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8.54 (1y: -1%)
Market Cap 9.29 B P/E(ttm) 39.00
Enterprise Value 16.72 B P/B 0.70
AA- NYSE (USA)
Alcoa Inc
  • Currently 1/5
Business Predictability Rank: 1-Star (On Watch)
Back Testing Results:
Average gain of all 1-Star stocks: 1.1% per year.
% of Stocks that are in still loss if held for 10yrs: 45%.
Read more:
What is Predictability Rank?
Performances of real portfolio
Top Ranked Predictable Companies
$8.54
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GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company’s financial situation is. It is based on these factors

1. The debt burden that the company has as measured by its Interest coverage (current year).
2. Debt to revenue ratio. The lower, the better
3. Altman Z-score.

A company ranks high with financial strength is likely to withstand any business slowdowns and recessions.

Financial Strength : 5/10

vs
industry		 vs
history
Cash to Debt 0.211
AA's Cash to Debt is ranked lower than
163934% of the 610 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 2.00 vs. AA: 0.211 )
AA' s 10-Year Cash to Debt Range
Min: 0.05   Max: 0.21
Current: 0.21
0.05
0.21
Equity to Asset 0.2
AA's Equity to Asset is ranked lower than
170358% of the 587 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 0.67 vs. AA: 0.2 )
AA' s 10-Year Equity to Asset Range
Min: 0.1   Max: 0.29
Current: 0.2
0.1
0.29
Interest Coverage 1
AA's Interest Coverage is ranked lower than
231481% of the 432 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 10000.00 vs. AA: 1 )
AA' s 10-Year Interest Coverage Range
Min: 1   Max: 12
Current: 1
1
12
F-Score: 5
Z-Score: 1.24
M-Score: -2.48
GuruFocus Profitability Rank ranks how profitable a company is and how likely the company’s business will stay that way. It is based on these factors:

1. Operating Margin
2. Trend of the Operating Margin (5-year average). The company with an uptrend profit margin has a higher rank.
••3. Consistency of the profitability
4. Piotroski F-Score
5. Predictability Rank•

The maximum rank is 10. A rank of 7 or higher means a higher profitability and may stay that way. A rank of 3 or lower indicates that the company has had trouble to make a profit.

Profitability Rank is not directly related to the Financial Strength Rank. But if a company is consistently profitable, its financial strength will be stronger.

Profitability & Growth : 6/10

vs
industry		 vs
history
Operating margin (%) 2.00
AA's Operating margin (%) is ranked lower than
289855% of the 345 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 14.30 vs. AA: 2.00 )
AA' s 10-Year Operating margin (%) Range
Min: -8.1   Max: 13.5
Current: 2
-8.1
13.5
Net-margin (%) 0.8
AA's Net-margin (%) is ranked lower than
293255% of the 341 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 11.20 vs. AA: 0.8 )
AA' s 10-Year Net-margin (%) Range
Min: -6.2   Max: 8.3
Current: 0.8
-6.2
8.3
ROE (%) 1.4
AA's ROE (%) is ranked lower than
303030% of the 330 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 8.70 vs. AA: 1.4 )
AA' s 10-Year ROE (%) Range
Min: -9.3   Max: 16.7
Current: 1.4
-9.3
16.7
ROA (%) 0.5
AA's ROA (%) is ranked lower than
302115% of the 331 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 5.20 vs. AA: 0.5 )
AA' s 10-Year ROA (%) Range
Min: -3   Max: 6.6
Current: 0.5
-3
6.6
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) 2.40
AA's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) is ranked lower than
308642% of the 324 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 13.30 vs. AA: 2.40 )
AA' s 10-Year ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) Range
Min: -7.2   Max: 20.7
Current: 2.4
-7.2
20.7
Revenue Growth (%) 2.8
AA's Revenue Growth (%) is ranked lower than
369003% of the 271 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 13.80 vs. AA: 2.8 )
AA' s 10-Year Revenue Growth (%) Range
Min: -13.2   Max: 8.8
Current: 2.8
-13.2
8.8
» AA's 10-Y Financials

Financials


Revenue & Net Income
Cash & Debt
Oprt. Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow

» Details

Guru Trades
Q2 2012

AA Guru Trades in Q2 2012

Ray Dalio 158,382 sh (+285.53%)
John Burbank 1,718,092 sh (+181.29%)
Steven Cohen 101,478 sh (+180.33%)
Richard Snow 121,760 sh (+135.24%)
Joel Greenblatt 159,351 sh (+39.46%)
Manning & Napier Advisors, Inc 25,699,191 sh (+25.45%)
Mario Gabelli 3,233,060 sh (+0.48%)
Jim Simons Sold Out
Pioneer Investments Sold Out
Dodge & Cox 10,000 sh (-53.05%)
» More
Q3 2012

AA Guru Trades in Q3 2012

Richard Snow 121,760 sh (unchged)
Dodge & Cox Sold Out
John Burbank 1,704,500 sh (-0.79%)
Manning & Napier Advisors, Inc 24,633,991 sh (-4.14%)
Mario Gabelli 3,064,660 sh (-5.21%)
Joel Greenblatt 117,800 sh (-26.08%)
Ray Dalio 96,182 sh (-39.27%)
Steven Cohen 23,200 sh (-77.14%)
» More
Q4 2012

AA Guru Trades in Q4 2012

Paul Tudor Jones 32,400 sh (New)
Arnold Van Den Berg 1,492,980 sh (New)
Jim Simons 2,075,500 sh (New)
Steven Cohen 47,646 sh (+105.37%)
Joel Greenblatt 205,459 sh (+74.41%)
Richard Snow 121,760 sh (unchged)
John Burbank Sold Out
Ray Dalio Sold Out
Manning & Napier Advisors, Inc 21,427,708 sh (-13.02%)
Mario Gabelli 2,521,060 sh (-17.74%)
» More
Q1 2013

AA Guru Trades in Q1 2013

Arnold Schneider 10,000 sh (New)
Manning & Napier Advisors, Inc 30,821,584 sh (+43.84%)
Paul Tudor Jones 43,000 sh (+32.72%)
Richard Snow 148,130 sh (+21.66%)
Arnold Van Den Berg 1,497,785 sh (+0.32%)
Jim Simons Sold Out
Steven Cohen Sold Out
Mario Gabelli 2,323,860 sh (-7.82%)
Joel Greenblatt 102,723 sh (-50%)
» More
» Details

Insider Trades

Latest Guru Trades with AA

GuruDate Trades Impact to Portfolio Price Range * (?) Current Price Change from Average Current Shares
Joel Greenblatt 2013-03-31 Reduce -50%0.05%$8.35 - $9.32 $ 8.54-3%102723
Arnold Van Den Berg 2012-12-31 New Buy1.43%$8.05 - $9.21 $ 8.54-1%1492980
John Burbank 2012-12-31 Sold Out 0.69%$8.05 - $9.21 $ 8.54-1%0
Joel Greenblatt 2012-12-31 Add 74.41%0.04%$8.05 - $9.21 $ 8.54-1%205459
Ray Dalio 2012-12-31 Sold Out 0.01%$8.05 - $9.21 $ 8.54-1%0
Joel Greenblatt 2012-09-30 Reduce -26.08%0.03%$8.01 - $9.84 $ 8.54-2%117800
Ray Dalio 2012-09-30 Reduce -39.27%0.01%$8.01 - $9.84 $ 8.54-2%96182
Dodge & Cox 2012-09-30 Sold Out $8.01 - $9.84 $ 8.54-2%0
John Burbank 2012-06-30 Add 181.29%0.33%$8.33 - $10.12 $ 8.54-6%1718092
Joel Greenblatt 2012-06-30 Add 39.46%0.03%$8.33 - $10.12 $ 8.54-6%159351
Ray Dalio 2012-06-30 Add 285.53%0.02%$8.33 - $10.12 $ 8.54-6%158382
Dodge & Cox 2012-06-30 Reduce -53.05%$8.33 - $10.12 $ 8.54-6%10000
Premium More recent guru trades are included for Premium Members only!!

Preferred stocks of Alcoa Inc

SymbolPriceYieldDescription
AA.PR17.814.12$3.75 Cumulative Serial Preferred Stock

Top Ranked Articles about Alcoa Inc

Smith & Wesson: Despite Headline Risk, This Gun Stock Is an Attractive Buy
May 12, 2013
- Smith & Wesson: Despite Headline Risk, This Gun Stock Is An Attractive Buy
The recent gun-related tragedies in the U.S., particularly the Newtown massacre in December 2012, has had a profound impact on the firearms industry. Putting politics aside on this issue, historically, in times of higher public interest in gun control legislation, sales and profits of these companies have soared. This is because gun enthusiasts are afraid of new laws being enacted that will restrict certain types of gun sales or will require more extensive or lengthy background checks. Read more...
Weekly 3-Year Low Highlights: AA, NJ, KGC, YZC
April 7, 2013
According to the GuruFocus list of 3-year lows: Alcoa Inc., Nidec Corporation, Kinross Gold Corporation, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited have all reached their 3-year lows. Read more...
Buying into Alcoa, Arnold Van Den Berg and Insiders
January 15, 2013
Arnold Van Den Berg - Buying Into Alcoa, Arnold Van Den Berg And Insiders
One of Guru Arnold Van Den Berg’s fourth quarter new buys was aluminum producer, Alcoa Inc. (AA). He purchased 1,492,980 shares for an average price of $9, the stock close to its three-year low of $8.01. Read more...
Weekly Top Insider Buys: AMAT, AA, IHS, AGCO, GEL
October 15, 2012
According to GuruFocus Insider Data, these are the largest insider buys during the past week: Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT), Alcoa Inc. (AA), IHS Inc. (IHS), AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and Genesis Energy LP (GEL). Read more...

Ratios

vs
industry		 vs
history
P/E(ttm) 39.00
AA's P/E(ttm) is ranked lower than
271002% of the 369 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 14.30 vs. AA: 39.00 )
AA' s 10-Year P/E(ttm) Range
Min: 4   Max: 149.67
Current: 39
4
149.67
P/B 0.70
AA's P/B is ranked lower than
167224% of the 598 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 1.00 vs. AA: 0.70 )
AA' s 10-Year P/B Range
Min: 0.34   Max: 4.46
Current: 0.7
0.34
4.46
P/S 0.39
AA's P/S is ranked lower than
162866% of the 614 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 1.90 vs. AA: 0.39 )
AA' s 10-Year P/S Range
Min: 0.18   Max: 1.58
Current: 0.39
0.18
1.58
PFCF 20.90
AA's PFCF is ranked lower than
377358% of the 265 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 17.89 vs. AA: 20.90 )
AA' s 10-Year PFCF Range
Min: 7.58   Max: 983.75
Current: 20.9
7.58
983.75
EV-to-EBIT 30.3
AA's EV-to-EBIT is ranked lower than
289017% of the 346 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 11.78 vs. AA: 30.3 )
AA' s 10-Year EV-to-EBIT Range
Min: 5.7   Max: 363.5
Current: 30.3
5.7
363.5
Shiller P/E 24.4
AA's Shiller P/E is ranked lower than
100% of the Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: vs. AA: 24.4 )
AA' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Range
Min: 3.41   Max: 30.16
Current: 24.4
3.41
30.16

Dividend & Buy Back

vs
industry		 vs
history
Dividend Yield 1.41
AA's Dividend Yield is ranked lower than
450450% of the 222 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 2.44 vs. AA: 1.41 )
AA' s 10-Year Dividend Yield Range
Min: 0.67   Max: 13.03
Current: 1.41
0.67
13.03
Dividend Payout 0.5255
AA's Dividend Payout is ranked lower than
649350% of the 154 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 0.30 vs. AA: 0.5255 )
AA' s 10-Year Dividend Payout Range
Min: 0.23   Max: 1.22
Current: 0.53
0.23
1.22
Dividend growth (3y) -17.6
AA's Dividend growth (3y) is ranked lower than
1612902% of the 62 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 16.10 vs. AA: -17.6 )
AA' s 10-Year Dividend growth (3y) Range
Min: -35.2   Max: 12.5
Current: -17.6
-35.2
12.5
Yield on cost (5-Year) 0.17
AA's Yield on cost (5-Year) is ranked lower than
444444% of the 225 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 2.66 vs. AA: 0.17 )
AA' s 10-Year Yield on cost (5-Year) Range
Min: 0.08   Max: 1.56
Current: 0.17
0.08
1.56
Share Buyback Rate -3.6
AA's Share Buyback Rate is ranked lower than
1960782% of the 51 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 0.80 vs. AA: -3.6 )
AA' s 10-Year Share Buyback Rate Range
Min: 1.8   Max: -9.1
Current: -3.6

Valuation & Return

vs
industry		 vs
history
Price/Net Current Asset Value 3.4
AA's Price/Net Current Asset Value is ranked lower than
204918% of the 488 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 9.50 vs. AA: 3.4 )
AA' s 10-Year Price/Net Current Asset Value Range
Min: 2.6   Max: 9.7
Current: 3.4
2.6
9.7
Price/Tangible Book 1.1
AA's Price/Tangible Book is ranked lower than
170358% of the 587 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 1.10 vs. AA: 1.1 )
AA' s 10-Year Price/Tangible Book Range
Min: 1.2   Max: 7.3
Current: 1.1
1.2
7.3
Price/DCF (Projected) 1
AA's Price/DCF (Projected) is ranked lower than
526315% of the 190 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 1.30 vs. AA: 1 )
AA' s 10-Year Price/DCF (Projected) Range
Min: 1   Max: 3
Current: 1
1
3
Price/Median PS Value 0.4
AA's Price/Median PS Value is ranked lower than
208768% of the 479 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 0.70 vs. AA: 0.4 )
AA' s 10-Year Price/Median PS Value Range
Min: 0.4   Max: 1.6
Current: 0.4
0.4
1.6
Price/Graham Number 1.7
AA's Price/Graham Number is ranked lower than
310559% of the 322 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 0.90 vs. AA: 1.7 )
AA' s 10-Year Price/Graham Number Range
Min: 0.8   Max: 3.5
Current: 1.7
0.8
3.5
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) 3.30
AA's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) is ranked lower than
251256% of the 398 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 7.90 vs. AA: 3.30 )
AA' s 10-Year Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) Range
Min: 0.3   Max: 17.5
Current: 3.3
0.3
17.5
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) -4.12
AA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) is ranked lower than
694444% of the 144 Companies
in the Global Aluminum industry.

( Industry Median: 14.25 vs. AA: -4.12 )
AA' s 10-Year Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) Range
Min: -9.1   Max: 19.9
Current: -4.12
-9.1
19.9

Business Description

Alcoa Inc is a Pennsylvania corporation and was formed in 1888. Alcoa is engaged in the production and management of primary aluminum, fabricated aluminum, and alumina combined, through its active and growing participation in all major aspects of the industry: technology, mining, refining, smelting, fabricating, and recycling. The Company globally operates in 31 countries. In addition, Alcoa has investments and operating activities in Australia, Brazil, China, Iceland, Guinea, Russia, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Alcoa's operations consist of four worldwide reportable segments: Alumina, Primary Metals, Flat-Rolled Products, and Engineered Products and Solutions. The main business of the Company's Flat-Rolled Products segment is the production and sale of aluminum plate, sheet and foil. This segment includes rigid container sheet, which is sold directly to customers in the packaging and consumer market. This segment also includes sheet and plate used in the transportation, building and construction and distribution markets. The main business of the Company's Engineered Products and Solutions segment is the production and sale of titanium, aluminum and super alloy investment castings, hard alloy extrusions, forgings and fasteners, aluminum wheels, integrated aluminum structural systems and architectural extrusions. These products serve the aerospace, automotive, building and construction, commercial transportation and power generation markets. As of December 31, 2009, Alcoa had approximately 1,234,000 mtpy of idle capacity against total Alcoa Consolidated Capacity of 4,812,900 mtpy. The raw material purchased by the Company in Almina segment are Bauxite, Caustic soda, Electricity, Fuel oil and Natural gas; in Flat-Rolled Products segment are Alloying materials, Aluminum scrap, Coatings, Electricity, Natural gas, Nitrogen, Primary aluminum and Steam; in Primary Metals segment are Alloying materials, Alumina, Aluminum fluoride, Calcined petroleum coke, Cathode blocks, Electricity, Liquid pitch, Natural gas and Silicon carbide; and in Engineered Products and Solutions segment are Alloying materials, Aluminum scrap, Cobalt, Copper, Electricity, Natural gas and Nickel. Alcoa is subject to highly competitive conditions in all aspects of its aluminum and nonaluminum businesses. Alcoa's competitors include a variety of both U.S. and non-U.S. companies in all major markets. In addition, aluminum competes with other materials, such as steel, plastics, composites, and glass, among others, for various applications in Alcoa's key markets. The Company's operations are affected by Governmental policies, laws and regulations, and economic factors, including inflation and fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates.
Company Website
SEC Reports
Industry: Aluminum
Compare:NHYDY, AWC, NOR, KALU, CENX
Traded in other countries:AAI.Australia, ALU.Germany, AA.PR.USA
» More Articles for AA

Headlines

Articles On GuruFocus.com
The Dow Hits All-Time Highs, but the Truth Is It Remains Cheaply Valued May 15 2013 
Smith & Wesson: Despite Headline Risk, This Gun Stock Is an Attractive Buy May 15 2013 
Arnold Schneider Selects 8 New Stocks Apr 29 2013 
Weekly 3-Year Low Highlights: AA, NJ, KGC, YZC Apr 07 2013 
Buying into Alcoa, Arnold Van Den Berg and Insiders Jan 15 2013 
Century’s Arnold Van Den Berg Releases Q4 Portfolio Updates, Biggest Buys Jan 09 2013 
Thinking in Groups and the Existence of Elves Dec 24 2012 
Best Stocks for 2013 Dec 19 2012 
Weekly Top Insider Buys: C, L, AA, WU, HBAN Dec 03 2012 
These 12 Dow Jones Companes Have the Highest Expected EPS Growth Nov 05 2012 

More From Our Partners
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