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GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company’s financial situation is. It is based on these factors

1. The debt burden that the company has as measured by its Interest coverage (current year).
2. Debt to revenue ratio. The lower, the better
3. Altman Z-score.

A company ranks high with financial strength is likely to withstand any business slowdowns and recessions.

Financial Strength : 7/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Cash to Debt 0.39
CF's Cash to Debt is ranked lower than
58% of the 197 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 0.51 vs. CF: 0.39 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Cash to Debt only.
CF' s 10-Year Cash to Debt Range
Min: 0.23  Med: 2.04 Max: N/A
Current: 0.39
Equity to Asset 0.35
CF's Equity to Asset is ranked lower than
71% of the 164 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 0.49 vs. CF: 0.35 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Equity to Asset only.
CF' s 10-Year Equity to Asset Range
Min: 0.35  Med: 0.55 Max: 0.71
Current: 0.35
0.35
0.71
Interest Coverage 14.12
CF's Interest Coverage is ranked lower than
68% of the 111 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 127.12 vs. CF: 14.12 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Interest Coverage only.
CF' s 10-Year Interest Coverage Range
Min: 4.05  Med: 23.23 Max: 9999.99
Current: 14.12
4.05
9999.99
F-Score: 5
Z-Score: 2.52
M-Score: -2.70
WACC vs ROIC
7.26%
15.64%
WACC
ROIC
GuruFocus Profitability Rank ranks how profitable a company is and how likely the company’s business will stay that way. It is based on these factors:

1. Operating Margin
2. Trend of the Operating Margin (5-year average). The company with an uptrend profit margin has a higher rank.
••3. Consistency of the profitability
4. Piotroski F-Score
5. Predictability Rank•

The maximum rank is 10. A rank of 7 or higher means a higher profitability and may stay that way. A rank of 3 or lower indicates that the company has had trouble to make a profit.

Profitability Rank is not directly related to the Financial Strength Rank. But if a company is consistently profitable, its financial strength will be stronger.

Profitability & Growth : 8/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Operating margin (%) 34.26
CF's Operating margin (%) is ranked higher than
97% of the 193 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 5.49 vs. CF: 34.26 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Operating margin (%) only.
CF' s 10-Year Operating margin (%) Range
Min: -11.58  Med: 22.21 Max: 49.89
Current: 34.26
-11.58
49.89
Net-margin (%) 19.99
CF's Net-margin (%) is ranked higher than
96% of the 194 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 3.66 vs. CF: 19.99 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Net-margin (%) only.
CF' s 10-Year Net-margin (%) Range
Min: -6.4  Med: 11.17 Max: 30.29
Current: 19.99
-6.4
30.29
ROE (%) 20.55
CF's ROE (%) is ranked higher than
83% of the 191 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 7.83 vs. CF: 20.55 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROE (%) only.
CF' s 10-Year ROE (%) Range
Min: -7.59  Med: 23.84 Max: 54.22
Current: 20.55
-7.59
54.22
ROA (%) 7.83
CF's ROA (%) is ranked higher than
78% of the 199 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 3.11 vs. CF: 7.83 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROA (%) only.
CF' s 10-Year ROA (%) Range
Min: -4.25  Med: 12.63 Max: 31.12
Current: 7.83
-4.25
31.12
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) 30.03
CF's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) is ranked higher than
84% of the 196 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 9.12 vs. CF: 30.03 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) only.
CF' s 10-Year ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) Range
Min: 8.98  Med: 58.37 Max: 183.12
Current: 30.03
8.98
183.12
Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) 2.00
CF's Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked lower than
61% of the 163 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 4.60 vs. CF: 2.00 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) only.
CF' s 10-Year Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) Range
Min: 0  Med: 13.50 Max: 24.7
Current: 2
0
24.7
EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) 5.30
CF's EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than
58% of the 149 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 3.10 vs. CF: 5.30 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) only.
CF' s 10-Year EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) Range
Min: 0  Med: 32.90 Max: 82.9
Current: 5.3
0
82.9
EPS Growth (3Y)(%) 7.20
CF's EPS Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than
57% of the 131 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 3.10 vs. CF: 7.20 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EPS Growth (3Y)(%) only.
CF' s 10-Year EPS Growth (3Y)(%) Range
Min: 0  Med: 21.90 Max: 131.6
Current: 7.2
0
131.6
» CF's 10-Y Financials

Financials


Revenue & Net Income
Cash & Debt
Oprt. Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow

» Details

Guru Trades

Q3 2014

CF Guru Trades in Q3 2014

Steven Cohen 60,300 sh (New)
George Soros 28,712 sh (New)
John Hussman 35,000 sh (+75.00%)
David Dreman 603 sh (+12.71%)
John Burbank 1,530,000 sh (unchged)
Paul Tudor Jones Sold Out
Ray Dalio Sold Out
John Burbank 996,189 sh (-5.45%)
Ken Fisher 32,652 sh (-5.72%)
Daniel Loeb 760,000 sh (-16.02%)
Louis Moore Bacon 8,450 sh (-54.34%)
Jim Simons 108,450 sh (-60.86%)
Joel Greenblatt 3,063 sh (-79.57%)
» More
Q4 2014

CF Guru Trades in Q4 2014

George Soros 159,528 sh (+455.61%)
John Burbank 1,082,292 sh (+8.64%)
John Hussman 35,000 sh (unchged)
John Burbank 1,250,000 sh (unchged)
David Dreman Sold Out
Joel Greenblatt Sold Out
Jim Simons Sold Out
Louis Moore Bacon 8,039 sh (-4.86%)
Daniel Loeb 650,000 sh (-14.47%)
Ken Fisher 27,332 sh (-16.29%)
Steven Cohen 5,000 sh (-91.71%)
» More
Q1 2015

CF Guru Trades in Q1 2015

Jim Simons 39,750 sh (New)
First Eagle Investment 413,865 sh (New)
Ray Dalio 3,483 sh (New)
Paul Tudor Jones 3,351 sh (New)
Lee Ainslie 850 sh (New)
Louis Moore Bacon 10,392 sh (+29.27%)
John Burbank 1,250,000 sh (unchged)
John Hussman 35,000 sh (unchged)
Daniel Loeb Sold Out
Steven Cohen Sold Out
Ken Fisher 25,826 sh (-5.51%)
John Burbank 864,451 sh (-20.13%)
George Soros 123,625 sh (-22.51%)
» More
Q2 2015

CF Guru Trades in Q2 2015

Ken Fisher 118,535 sh (+358.98%)
» More
» Details

Insider Trades

Latest Guru Trades with CF

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Guru Investment Theses on CF Industries Holdings Inc

Daniel Loeb Comments on CF Industries - Jul 30, 2013

Equity Position: CF Industries (CF)

CF Industries is North America's largest nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer and one of the lowest-cost producers globally. CF currently trades at an unwarranted discount to fertilizer and commodity chemical peers. We believe its structural cash flow generation strength is misunderstood and that management should deliver a much larger dividend to its shareholders. Such a dividend would highlight the sustainability of its cash flow generation and lead to a substantial re-rating.

CF's access to low-cost North American natural gas – the primary input in nitrogen fertilizer production – gives the company a structural, sustainable margin capture relative to global peers with higher input costs. These same competitors provide a floor for the nitrogen fertilizer price, because they idle production when the price nears their cost("the cost floor"). The spread between CF's production cost and that of the higher cost producers is a sustainable stream of cash flow for CF, with limited volatility. Using an onerous set of assumptions for this spread ($5 Henry Hub/natural gas input cost and $275 per ton nitrogen fertilizer price), we estimate that this cash flow stream would be ~$1.2 billion annually (operating free cash flow less maintenance CapEx, post expansion). On today's equity value, that would mean CF is currently trading at an 11% free cash flow yield using these onerous assumptions. Given the low-risk profile of this portion of CF's cash flow, it should receive a bond-like multiple (e.g. 7 - 8% yield), which alone implies significant upside to the current share price.

CF management has the ability to highlight the value of this stable cash flow stream by paying a significant portion of it as a dividend. A high dividend payout would still leave CF's leverage well below the 3x debt to EBITDA criteria that Moody's recently established as adequate to maintain their current debt rating of Baa2.

Additionally, when the nitrogen price rises above the "cost floor," which often happens when demand exceeds supply (2012 average price $408/ton), CF generates cash flows incremental to the stable cash flows discussed above. Even using a 4x cash flow multiple for this more volatile earnings stream suggests an additional $15 of value per share for every $25 change in nitrogen price above the cost floor. Finally, we believe that executing the remaining $2.25 billion of CF's share buyback authorization could be ~20% accretive to the estimates detailed above.

CF has been underperforming recently despite the emergence of several positive indicators, including reduced Chinese plant operating rates, reports of capacity idling in Eastern Europe, and the shelving of two plant expansions in North America. This underperformance reinforces our view that a dividend strategy based on CF's stable cash flow stream would lead investors to reassess the company's valuation.

(Note: All nitrogen prices are Urea on a fob Black Sea basis in metric tonnes.)

From Third Point's second quarter 2013 letter.
Check out Daniel Loeb latest stock trades

Ratios

vs
industry
vs
history
P/E(ttm) 16.17
CF's P/E(ttm) is ranked higher than
60% of the 144 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 20.30 vs. CF: 16.17 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful P/E(ttm) only.
CF' s 10-Year P/E(ttm) Range
Min: 3.84  Med: 10.93 Max: 192.94
Current: 16.17
3.84
192.94
Forward P/E 11.78
CF's Forward P/E is ranked higher than
62% of the 79 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 13.89 vs. CF: 11.78 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward P/E only.
N/A
PE(NRI) 16.60
CF's PE(NRI) is ranked higher than
60% of the 144 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 19.40 vs. CF: 16.60 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PE(NRI) only.
CF' s 10-Year PE(NRI) Range
Min: 3.85  Med: 10.94 Max: 328
Current: 16.6
3.85
328
P/B 3.47
CF's P/B is ranked lower than
73% of the 186 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 2.04 vs. CF: 3.47 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful P/B only.
CF' s 10-Year P/B Range
Min: 0.84  Med: 2.44 Max: 6.47
Current: 3.47
0.84
6.47
P/S 3.23
CF's P/S is ranked lower than
79% of the 189 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 1.20 vs. CF: 3.23 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful P/S only.
CF' s 10-Year P/S Range
Min: 0.17  Med: 1.97 Max: 3.76
Current: 3.23
0.17
3.76
POCF 12.15
CF's POCF is ranked lower than
53% of the 117 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 12.15 vs. CF: 12.15 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful POCF only.
CF' s 10-Year POCF Range
Min: 1.62  Med: 6.91 Max: 18.82
Current: 12.15
1.62
18.82
EV-to-EBIT 11.01
CF's EV-to-EBIT is ranked higher than
69% of the 157 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 17.92 vs. CF: 11.01 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBIT only.
CF' s 10-Year EV-to-EBIT Range
Min: 1.5  Med: 6.00 Max: 26.4
Current: 11.01
1.5
26.4
PEG 0.59
CF's PEG is ranked higher than
79% of the 78 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 1.77 vs. CF: 0.59 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PEG only.
CF' s 10-Year PEG Range
Min: 0.17  Med: 0.25 Max: 0.84
Current: 0.59
0.17
0.84
Shiller P/E 14.59
CF's Shiller P/E is ranked higher than
68% of the 87 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 23.94 vs. CF: 14.59 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Shiller P/E only.
CF' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Range
Min: 10.52  Med: 15.32 Max: 25.48
Current: 14.59
10.52
25.48
Current Ratio 1.81
CF's Current Ratio is ranked higher than
65% of the 171 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 1.49 vs. CF: 1.81 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Current Ratio only.
CF' s 10-Year Current Ratio Range
Min: 1.31  Med: 2.03 Max: 4.73
Current: 1.81
1.31
4.73
Quick Ratio 1.61
CF's Quick Ratio is ranked higher than
74% of the 171 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 1.01 vs. CF: 1.61 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Quick Ratio only.
CF' s 10-Year Quick Ratio Range
Min: 0.7  Med: 1.65 Max: 4.44
Current: 1.61
0.7
4.44
Days Inventory 34.12
CF's Days Inventory is ranked higher than
87% of the 188 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 81.32 vs. CF: 34.12 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Inventory only.
CF' s 10-Year Days Inventory Range
Min: 29.38  Med: 35.52 Max: 82.16
Current: 34.12
29.38
82.16
Days Sales Outstanding 13.36
CF's Days Sales Outstanding is ranked higher than
79% of the 169 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 57.80 vs. CF: 13.36 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Sales Outstanding only.
CF' s 10-Year Days Sales Outstanding Range
Min: 9.18  Med: 16.13 Max: 23.42
Current: 13.36
9.18
23.42

Dividend & Buy Back

vs
industry
vs
history
Dividend Yield 2.03
CF's Dividend Yield is ranked lower than
51% of the 224 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 2.10 vs. CF: 2.03 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Yield only.
CF' s 10-Year Dividend Yield Range
Min: 0.06  Med: 0.50 Max: 2.01
Current: 2.03
0.06
2.01
Dividend Payout 0.30
CF's Dividend Payout is ranked higher than
56% of the 128 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 3.88 vs. CF: 0.30 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Payout only.
CF' s 10-Year Dividend Payout Range
Min: 0.01  Med: 0.06 Max: 0.57
Current: 0.3
0.01
0.57
Dividend growth (3y) 71.00
CF's Dividend growth (3y) is ranked higher than
96% of the 90 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 7.70 vs. CF: 71.00 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend growth (3y) only.
CF' s 10-Year Dividend growth (3y) Range
Min: 0  Med: 58.70 Max: 171.4
Current: 71
0
171.4
Yield on cost (5-Year) 26.60
CF's Yield on cost (5-Year) is ranked higher than
95% of the 219 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 2.52 vs. CF: 26.60 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Yield on cost (5-Year) only.
CF' s 10-Year Yield on cost (5-Year) Range
Min: 0.81  Med: 6.62 Max: 27.14
Current: 26.6
0.81
27.14
Share Buyback Rate 9.80
CF's Share Buyback Rate is ranked higher than
98% of the 120 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: -1.20 vs. CF: 9.80 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Share Buyback Rate only.
CF' s 10-Year Share Buyback Rate Range
Min: 0  Med: -0.10 Max: -9.6
Current: 9.8

Valuation & Return

vs
industry
vs
history
Price/Tangible Book 7.34
CF's Price/Tangible Book is ranked lower than
90% of the 179 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 2.30 vs. CF: 7.34 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Tangible Book only.
CF' s 10-Year Price/Tangible Book Range
Min: 1.01  Med: 3.70 Max: 6.84
Current: 7.34
1.01
6.84
Price/Projected FCF 0.91
CF's Price/Projected FCF is ranked higher than
74% of the 81 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 1.44 vs. CF: 0.91 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Projected FCF only.
CF' s 10-Year Price/Projected FCF Range
Min: 0.54  Med: 0.73 Max: 1.29
Current: 0.91
0.54
1.29
Price/DCF (Earnings Based) 2.12
CF's Price/DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked lower than
73% of the 15 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 0.77 vs. CF: 2.12 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/DCF (Earnings Based) only.
N/A
Price/Median PS Value 1.68
CF's Price/Median PS Value is ranked lower than
77% of the 182 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 1.16 vs. CF: 1.68 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Median PS Value only.
CF' s 10-Year Price/Median PS Value Range
Min: 0.1  Med: 0.92 Max: 1.57
Current: 1.68
0.1
1.57
Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value 0.66
CF's Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value is ranked higher than
78% of the 32 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 0.96 vs. CF: 0.66 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value only.
CF' s 10-Year Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value Range
Min: 0.24  Med: 0.34 Max: 1.21
Current: 0.66
0.24
1.21
Price/Graham Number 2.23
CF's Price/Graham Number is ranked lower than
69% of the 120 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 1.44 vs. CF: 2.23 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Graham Number only.
CF' s 10-Year Price/Graham Number Range
Min: 0.56  Med: 1.27 Max: 2.18
Current: 2.23
0.56
2.18
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) 9.09
CF's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) is ranked higher than
75% of the 194 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 4.40 vs. CF: 9.09 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) only.
CF' s 10-Year Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) Range
Min: 3.8  Med: 16.70 Max: 68.7
Current: 9.09
3.8
68.7
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) 31.21
CF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) is ranked higher than
90% of the 92 Companies
in the Global Agricultural Inputs industry.

( Industry Median: 4.15 vs. CF: 31.21 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) only.
CF' s 10-Year Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) Range
Min: 30.7  Med: 42.30 Max: 62.3
Current: 31.21
30.7
62.3

Business Description

Industry: Agriculture » Agricultural Inputs
Compare:SYT, POT, AVD, AGU, MON » details
Traded in other countries:C4F.Germany,
CF Industries Holdings Inc was founded in 1946. The Company is a manufacturer and distributor of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products in the world. The business of the Company is divided into two operating segments, the Nitrogen and the Phosphate segment. The Company's products in the nitrogen segment are ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, or UAN, and ammonium nitrate, or AN. The Company's other nitrogen products include urea liquor, diesel exhaust fluid, or DEF, and aqua ammonia, which are sold to its industrial customers. The Company operates seven nitrogen fertilizer production facilities in North America. The Company's products in the phosphate segment are diammonium phosphate, or DAP, and monoammonium phosphate, or MAP. The Company's core market and distribution facilities are concentrated in the Midwestern United States and other agricultural areas of the U.S. and Canada. The Company also exports nitrogen fertilizer products from its Donaldsonville, Louisiana manufacturing facilities and phosphate fertilizer products from its Florida phosphate operations through its Tampa port facility. As of December 31, 2013, the Company's Hardee rock mine had approximately 11 years of fully permitted recoverable phosphate reserves remaining at current operating rates. The Company operates a phosphate fertilizer warehouse located at a deep-water port facility in Tampa, Florida. The phosphate fertilizer produced at Plant City is shipped by truck or rail to it's Tampa warehouse, where it is loaded onto vessels for shipment to export customers or for transport across the Gulf of Mexico to the Mississippi River. In 2013, Martin Sulphur, the Company's molten sulfur supplier, supplied approximately 63% of the molten sulfur used at Plant City. Plant City phosphate fertilizer complex consumes approximately 400,000 tons of ammonia annually. The ammonia used at Plant City phosphate fertilizer complex is shipped by rail from it's ammonia storage facility located in Tampa, Florida. This facility consists of a 38,000-ton ammonia storage tank, access to a deep-water dock that is capable of discharging ocean-going vessels, and rail and truck loading facilities. In Nitrogen segment, North American-based competitors include Agrium Inc. and Koch Nitrogen Company. In Phosphate segment, North American-based competitors include Agrium, Mosaic, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. and J.R. Simplot Company. The Company is subject to numerous environmental, health and safety laws and regulations, including laws and regulations relating to land reclamation; the generation, treatment, storage, disposal and handling of hazardous substances and wastes; and the cleanup of hazardous substance releases.
» More Articles for CF

Headlines

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Jean-Marie Eveillard Initiates Position in CF Industries May 15 2015 
Predictable and Undervalued Companies - Part I May 13 2015 
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Terra Nitrogen Remains One Of The Best Dividend Plays Apr 28 2015 
Why CF Industries Is A Good Buy Apr 06 2015 
John Burbank comments on his Top Holding - CF Industries Mar 05 2015 

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