall, and Lucky Strike account for one third of group sales because they are well known and have been gaining share over the past several years. More...

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John Rogers' Ariel Fund Q2 2014 Shareholder Letter
Investing in small- and mid-cap stocks is riskier and more volatile than investing in large-cap stocks. The intrinsic value of the stocks in which the portfolio invests may never be recognized by the broader market. Investing in equity stocks is risky and subject to the volatility of the markets. Ariel Fund often invests a significant portion of its assets in companies within the financial services and consumer discretionary sectors and its performance may suffer if these sectors underperform the overall stock market. More...

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Guru Held Stocks Near Historical Low P/B James Barrow,John Rogers - Guru Held Stocks Near Historical Low P/B
Buying stocks at historically low price-to-book (P/B) ratios has been an effective strategy. The model portfolio, “Top 25 Historical Low P/B Ratio Companies”, has outperformed the S&P 500 by 25.44 percent since its inception in 2010. The following stocks are the most widely held stocks by the investing gurus we follow that are trading near their historical low P/B ratios: More...

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John Rogers Comments on Contango Oil & Gas Co
Also, natural resources explorer Contango Oil & Gas Co. (MCF) slipped –11.37% after an earnings report that disappointed the Street. Specifically, the company’s first-quarter loss of $10 million was driven by $42 million in dry-hole (a well that produces no commercially viable oil and gas) costs from a Gulf of Mexico well. Investors focused heavily on that unfortunate news—which we see as an unlucky part of the business— rather than on the company’s otherwise solid numbers. We were quite encouraged that the company plans to shift its capital expenditures entirely onshore where dry-hole risks are much lower. More...

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John Rogers Comments on Charles River Laboratories Intl Inc
Preclinical testing firm Charles River Laboratories Intl, Inc. (CRL) dropped –11.30% as mergers and acquisitions ramped up in the health-care sector. Health-care consolidations have been rising, the most prominent being a proposed $100 billion acquisition of Astra-Zeneca by Pfizer Inc. (PFE), and with mergers come the rationalization of research capabilities. The market tends to react swiftly and sharply to such events. We think such reactions are generally overblown, as the effects tend to be more short-term than long-term; as such we think Charles River has become a better bargain lately. More...

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John Rogers Comments on CBRE Group Inc
In addition, global real estate company CBRE Group, Inc. (CBG) jumped +16.81% after a very strong quarterly earnings report. Its adjusted earnings per share were $0.25, $0.08 higher than expectations, on the basis of strong revenue overall and nearly across its units. The market seemed especially pleased that management saw more upside than downside for the rest of 2014. More...

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John Rogers Comments on US Silica Holdings Inc
Industrial sand producer U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. (SLCA) piled up a +45.60% return after a great earnings report. Recent results were solid, but the key takeaway from management’s comments was the comparison of the current environment to that of 2011 and 2012, when business boomed based on heavy demand. All along, we have viewed Silica as a cyclical business, so we expected it to improve along the way; by the same token, we do not think a great environment will persist forever. More...

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John Rogers' Ariel Fund Second Quarter 2014 Commentary
Quarter Ended June 30, 2014 More...

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John Rogers' Ariel Investments 2nd Quarter 2014 Commentary
We will come right out and say it: this has been a strange year for the markets so far. In 2014, through mid-April, the S&P 500 Index took a bumpy trip to nowhere—or technically a +0.02% gain. Since then, however, it has returned +7.54%. According to the Wall Street Journal, the S&P 500 has also had 16 record closes in the second quarter of 2014, and its volatility has dropped to the lowest level since 2007. At this point in a bull market, you might expect record highs and low volatility to drive unencumbered exuberance, but not this time. On the one hand, the Investors Intelligence Advisors Sentiment Charts show 61% are bullish on the market and 16% are bearish, with the rest expecting a correction. On the other hand, market pundits continue to detect fear, skepticism and worse in market movements. One global strategist recently told Bloomberg Businessweek: “Classically, the market climbs a wall of worry. Now we’re having a wall of hatred.” More...

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John Rogers and RS Investments Top Guru Real Time Trades of the Week RS Investment Management,John Rogers - John Rogers And RS Investments Top Guru Real Time Trades Of The Week
The following information is a highlight of the real-time guru activity we saw this week. To view more information on these gurus, check out their guru portfolios. The “Real Time Picks” reports the stock purchases and sells that Gurus have made within the prior two weeks. If a Guru makes a purchase or sell of a company in which they own a greater-than 5% stake, SEC regulations require them to report their transaction within two days. This week we saw notable increases and buys in Real Time activity from John Rogers (Trades, Portfolio) and RS Investment Management (Trades, Portfolio). More...

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Ariel Investments' John Rogers Discusses KKR, First American, Dun & Bradstreet
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John Rogers' Ariel Investment Fund April Commentary
At Ariel Investments, three qualities connect our various strategies: patience, focus and independent thinking. Our portfolios now stretch from micro-cap to large cap and range from deep value to traditional value to global, but the philosophy behind them inspires similar activity during market dislocations. That is, when stocks fall, whether across markets or within one of our portfolios, our portfolio managers and analysts get extra busy. As vigilant assessors of value, we gather information and crunch numbers to determine whether the price shifts reflect fundamental, long-term changes in what businesses are worth. If we determine gaps between price and value have widened, hence creating better investment opportunities, we will buy more shares of the companies that have been, in our view, unfairly punished. More...

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John Rogers Comments on Laboratory Corp. of America Holdings
We purchased a previous holding in our mid ca p fund, Laboratory Corp. of America Holdings (LH). LabCorp maintains a leading market position in an indust ry that continues to show promising growth potential du e to technological advances, aging demographics, health care cost containment, and preventative medicine. LabCorp maintains a solid balance sheet, generates a significant amount of free cash flow and has been returning value to shareholders through share repurchases. The company operates with an experienced management team that is conservative yet willing to take slight risks in order to grow the business long-term. More...

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John Rogers Comments on International Game Technology
Also, gaming manufacturer International Game Technology (IGT) returned –22.00% after a subpar earnings report. Its revenue and earnings per share both slid below consensus estimates. Specifically, revenues were 2% lower than Wall Street expected, while the (adjusted) EPS of $0.25 did not meet the $0.30 forecast. The miss came from weak regional gaming trends and higher-than-expected operating expenses. We think operating issues can be corrected and believe management is focused on the issue. In the meantime, we see light business as temporary and industry-wide— beyond IGT's control. We would be more concerned if the short-term results stemming fr om lost market share, for instance. Although there have been headwinds for this company, we remain optimistic over the long term. More...

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John Rogers Comments on Coach Inc.
A few of our holdings struggled at quarter end. Specialty retailing Coach, Inc. (COH) de clined –10.91% after missing expectations. The company reported EPS of $1.06 after making $1.23 per share last year. Consensus had been $1.11. The main culprit was lower traffic in retail stores. It has been a very difficult winter for many retailers, but for Coach the more important issue is its st yle turnaround. Stuart Vevers, the new creative director, has his first complete line appearing this spring and hitting stores next fall. As long- term investors, a six-month waiting period is not difficult, but obviously, Wall Street is less patient than we are. We believe the company will emerge with its brand largely intact, new products to captivate customers and better financial results to follow. More...

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John Rogers Comments on Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
In addition, scientific research specialist Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO) returned +8.12% after a very solid earnings report. Its revenue was $3.5 billion, up 6% over the previous period, and its earnings per share was $1.43, significantly above the $1.37 cons ensus estimate. Its forecast for 2014 was even more positive : full-year revenue guidance was in the $16 billion-plus ra nge, smashing the $13 billion consensus estimate, and the low end of its EPS guidance was more than $0.40 higher than Wall Street's best guess. Our strategy with Thermo Fisher has been to look beyond the gloom and doom that has cast a dark cloud over the whole sector to see the potential for a bright future. More...

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John Rogers Comments on JLL Inc.
Several of our holdings posted strong returns this quarter. Real estate specialist JLL Inc. (JLL), previously known as Jones Lang LaSalle Inc., surged +15.73% due to a strong earnings report. Specifically, in late January the company reported better-than-expecte d (adjusted) earnings per share (EPS) of $3.33; the Street expected $3.09. Revenues topped forecasts, $1.5 billion rather than $1.3 billion. In addition, the company's operating results were boosted by solid investment sales, facility management services and momentum in leasing revenues. Moreover, management signaled continued improvemen ts across its businesses. The market is still applying a cautiously cyclical set of expectations to this firm, but we believe its gradual growth is more secular in nature. More...

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Cheap Stocks from John Rogers of Ariel Investments
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John Rogers' Ariel Appreciation Fund First Quarter 2014 Commentary
Investing in mid-cap stocks is more risky and more volatile than investing in large cap stocks. The intrinsic value of the stocks in which the portfolio invests may never be recognized by the broader market. Investing in equity stocks is risky and subject to the volatility of the markets. Ariel Appreciation Fund often invests a significant portion of its assets in companies within the financial services and consumer discretionary sectors and its performance may suffer if these sectors underperform the overall stock market. More...

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Ariel Fund First Quarter 2014 Commentary
Investing in small and mid-cap stocks is more risky and more volatile than investing in large cap stocks. The intrinsic value of the stocks in which the portfolio invests may never be recognized by the broader market. Investing in equity stocks is risky and subject to the volatility of the markets. Ariel Fund often invests a significant portion of its assets in companies within the financial services and consumer discretionary sectors and its performance may suffer if these sectors underperform the overall stock market. More...

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