American International Group Inc (AIG) Stock Analysis

Market Cap	66.38 B	P/E(ttm)	34.60
Enterprise Value	111.64 B	P/B	0.70

Financial Strength : 4/10

		vs industry	vs history
Cash to Debt	0.024	AIG's Cash to Debt is ranked lower than 100% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 0.69 vs. AIG: 0.024 )	AIG' s 10-Year Cash to Debt Range Min: 0 Max: 0.05 Current: 0.02 0 0.05
Equity to Asset	0.179	AIG's Equity to Asset is ranked higher than 65% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 0.14 vs. AIG: 0.179 )	AIG' s 10-Year Equity to Asset Range Min: 0.05 Max: 0.19 Current: 0.18 0.05 0.19
Interest Coverage	4	AIG's Interest Coverage is ranked higher than 51% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 10000.00 vs. AIG: 4 )	AIG' s 10-Year Interest Coverage Range Min: 2 Max: No Debt Current: 4

F-Score: 6
Z-Score: 0.28

Profitability & Growth : 7/10

		vs industry	vs history
Operating margin (%)	14.20	AIG's Operating margin (%) is ranked higher than 84% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 7.85 vs. AIG: 14.20 )	AIG' s 10-Year Operating margin (%) Range Min: -979.5 Max: 37.3 Current: 14.2 -979.5 37.3
Net-margin (%)	5.2	AIG's Net-margin (%) is ranked higher than 86% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 5.40 vs. AIG: 5.2 )	AIG' s 10-Year Net-margin (%) Range Min: -894.2 Max: 28 Current: 5.2 -894.2 28
ROE (%)	3.5	AIG's ROE (%) is ranked lower than 51% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 8.40 vs. AIG: 3.5 )	AIG' s 10-Year ROE (%) Range Min: -188.4 Max: 17 Current: 3.5 -188.4 17
ROA (%)	0.6	AIG's ROA (%) is ranked higher than 51% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 1.20 vs. AIG: 0.6 )	AIG' s 10-Year ROA (%) Range Min: -11.5 Max: 3.2 Current: 0.6 -11.5 3.2
Revenue Growth (%)	-51.6	AIG's Revenue Growth (%) is ranked lower than 62% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 4.50 vs. AIG: -51.6 )	AIG' s 10-Year Revenue Growth (%) Range Min: -51.6 Max: 45.2 Current: -51.6 -51.6 45.2
EBITDA Growth (%)	4.5	AIG's EBITDA Growth (%) is ranked higher than 68% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: -3.45 vs. AIG: 4.5 )	AIG' s 10-Year EBITDA Growth (%) Range Min: -59.8 Max: 24.1 Current: 4.5 -59.8 24.1

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Q2 2012

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Latest Guru Trades with AIG

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Guru	Date	Trades	Impact to Portfolio	Price Range * (?)	Current Price	Change from Average	Current Shares
Seth Klarman	2013-03-31	Add 69.29%	6.06%	$34.84 - $39.58	$ 44.96	20%	11850200
Daniel Loeb	2013-03-31	Reduce -27.03%	3.24%	$34.84 - $39.58	$ 44.96	20%	13500000
George Soros	2013-03-31	Reduce -67.38%	2.49%	$34.84 - $39.58	$ 44.96	20%	2887849
Donald Smith	2013-03-31	Add 32.05%	0.46%	$34.84 - $39.58	$ 44.96	20%	2290422
Jean-Marie Eveillard	2013-03-31	Reduce -32.02%	0.08%	$34.84 - $39.58	$ 44.96	20%	1294821
Mario Gabelli	2013-03-31	Add 72.45%	0.05%	$34.84 - $39.58	$ 44.96	20%	441775
Mason Hawkins	2013-03-31	Sold Out	0.01%	$34.84 - $39.58	$ 44.96	20%	0
Seth Klarman	2012-12-31	New Buy	8%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	7000000
Richard Perry	2012-12-31	Add 41.58%	5.7%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	14865903
George Soros	2012-12-31	Reduce -41.83%	3.35%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	8853849
Daniel Loeb	2012-12-31	Reduce -21.28%	3.23%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	18500000
Ronald Muhlenkamp	2012-12-31	New Buy	3.1%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	414870
Steve Mandel	2012-12-31	New Buy	1.5%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	6993600
Donald Smith	2012-12-31	Add 18.77%	0.27%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	1734501
Jean-Marie Eveillard	2012-12-31	New Buy	0.24%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	1904599
Mario Gabelli	2012-12-31	Add 73.41%	0.03%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	256175
John Keeley	2012-12-31	Add 29.41%	0.01%	$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	44000
Mason Hawkins	2012-12-31	Add 28.63%		$30.68 - $37.21	$ 44.96	32%	80075
Richard Perry	2012-09-30	New Buy	14.6%	$30.17 - $35	$ 44.96	38%	10500000
Daniel Loeb	2012-09-30	Add 944.44%	13.74%	$30.17 - $35	$ 44.96	38%	23500000
George Soros	2012-09-30	New Buy	8%	$30.17 - $35	$ 44.96	38%	15220849
Leon Cooperman	2012-09-30	Add 75.6%	2.28%	$30.17 - $35	$ 44.96	38%	8054600
John Keeley	2012-09-30	New Buy	0.03%	$30.17 - $35	$ 44.96	38%	34000
Mario Gabelli	2012-09-30	Add 52.73%	0.01%	$30.17 - $35	$ 44.96	38%	147725
John Griffin	2012-06-30	New Buy	5.1%	$27.43 - $34.4	$ 44.96	44%	10440000
Julian Robertson	2012-06-30	New Buy	4.7%	$27.43 - $34.4	$ 44.96	44%	523000
Leon Cooperman	2012-06-30	Add 213.1%	2.25%	$27.43 - $34.4	$ 44.96	44%	4586900
Daniel Loeb	2012-06-30	New Buy	2.2%	$27.43 - $34.4	$ 44.96	44%	2250000
Donald Smith	2012-06-30	Add 14.16%	0.17%	$27.43 - $34.4	$ 44.96	44%	1459689
Mario Gabelli	2012-06-30	Add 424.97%	0.02%	$27.43 - $34.4	$ 44.96	44%	96725
Mason Hawkins	2012-06-30	Add 202.18%	0.01%	$27.43 - $34.4	$ 44.96	44%	62250
John Keeley	2012-06-30	Sold Out	0.01%	$27.43 - $34.4	$ 44.96	44%	0

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Guru Investment Theses on American International Group Inc

Diamond Hill Capital Comments on AIG - Oct 23, 2012

Property and casualty insurer American International Group, Inc. (AIG) disposed of nearly all of the troubled exposures which impaired the company's value during the Financial Crisis, and its core insurance operations appear to be regaining its strong competitive positions. With the latest Treasury sale, the government is down to 16% ownership in the company, and all U.S. government debts have been repaid. The shares were purchased near the end of the quarter.

From Diamond Hill Capital's Third Quarter Large Cap Fund Commentary.

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Daniel Loeb Comments on AIG - Oct 03, 2012

Equity: AIG (AIG)
We originally purchased AIG shares in March after identifying the US Treasury’s impending sales of its AIG holdings as an instance of one of our favorite types of investments: “forced” (or non-economically-motivated) selling. We determined Treasury was both anchored to its $29 cost basis and intent on exiting its position as soon as possible, allowing us to purchase AIG at a discount to intrinsic value. In addition to the forced selling dynamic that created the opportunity, we believed AIG’s substantial capital return – manifested as buybacks in the Treasury’s offering – provided downside protection. Finally, we also liked the technical bid for AIG shares coming out of the offering, as its index weighting would increase with the reduction in government-owned shares, forcing index-sensitive investors to grow their position in the equity.

We soon realized that our initial thesis for AIG was only the prologue. Rather than simply a chance to create value from a short-term dislocation in pricing due to forced selling, AIG was actually more similar to another type of Third Point investment: a post-reorg equity newly emerged, with all of the attendant upside. We continued to accumulate AIG shares in Treasury’s offerings in the second and third quarters, as well as in the open market, considering it a cheap restructured equity that was rationalizing its non-core operations while executing an operational turnaround. So while many investors argue the most recent placement from the Treasury was the last of AIG’s main catalysts, we were not “renters” and instead view AIG as a core, event-driven investment with attractive post-reorg equity-like characteristics.

In the near term, we believe AIG’s continued portfolio optimization should free up additional excess capital that, subject to regulatory approval, likely can be returned to shareholders. In December, AIG’s lockup in its listed, non-core Asian life insurance business, AIA, will expire, allowing the company to monetize its unencumbered 13.7% interest worth some USD $6.1 billion at recent market valuations. Further, we believe the sale, spin, or listing of ILFC, AIG’s aircraft lessor subsidiary, will not only generate $5+ billion in excess capital but also simplify the group’s structure, reducing cost of capital.

Longer term, we believe the company’s operational turnaround will help AIG realize its intrinsic value, as Chartis, AIG’s property and casualty arm, improves its return on equity to the targeted 10 - 12% by 2015. To achieve this ROE target, Chartis’s management, led by the talented Peter Hancock, is emphasizing international and shorter tail consumer property lines, while investing in new policy administration and back office systems. We believe this ROE target is achievable, and view the early evidence as promising: a ~300 bps year-over-year improvement in Chartis’ Q2’12 ex-cat loss ratio to 65.2% and a ~100 bps year-over-year increase in consumer share of premiums to 39% in Q2. We are further encouraged that Chartis’ turnaround has the wind at its back with the mid to high single digit pricing growth in the property and casualty insurance industry.

Treasury’s ultimate sale of its remaining 16% stake in AIG will serve as a critical catalyst for the company, allowing initiation of a dividend, a change in management’s compensation structure to a more standard incentive-based bonus payout model, and the removal of the “overhang” of Treasury ownership. Given these multiple paths to value creation, we believe AIG’s current valuation at ~10x consensus 2013 earnings and 0.5x pro forma tangible book value of $65 per share has significant upside from these levels.

From Third Point's third quarter letter.

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Bruce Berkowitz Comments on AIG - Aug 03, 2012

From Berkowitz's second-quarter letter:

Our best idea remains AIG (AIG) common (35% of the Fund) with a reported book value of $57 per share. There are few occasions when systemically important franchises sell for half of book value and are profitable. This is one of those times. AIG warrants held by the Fund (another 3% of the Fund) provide the right to 21+ million shares at $45, or maybe more shares at lower strike prices for the next 34 quarters if dividends above $0.675 per trailing 12-month period are paid.
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Bill Nygren Comments on AIG - Jul 10, 2012

From Bill Nygren's second-quarter letter:

American International Group (AIG-$32)
AIG (AIG) is a large insurance company operating in both property and casualty (Chartis) and life (SunAmerica). It is a poster child of the financial crisis, having required over $180 billion in government aid, and the government still owns over half of its outstanding shares. While the rescue measures still dampen its current valuation, we believe AIG has made remarkable progress under the leadership of CEO Robert Benmosche. The government loans have been completely repaid, and the stock currently trades above the government’s breakeven point of $29. Two years ago, we found it almost impossible to estimate the value of AIG’s equity. The analysis involved guessing at proceeds from sales of businesses and valuing large, opaque, levered loan portfolios. Today the analysis is the same as it would be for any insurer: What is its future earnings outlook? How good are its reserves? How will its capital be invested? Chartis went through a difficult period of writing unprofitable business just to grow revenues. That has stopped, and we believe that for the past several years Chartis has focused on only writing profitable business even if growth suffers. Reserves have been boosted to a level that we think is consistent with other high-quality insurers. Capital is being invested primarily in share repurchase -- with AIG selling at just over half of book, this is nicely accretive to the company’s per-share book value. We believe that AIG should earn over $3 per share this year and is on track to earn in excess of $5 per share within a few years. We believe that AIG is priced as if its future looks like its past. We expect the current discount to other insurers will diminish as the memory of the financial crisis fades.
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Whitney Tilson Presentation about AIG from Value Investing Congress in Omaha - May 25, 2012

Below is the link to T2 Partners' Whitney Tilson and Glenn Tongues' presentation on AIG from the recent Value Investing Congress Conference in Omaha.

You will have to sign in or register at the value investing congress website to see the video.

Value Investing Letter - T2 Partners' AIG Video Presentation
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Top Ranked Articles about American International Group Inc

Seth Klarman Buys BP, AIG, Elan Corp, Sells News Corp., Oracle

May 14, 2013

Renowned value investor Seth Klarman just reported his first quarter portfolio. Seth Klarman buys BP, AIG, Elan Corp, Rovi Corp, Idenix Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Directv, sells News Corp, Oracle, Genworth Financial Inc, Allied Nevada Gold Corp, Ituran Location and Control, Ltd. during the 3-months ended 03/31/2013, according to the most recent filings of his investment company, The Baupost Group. As of 03/31/2013, The Baupost Group owns 22 stocks with a total value of $3.1 billion. These are the details of the buys and sells. [list]New Purchases: ELN, DTV,Added Positions: BP, AIG, ROVI, Read more...

Third Point Update and Top Three

May 10, 2013

Highest-earning hedge fund managers are in the spotlight this week as many of the investor Gurus have found a place on the new “Rich List” released by Institutional Investor’s Alpha. Third Point’s letter-writing shareholder activist founder Daniel Loeb is No. 10 on the Rich List, and is reported to have earned $380 million in 2012. Read more...

Bruce Berkowitz Pulls Plug on CIT - Sold Out 16 Million Shares

April 30, 2013

“Bullish on America” investor phenom Bruce Berkowitz once said, "I don’t invest in things I can’t understand.” Read more...

Action on AIG, MS, WTSL - Warren Buffett Snags AIG Execs for Berkshire

April 29, 2013

It’s not so much an AIG walk out but a top executive stroll out to greener pastures in the Investors' Oz of Omaha. [i]The executive trading story of the hour is that Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A) (BRK.B) is hiring AIG CEO Peter Eastwood and three other executives, according to Insurance Insider. The other AIG executives packing for Omaha are David J. Bresnahan, Sanjay Godhwani and David Fields. Read more...

Arnold Schneider Selects 8 New Stocks

April 29, 2013

Arnold Schneider, founder of $1.7 billion Pennsylvania-based Schneider Capital Management, bought eight new additions to his portfolio in the first quarter: AIG (AIG), Morgan Stanley (MS), Wet Seal Inc. (WTSL), STR Holdings Inc. (STRI), E*Trade Financial Corp. (ETFC), Alcoa Inc. (AA) and Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC). Read more...

Bruce Berkowitz’s Investments Still Have Significant Upside

March 25, 2013

Though Bruce Berkowitz’s Fairholme Fund (FAIRX) has already come back from a 32.42% loss in 2011 to a 35.81% gain 2012, he believes his investment thesis for the stocks largely responsible for the deficit will not play out in full for about five years. In a February interview with Bloomberg, Berkowitz gave an idea of his vision for the future of the stocks in his fund. “Over the next five to seven years, as they recover, equity values will increase and market prices more so,” he said. Most of the companies, he said, he bought at half of liquidation value. Read more...

'Zenvestor' Bruce Berkowitz – Cycles of Fortune

March 20, 2013

Eminently quotable and relativistic Guru Investor Bruce Berkowitz, founder and manager of the Fairholme Fund, radiates a zen-like understanding of human behavior and the market. His fund lost 32% in 2011, only to bounce back to the Himalayan-like heights of hedge fund performance charts in 2012. Thanks to his massive bets that financial giants American International Group Inc. (AIG), Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) would recover from the 2008 crisis, the Fairholme Fund is back at the very top of hedge funds once again. Devastated by the industry meltdown, his top financial picks are contrarian stocks, and great examples of how Berkowitz buys at a discount and holds for the long term. Read more...

Top Three Dividend Picks from 49 Big Investment Gurus

March 9, 2013

I personally follow the activities of Warren Buffett. He is a highly trusted investor with a proven long-term track record. I also look at Carl Icahn’s (estimated net worth of $20 billion) stock purchases because he is one younger investor who can replace Warren Buffett's wisdom one day. Both investors have a different view on the capital market but they are very successful in the how they invest. These two men are great examples of people who built careers on Wall-Street then developed into top investment gurus. I also follow investors like George Soros. Read more...

The Lowest PE Stocks with the Greatest Guru Holdings

February 20, 2013

The P/E ratio is a strong indicator of whether a stock is a good value, and the lower the better. For this reason, many of the stocks with the lowest P/E ratios are broadly held by the investors GuruFocus tracks. However, a low P/E ratio stock requires further investigation, as the company could be in terminal decline, belong to an industry with endemic problems, or have other unfavorable valuations that make it unattractive as an investment. Read more...

Seth Klarman’s Baupost Group Buys AIG, Idenix Pharmaceuticals, Sells Hewlett-Packard, Oracle, Microsoft

February 13, 2013

Renowned value investor Seth Klarman just reported his 4th quarter portfolio. He buys American International Group Inc, Idenix Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Viasat Inc, sells Hewlett-Packard Co, News Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Allied Nevada Gold Corp, Microsoft Corporation, Sycamore Networks, Inc. during the 3-months ended 12/31/2012, according to the most recent filings of his investment company, The Baupost Group. As of 12/31/2012, The Baupost Group owns 21 stocks with a total value of $3.1 billion. These are the details of the buys and sells. Read more...

» More Articles for AIG

		vs industry	vs history
P/E(ttm)	34.60	AIG's P/E(ttm) is ranked higher than 97% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 11.13 vs. AIG: 34.60 )	AIG' s 10-Year P/E(ttm) Range Min: 0.6 Max: 35.99 Current: 34.6 0.6 35.99
P/B	0.70	AIG's P/B is ranked higher than 70% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 0.88 vs. AIG: 0.70 )	AIG' s 10-Year P/B Range Min: 0.02 Max: 5.37 Current: 0.7 0.02 5.37
P/S	1.10	AIG's P/S is ranked lower than 84% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 0.58 vs. AIG: 1.10 )	AIG' s 10-Year P/S Range Min: 0.03 Max: 34.62 Current: 1.1 0.03 34.62
PFCF	20.20	AIG's PFCF is ranked lower than 73% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 5.68 vs. AIG: 20.20 )	AIG' s 10-Year PFCF Range Min: 0.14 Max: 193.67 Current: 20.2 0.14 193.67
EV-to-EBIT	14.5	AIG's EV-to-EBIT is ranked higher than 51% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 9.65 vs. AIG: 14.5 )	AIG' s 10-Year EV-to-EBIT Range Min: 7.8 Max: 112 Current: 14.5 7.8 112
Shiller P/E	1.8	AIG's Shiller P/E is ranked higher than 95% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 11.90 vs. AIG: 1.8 )	AIG' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Range Min: 1.21 Max: 24.85 Current: 1.8 1.21 24.85

		vs industry	vs history
Price/Net Current Asset Value	6.4	AIG's Price/Net Current Asset Value is ranked higher than 86% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 3.60 vs. AIG: 6.4 )	AIG' s 10-Year Price/Net Current Asset Value Range Min: 0.4 Max: 32.6 Current: 6.4 0.4 32.6
Price/Tangible Book	0.7	AIG's Price/Tangible Book is ranked lower than 57% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 0.85 vs. AIG: 0.7 )	AIG' s 10-Year Price/Tangible Book Range Min: 0.1 Max: 4.9 Current: 0.7 0.1 4.9
Price/DCF (Projected)	0.4	AIG's Price/DCF (Projected) is ranked higher than 68% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 0.30 vs. AIG: 0.4 )	AIG' s 10-Year Price/DCF (Projected) Range Min: 0.2 Max: 0.7 Current: 0.4 0.2 0.7
Price/Median PS Value	0.9	AIG's Price/Median PS Value is ranked higher than 59% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 0.90 vs. AIG: 0.9 )	AIG' s 10-Year Price/Median PS Value Range Min: 0.1 Max: 7.6 Current: 0.9 0.1 7.6
Price/Graham Number	0.6	AIG's Price/Graham Number is ranked higher than 59% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 0.55 vs. AIG: 0.6 )	AIG' s 10-Year Price/Graham Number Range Min: 0.2 Max: 2.7 Current: 0.6 0.2 2.7
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt)	6.90	AIG's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) is ranked higher than 73% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 9.20 vs. AIG: 6.90 )	AIG' s 10-Year Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) Range Min: 0.9 Max: 12.7 Current: 6.9 0.9 12.7
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman)	137.61	AIG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) is ranked higher than 97% of the 37 Companies in the Global Insurance - Diversified industry. ( Industry Median: 16.21 vs. AIG: 137.61 )	AIG' s 10-Year Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) Range Min: 30.5 Max: 463.2 Current: 137.61 30.5 463.2

Industry:	Insurance - Diversified
Compare:	BRK.A, ALIZF, AXAHY, ZFSVF, AIZ
Traded in other countries:	8685.Japan, AINN.Germany

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Financial Strength : 4/10

Profitability & Growth : 7/10

Financials

Guru Trades

AIG Guru Trades in Q2 2012

AIG Guru Trades in Q3 2012

AIG Guru Trades in Q4 2012

AIG Guru Trades in Q1 2013

Insider Trades

Latest Guru Trades with AIG

Guru Investment Theses on American International Group Inc

Diamond Hill Capital Comments on AIG - Oct 23, 2012

Daniel Loeb Comments on AIG - Oct 03, 2012

Bruce Berkowitz Comments on AIG - Aug 03, 2012

Bill Nygren Comments on AIG - Jul 10, 2012

Whitney Tilson Presentation about AIG from Value Investing Congress in Omaha - May 25, 2012

Top Ranked Articles about American International Group Inc

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