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GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company’s financial situation is. It is based on these factors

1. The debt burden that the company has as measured by its Interest coverage (current year).
2. Debt to revenue ratio. The lower, the better
3. Altman Z-score.

A company ranks high with financial strength is likely to withstand any business slowdowns and recessions.

Financial Strength : 9/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Cash to Debt 2.09
FRED's Cash to Debt is ranked higher than
86% of the 559 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 0.48 vs. FRED: 2.09 )
FRED' s 10-Year Cash to Debt Range
Min: 0.01   Max: 11.79
Current: 2.09

0.01
11.79
Equity to Asset 0.61
FRED's Equity to Asset is ranked higher than
89% of the 559 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 0.42 vs. FRED: 0.61 )
FRED' s 10-Year Equity to Asset Range
Min: 0.55   Max: 0.77
Current: 0.61

0.55
0.77
Interest Coverage 80.49
FRED's Interest Coverage is ranked higher than
83% of the 434 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 12.83 vs. FRED: 80.49 )
FRED' s 10-Year Interest Coverage Range
Min: 7.57   Max: 110.84
Current: 80.49

7.57
110.84
F-Score: 3
Z-Score: 5.10
M-Score: -2.46
GuruFocus Profitability Rank ranks how profitable a company is and how likely the company’s business will stay that way. It is based on these factors:

1. Operating Margin
2. Trend of the Operating Margin (5-year average). The company with an uptrend profit margin has a higher rank.
••3. Consistency of the profitability
4. Piotroski F-Score
5. Predictability Rank•

The maximum rank is 10. A rank of 7 or higher means a higher profitability and may stay that way. A rank of 3 or lower indicates that the company has had trouble to make a profit.

Profitability Rank is not directly related to the Financial Strength Rank. But if a company is consistently profitable, its financial strength will be stronger.

Profitability & Growth : 5/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Operating margin (%) -1.38
FRED's Operating margin (%) is ranked higher than
52% of the 562 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 3.38 vs. FRED: -1.38 )
FRED' s 10-Year Operating margin (%) Range
Min: 0.92   Max: 3.77
Current: -1.38

0.92
3.77
Net-margin (%) -0.86
FRED's Net-margin (%) is ranked higher than
53% of the 562 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 2.19 vs. FRED: -0.86 )
FRED' s 10-Year Net-margin (%) Range
Min: 0.6   Max: 2.52
Current: -0.86

0.6
2.52
ROE (%) -3.77
FRED's ROE (%) is ranked higher than
53% of the 553 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 10.13 vs. FRED: -3.77 )
FRED' s 10-Year ROE (%) Range
Min: 2.35   Max: 12.21
Current: -3.77

2.35
12.21
ROA (%) -2.46
FRED's ROA (%) is ranked higher than
52% of the 564 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 4.10 vs. FRED: -2.46 )
FRED' s 10-Year ROA (%) Range
Min: 1.74   Max: 8.73
Current: -2.46

1.74
8.73
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) -6.90
FRED's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) is ranked higher than
52% of the 563 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 18.27 vs. FRED: -6.90 )
FRED' s 10-Year ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) Range
Min: 4.2   Max: 18.69
Current: -6.9

4.2
18.69
Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) 4.00
FRED's Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than
73% of the 496 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 5.70 vs. FRED: 4.00 )
FRED' s 10-Year Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) Range
Min: 0.4   Max: 15.6
Current: 4

0.4
15.6
EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) 4.10
FRED's EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than
76% of the 465 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 6.00 vs. FRED: 4.10 )
FRED' s 10-Year EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) Range
Min: -12.8   Max: 31.5
Current: 4.1

-12.8
31.5
EPS Growth (3Y)(%) -1.80
FRED's EPS Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than
69% of the 427 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 7.30 vs. FRED: -1.80 )
FRED' s 10-Year EPS Growth (3Y)(%) Range
Min: -27.6   Max: 48.1
Current: -1.8

-27.6
48.1
» FRED's 10-Y Financials

Financials


Revenue & Net Income
Cash & Debt
Oprt. Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow

» Details

Guru Trades

Q4 2013

FRED Guru Trades in Q4 2013

Joel Greenblatt 54,121 sh (New)
Paul Tudor Jones 15,400 sh (New)
Chuck Royce 14,500 sh (+70.59%)
» More
Q1 2014

FRED Guru Trades in Q1 2014

Steven Cohen 31,078 sh (New)
Paul Tudor Jones Sold Out
Joel Greenblatt 52,460 sh (-3.07%)
Chuck Royce 2,500 sh (-82.76%)
» More
Q2 2014

FRED Guru Trades in Q2 2014

Jim Simons 92,550 sh (New)
Paul Tudor Jones 32,200 sh (New)
Chuck Royce 2,500 sh (unchged)
Joel Greenblatt 47,729 sh (-9.02%)
» More
Q3 2014

FRED Guru Trades in Q3 2014

Chuck Royce 2,500 sh (unchged)
Jim Simons Sold Out
Paul Tudor Jones Sold Out
Joel Greenblatt 22,230 sh (-53.42%)
» More
» Details

Insider Trades

Latest Guru Trades with FRED

(List those with share number changes of more than 20%, or impact to portfolio more than 0.1%)

GuruDate Trades Impact to Portfolio Price Range * (?) Current Price Change from Average Current Shares
Joel Greenblatt 2014-09-30 Reduce -53.42%$14.21 - $16.53 $ 16.648%22230
Joel Greenblatt 2013-12-31 New Buy0.02%$15.01 - $18.63 $ 16.640%54121
Joel Greenblatt 2013-09-30 Sold Out 0.02%$15.63 - $17.49 $ 16.640%0
Joel Greenblatt 2013-03-31 New Buy0.02%$12.43 - $14.42 $ 16.6425%35171
Premium More recent guru trades are included for Premium Members only!!
Premium More recent guru trades are included for USA Subscribe Members only!!
» Interactive Charts

Peter Lynch Chart ( What is Peter Lynch Charts )

Ratios

vs
industry
vs
history
P/B 1.44
FRED's P/B is ranked higher than
79% of the 589 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 2.30 vs. FRED: 1.44 )
FRED' s 10-Year P/B Range
Min: 0.85   Max: 4.21
Current: 1.44

0.85
4.21
P/S 0.31
FRED's P/S is ranked higher than
80% of the 589 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 0.55 vs. FRED: 0.31 )
FRED' s 10-Year P/S Range
Min: 0.18   Max: 0.94
Current: 0.31

0.18
0.94
EV-to-EBIT -22.50
FRED's EV-to-EBIT is ranked lower than
53% of the 589 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 17.53 vs. FRED: -22.50 )
FRED' s 10-Year EV-to-EBIT Range
Min: -22.6   Max: 6843
Current: -22.5

-22.6
6843
Shiller P/E 29.13
FRED's Shiller P/E is ranked higher than
82% of the 589 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 31.84 vs. FRED: 29.13 )
FRED' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Range
Min: 11.36   Max: 58.17
Current: 29.13

11.36
58.17
Current Ratio 1.94
FRED's Current Ratio is ranked higher than
91% of the 562 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 1.14 vs. FRED: 1.94 )
FRED' s 10-Year Current Ratio Range
Min: 1.83   Max: 3.39
Current: 1.94

1.83
3.39
Quick Ratio 0.47
FRED's Quick Ratio is ranked higher than
62% of the 562 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 0.63 vs. FRED: 0.47 )
FRED' s 10-Year Quick Ratio Range
Min: 0.17   Max: 0.81
Current: 0.47

0.17
0.81

Dividend & Buy Back

vs
industry
vs
history
Dividend Yield 1.40
FRED's Dividend Yield is ranked lower than
59% of the 475 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 1.82 vs. FRED: 1.40 )
FRED' s 10-Year Dividend Yield Range
Min: 0.26   Max: 1.93
Current: 1.4

0.26
1.93
Dividend Payout 9.22
FRED's Dividend Payout is ranked higher than
55% of the 589 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 0.59 vs. FRED: 9.22 )
FRED' s 10-Year Dividend Payout Range
Min: 0.07   Max: 3.5
Current: 9.22

0.07
3.5
Dividend growth (3y) 14.50
FRED's Dividend growth (3y) is ranked higher than
89% of the 390 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 4.60 vs. FRED: 14.50 )
FRED' s 10-Year Dividend growth (3y) Range
Min: 0   Max: 35.7
Current: 14.5

0
35.7
Yield on cost (5-Year) 4.00
FRED's Yield on cost (5-Year) is ranked higher than
77% of the 479 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 2.05 vs. FRED: 4.00 )
FRED' s 10-Year Yield on cost (5-Year) Range
Min: 0.69   Max: 5.15
Current: 4

0.69
5.15
Share Buyback Rate 2.20
FRED's Share Buyback Rate is ranked higher than
91% of the 380 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: -0.20 vs. FRED: 2.20 )
FRED' s 10-Year Share Buyback Rate Range
Min: 2.7   Max: -5
Current: 2.2

Valuation & Return

vs
industry
vs
history
Price/Tangible Book 1.74
FRED's Price/Tangible Book is ranked higher than
81% of the 589 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 4.12 vs. FRED: 1.74 )
FRED' s 10-Year Price/Tangible Book Range
Min: 0.57   Max: 5.29
Current: 1.74

0.57
5.29
Price/DCF (Projected) 1.29
FRED's Price/DCF (Projected) is ranked higher than
87% of the 589 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 2.49 vs. FRED: 1.29 )
FRED' s 10-Year Price/DCF (Projected) Range
Min: 0.85   Max: 12.23
Current: 1.29

0.85
12.23
Price/Median PS Value 1.08
FRED's Price/Median PS Value is ranked higher than
77% of the 589 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 1.10 vs. FRED: 1.08 )
FRED' s 10-Year Price/Median PS Value Range
Min: 0.54   Max: 4.11
Current: 1.08

0.54
4.11
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) -4.40
FRED's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) is ranked higher than
52% of the 560 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 5.90 vs. FRED: -4.40 )
FRED' s 10-Year Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) Range
Min: 2.2   Max: 13
Current: -4.4

2.2
13
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) -6.32
FRED's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) is ranked higher than
61% of the 438 Companies
in the Global Discount Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 10.15 vs. FRED: -6.32 )
FRED' s 10-Year Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) Range
Min: -8.3   Max: 24.4
Current: -6.32

-8.3
24.4

Analyst Estimate

Jan15 Jan16 Jan17
Revenue(Mil) 1,982 1,927 2,004
EPS($) -0.17 0.55 0.70
EPS without NRI($) -0.17 0.55 0.70

Business Description

Industry: Retail - Defensive » Discount Stores
Compare:WMT, WMMVY, DG, FDO, DLTR » details
Traded in other countries:FR1A.Germany,
Fred's Inc was founded in 1947. The Company is engaged in the sale of general merchandise through its retail discount stores and full service pharmacies. The Company operates 683 company-owned stores, including 53 express stores in fifteen states primarily in the southeastern United States. In addition to the company-owned stores, there were 21 franchised stores operating under the Companys name. Its stores generally serve low, middle and fixed income families located in small- to medium- sized towns. There were 355 full service pharmacies, which are included in the company-owned and express stores. In addition to the full service pharmacies, it opened a specialty pharmacy facility, EIRIS Health Services, late in the third quarter of 2013. The Company has an 850,000 square foot distribution center in Memphis, Tennessee that services 400 stores and a 600,000 square foot distribution center in Dublin, Georgia that services 304 stores. The Company is subject to numerous federal securities laws and regulations, including the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and related rules and regulations promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and the DoddFrank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.
» More Articles for FRED

Headlines

Articles On GuruFocus.com
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Fred's Reports July Sales Aug 06 2009 

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fred's REPORTS NOVEMBER SALES Dec 02 2014
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Fred's Downgraded to Strong Sell on Lackluster Q3 Results Dec 01 2014
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FREDS INC Files SEC form 8-K, Change in Directors or Principal Officers, Other Events Nov 26 2014
Fred's Posts Wider-than-Expected Q3 Loss on Weak Comps Nov 26 2014
fred's ANNOUNCES PROMOTION OF CRAIG BARNES AS GENERAL MERCHANDISING MANAGER Nov 26 2014
fred's REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2014 RESULTS Nov 26 2014
FREDS INC Files SEC form 8-K, Results of Operations and Financial Condition Nov 25 2014
Fred's misses 3Q profit forecasts Nov 25 2014
Fred's misses 3Q profit forecasts Nov 25 2014
Fred's Reports Third Quarter 2014 Results Nov 25 2014
Fred's Announces Promotion of Craig Barnes as General Merchandising Manager Nov 25 2014
Q3 2014 Fred's Inc Earnings Release - Before Market Open Nov 25 2014
fred's DECLARES QUARTERLY CASH DIVIDEND OF $0.06 PER SHARE Nov 24 2014

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