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Also traded in: Argentina, Germany, Switzerland

GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company’s financial situation is. It is based on these factors

1. The debt burden that the company has as measured by its Interest coverage (current year).
2. Debt to revenue ratio. The lower, the better
3. Altman Z-score.

A company ranks high with financial strength is likely to withstand any business slowdowns and recessions.

Financial Strength : 6/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Cash to Debt 0.11
HOG's Cash to Debt is ranked lower than
82% of the 1227 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 0.49 vs. HOG: 0.11 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Cash to Debt only.
HOG' s Cash to Debt Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.15  Med: 0.38 Max: 1.96
Current: 0.11
0.15
1.96
Equity to Asset 0.18
HOG's Equity to Asset is ranked lower than
92% of the 1209 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 0.48 vs. HOG: 0.18 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Equity to Asset only.
HOG' s Equity to Asset Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2  Med: 0.51 Max: 0.63
Current: 0.18
0.2
0.63
Interest Coverage 95.38
HOG's Interest Coverage is ranked higher than
71% of the 830 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 17.98 vs. HOG: 95.38 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Interest Coverage only.
HOG' s Interest Coverage Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.2  Med: 20.04 Max: 307.78
Current: 95.38
6.2
307.78
F-Score: 6
Z-Score: 2.74
M-Score: -2.75
WACC vs ROIC
4.51%
9.67%
WACC
ROIC
GuruFocus Profitability Rank ranks how profitable a company is and how likely the company’s business will stay that way. It is based on these factors:

1. Operating Margin
2. Trend of the Operating Margin (5-year average). The company with an uptrend profit margin has a higher rank.
••3. Consistency of the profitability
4. Piotroski F-Score
5. Predictability Rank•

The maximum rank is 10. A rank of 7 or higher means a higher profitability and may stay that way. A rank of 3 or lower indicates that the company has had trouble to make a profit.

Profitability Rank is not directly related to the Financial Strength Rank. But if a company is consistently profitable, its financial strength will be stronger.

Profitability & Growth : 8/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Operating margin (%) 19.28
HOG's Operating margin (%) is ranked higher than
95% of the 1224 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 5.05 vs. HOG: 19.28 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Operating margin (%) only.
HOG' s Operating margin (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.1  Med: 18.74 Max: 27.53
Current: 19.28
4.1
27.53
Net-margin (%) 12.55
HOG's Net-margin (%) is ranked higher than
90% of the 1225 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 3.66 vs. HOG: 12.55 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Net-margin (%) only.
HOG' s Net-margin (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.15  Med: 11.86 Max: 17.98
Current: 12.55
-1.15
17.98
ROE (%) 28.35
HOG's ROE (%) is ranked higher than
92% of the 1206 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 8.85 vs. HOG: 28.35 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROE (%) only.
HOG' s ROE (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.61  Med: 27.46 Max: 36.39
Current: 28.35
-2.61
36.39
ROA (%) 7.36
HOG's ROA (%) is ranked higher than
73% of the 1243 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 4.13 vs. HOG: 7.36 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROA (%) only.
HOG' s ROA (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.65  Med: 8.41 Max: 19.34
Current: 7.36
-0.65
19.34
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) 36.64
HOG's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) is ranked higher than
84% of the 1238 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 13.40 vs. HOG: 36.64 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) only.
HOG' s ROC (Joel Greenblatt) (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.03  Med: 37.23 Max: 62.86
Current: 36.64
5.03
62.86
Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) 8.20
HOG's Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than
70% of the 1075 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 4.10 vs. HOG: 8.20 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) only.
HOG' s Revenue Growth (3Y)(%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.8  Med: 11.55 Max: 19.3
Current: 8.2
-3.8
19.3
EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) 15.70
HOG's EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than
71% of the 977 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 6.30 vs. HOG: 15.70 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) only.
HOG' s EBITDA Growth (3Y)(%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -34.3  Med: 20.75 Max: 36.2
Current: 15.7
-34.3
36.2
EPS Growth (3Y)(%) 18.50
HOG's EPS Growth (3Y)(%) is ranked higher than
72% of the 871 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 5.90 vs. HOG: 18.50 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EPS Growth (3Y)(%) only.
HOG' s EPS Growth (3Y)(%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -57.6  Med: 21.95 Max: 108.5
Current: 18.5
-57.6
108.5
» HOG's 10-Y Financials

Financials


Revenue & Net Income
Cash & Debt
Oprt. Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow

» Details

Guru Trades

Q1 2015

HOG Guru Trades in Q1 2015

Joel Greenblatt 736,487 sh (+52.64%)
Steven Cohen 438,900 sh (+31.17%)
Paul Tudor Jones 5,200 sh (+18.18%)
Caxton Associates 110,000 sh (unchged)
Mario Gabelli 10,400 sh (unchged)
Bill Nygren 1,102,000 sh (unchged)
Steven Cohen 35,000 sh (unchged)
Jim Simons Sold Out
Mairs and Power Sold Out
Ken Fisher 125,731 sh (-0.37%)
» More
Q2 2015

HOG Guru Trades in Q2 2015

HOTCHKIS & WILEY 1,973,908 sh (New)
Manning & Napier Advisors, Inc 26,177 sh (New)
Tom Gayner 45,000 sh (New)
Paul Tudor Jones 36,222 sh (+596.58%)
Bill Nygren 2,164,000 sh (+96.37%)
Ken Fisher 130,281 sh (+3.62%)
Mario Gabelli 10,400 sh (unchged)
Joel Greenblatt 367,380 sh (-50.12%)
Steven Cohen 187,700 sh (-57.23%)
» More
Q3 2015

HOG Guru Trades in Q3 2015

Dodge & Cox 7,221,700 sh (New)
Tom Gayner 215,000 sh (+377.78%)
Joel Greenblatt 949,636 sh (+158.49%)
Bill Nygren 3,102,000 sh (+43.35%)
HOTCHKIS & WILEY 2,821,602 sh (+42.94%)
Ken Fisher 131,061 sh (+0.60%)
Steven Cohen Sold Out
Manning & Napier Advisors, Inc 25,883 sh (-1.12%)
Mario Gabelli 9,150 sh (-12.02%)
Paul Tudor Jones 12,106 sh (-66.58%)
» More
Q4 2015

HOG Guru Trades in Q4 2015

Mario Gabelli 9,150 sh (unchged)
Ken Fisher 128,297 sh (-2.11%)
» More
» Details

Insider Trades

Latest Guru Trades with HOG

(List those with share number changes of more than 20%, or impact to portfolio more than 0.1%)

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Top Ranked Articles about Harley-Davidson Inc

Tom Gayner Buys Harley-Davidson and JPMorgan in 3rd Quarter He sells out Chubb in his most heavily weighted trade
Tom Gayner (Trades, Portfolio) is the executive vice president and chief investment officer of Markel Corp. (NYSE:MKL) and president of Markel Gayner Asset Management Inc. He thinks stock is part of a business, and the business is worth what the present value of the future cash flows are. Read more...

Ratios

vs
industry
vs
history
P/E(ttm) 10.29
HOG's P/E(ttm) is ranked higher than
66% of the 1413 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 15.32 vs. HOG: 10.29 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful P/E(ttm) only.
HOG' s P/E(ttm) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.34  Med: 16.01 Max: 69.53
Current: 10.29
3.34
69.53
Forward P/E 9.40
HOG's Forward P/E is ranked lower than
51% of the 656 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 9.26 vs. HOG: 9.40 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward P/E only.
N/A
PE(NRI) 10.29
HOG's PE(NRI) is ranked higher than
67% of the 1069 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 14.00 vs. HOG: 10.29 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PE(NRI) only.
HOG' s PE(NRI) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.27  Med: 16.64 Max: 887.25
Current: 10.29
3.27
887.25
P/B 4.03
HOG's P/B is ranked lower than
92% of the 1554 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 1.33 vs. HOG: 4.03 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful P/B only.
HOG' s P/B Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.87  Med: 4.15 Max: 6.86
Current: 4.03
0.87
6.86
P/S 1.34
HOG's P/S is ranked lower than
79% of the 1552 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 0.60 vs. HOG: 1.34 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful P/S only.
HOG' s P/S Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.44  Med: 2.56 Max: 4.72
Current: 1.34
0.44
4.72
PFCF 8.45
HOG's PFCF is ranked higher than
78% of the 801 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 17.66 vs. HOG: 8.45 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PFCF only.
HOG' s PFCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.96  Med: 16.22 Max: 69.28
Current: 8.45
3.96
69.28
POCF 6.70
HOG's POCF is ranked higher than
62% of the 1226 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 8.75 vs. HOG: 6.70 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful POCF only.
HOG' s POCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.64  Med: 13.22 Max: 143.45
Current: 6.7
3.64
143.45
EV-to-EBIT 11.82
HOG's EV-to-EBIT is ranked higher than
50% of the 1497 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 11.86 vs. HOG: 11.82 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBIT only.
HOG' s EV-to-EBIT Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.9  Med: 15.20 Max: 31
Current: 11.82
4.9
31
EV-to-EBITDA 10.47
HOG's EV-to-EBITDA is ranked lower than
63% of the 1554 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 8.27 vs. HOG: 10.47 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBITDA only.
HOG' s EV-to-EBITDA Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.3  Med: 13.40 Max: 20.9
Current: 10.47
4.3
20.9
PEG 0.42
HOG's PEG is ranked higher than
83% of the 561 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 1.20 vs. HOG: 0.42 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PEG only.
HOG' s PEG Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.33  Med: 0.72 Max: 9.87
Current: 0.42
0.33
9.87
Shiller P/E 13.09
HOG's Shiller P/E is ranked higher than
76% of the 257 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 22.87 vs. HOG: 13.09 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Shiller P/E only.
HOG' s Shiller P/E Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.04  Med: 17.02 Max: 37.28
Current: 13.09
3.04
37.28
Current Ratio 1.73
HOG's Current Ratio is ranked higher than
61% of the 1193 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 1.50 vs. HOG: 1.73 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Current Ratio only.
HOG' s Current Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.44  Med: 2.06 Max: 3.74
Current: 1.73
1.44
3.74
Quick Ratio 1.56
HOG's Quick Ratio is ranked higher than
72% of the 1193 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 1.06 vs. HOG: 1.56 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Quick Ratio only.
HOG' s Quick Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.2  Med: 1.85 Max: 3.43
Current: 1.56
1.2
3.43
Days Inventory 48.34
HOG's Days Inventory is ranked higher than
62% of the 1186 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 59.15 vs. HOG: 48.34 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Inventory only.
HOG' s Days Inventory Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 24.78  Med: 39.74 Max: 43.33
Current: 48.34
24.78
43.33
Days Sales Outstanding 15.06
HOG's Days Sales Outstanding is ranked higher than
88% of the 968 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 61.03 vs. HOG: 15.06 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Sales Outstanding only.
HOG' s Days Sales Outstanding Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.34  Med: 15.05 Max: 20.56
Current: 15.06
8.34
20.56
Days Payable 32.22
HOG's Days Payable is ranked lower than
76% of the 996 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 53.01 vs. HOG: 32.22 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Payable only.
HOG' s Days Payable Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 18.63  Med: 27.73 Max: 30.35
Current: 32.22
18.63
30.35

Dividend & Buy Back

vs
industry
vs
history
Dividend Yield 3.22
HOG's Dividend Yield is ranked higher than
69% of the 1420 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 2.13 vs. HOG: 3.22 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Yield only.
HOG' s Dividend Yield Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.73  Med: 1.34 Max: 13.09
Current: 3.22
0.73
13.09
Dividend Payout 0.32
HOG's Dividend Payout is ranked lower than
56% of the 906 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 0.28 vs. HOG: 0.32 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Payout only.
HOG' s Dividend Payout Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.06  Med: 0.16 Max: 1.25
Current: 0.32
0.06
1.25
Dividend Growth (3y) 32.30
HOG's Dividend Growth (3y) is ranked higher than
86% of the 571 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 7.70 vs. HOG: 32.30 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Growth (3y) only.
HOG' s Dividend Growth (3y) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -28.3  Med: 21.40 Max: 66.7
Current: 32.3
-28.3
66.7
Forward Dividend Yield 3.16
HOG's Forward Dividend Yield is ranked higher than
67% of the 1282 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 2.30 vs. HOG: 3.16 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Dividend Yield only.
N/A
Yield on cost (5-Year) 9.48
HOG's Yield on cost (5-Year) is ranked higher than
85% of the 1441 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 2.65 vs. HOG: 9.48 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Yield on cost (5-Year) only.
HOG' s Yield on cost (5-Year) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.15  Med: 3.94 Max: 38.53
Current: 9.48
2.15
38.53
3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio 2.50
HOG's 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio is ranked higher than
92% of the 651 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: -1.40 vs. HOG: 2.50 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio only.
HOG' s 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.7  Med: 1.25 Max: 5.9
Current: 2.5
-0.7
5.9

Valuation & Return

vs
industry
vs
history
Price/Tangible Book 4.04
HOG's Price/Tangible Book is ranked lower than
71% of the 1532 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 1.62 vs. HOG: 4.04 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Tangible Book only.
HOG' s Price/Tangible Book Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.49  Med: 5.03 Max: 11.03
Current: 4.04
1.49
11.03
Price/Projected FCF 0.82
HOG's Price/Projected FCF is ranked higher than
69% of the 899 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 9999.00 vs. HOG: 0.82 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Projected FCF only.
HOG' s Price/Projected FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.58  Med: 1.72 Max: 4.4
Current: 0.82
0.58
4.4
Price/Median PS Value 0.65
HOG's Price/Median PS Value is ranked higher than
86% of the 1554 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 1.06 vs. HOG: 0.65 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Median PS Value only.
HOG' s Price/Median PS Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26  Med: 1.27 Max: 2.61
Current: 0.65
0.26
2.61
Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value 0.65
HOG's Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value is ranked higher than
84% of the 475 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 1.38 vs. HOG: 0.65 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value only.
HOG' s Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.6  Med: 0.84 Max: 3.03
Current: 0.65
0.6
3.03
Price/Graham Number 1.43
HOG's Price/Graham Number is ranked lower than
55% of the 1326 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 1.03 vs. HOG: 1.43 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price/Graham Number only.
HOG' s Price/Graham Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59  Med: 2.10 Max: 9.99
Current: 1.43
0.59
9.99
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) 8.46
HOG's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) is ranked higher than
58% of the 1209 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 7.00 vs. HOG: 8.46 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) only.
HOG' s Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.2  Med: 6.60 Max: 20.4
Current: 8.46
3.2
20.4
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) 24.44
HOG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) is ranked higher than
88% of the 678 Companies
in the Global Recreational Vehicles industry.

( Industry Median: 4.40 vs. HOG: 24.44 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) only.
HOG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) (%) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -23.3  Med: 18.10 Max: 41.8
Current: 24.44
-23.3
41.8

More Statistics

Revenue(Mil) $5995
EPS $ 3.75
Beta0.77
Short Percentage of Float11.13%
52-Week Range $36.36 - 65.20
Shares Outstanding(Mil)191.86

Analyst Estimate

Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Revenue(Mil) 5,369 5,393 5,488 5,759
EPS($) 3.73 3.92 4.18 4.99
EPS without NRI($) 3.73 3.92 4.18 4.99

Latest Earnings Webcast

» More Conference Calls

Business Description

Industry: Autos » Recreational Vehicles
Compare:PII, THO, WGO, DW, ACAT » details
Traded in other countries:HOG.Argentina, HAR.Germany, HOG.Switzerland,
Harley-Davidson Inc was incorporated in 1981, at which time it purchased the Harley-Davidson motorcycle business from AMF Incorporated in a management buyout. The Company produces and sells heavyweight motorcycles, as well as offers motorcycle parts, accessories, and related services. It operates in two reportable segments: the Motorcycles & Related Products (Motorcycles) reportable segment and the Financial Services reportable segment. The Motorcycles reportable segment consists of HDMC which designs, manufactures and sells at wholesale street-legal Harley-Davidson motorcycles as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and related services. The Company's products are sold to retail customers through a network of independent dealers. The Company conducts business with sales in the following regions: North America, Europe/Middle East/Africa (EMEA), Asia-Pacific and Latin America. The Financial Services reportable segment consists of HDFS which provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance and insurance-related programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers. HDFS conducts business principally in the United States and Canada. The Company motorcycles feature classic styling, design, distinctive sound, and superior quality with the ability to customize. The Company manufactures six platforms of motorcycles: Touring, Dyna, Softail, Sportster, V-Rod and Street. The first four of these motorcycle platforms are powered by air-cooled, or combination air-and liquid-cooled, twin-cylinder engines with a 45-degree V configuration. The V-Rod and Street platforms are powered by liquid-cooled, twin-cylinder engines with a 60-degree V configuration. The Company competes in the market segment consisting of street-legal motorcycles with engine displacements of 601cc and greater. The Company's engines currently range in displacement from 494cc to 1802cc.
» More Articles for HOG

Headlines

Articles On GuruFocus.com
Bill Nygren Boosts Stakes in Halliburton, American Express, Caterpillar Jan 14 2016 
Weekly 3-Year Low Highlights: International Paper, Nucor, Macy's, Harley-Davidson Dec 17 2015 
Why Polaris Is a Great Stock to Buy Now Nov 12 2015 
Tom Gayner's Holdings Trading Below the Peter Lynch Value Oct 29 2015 
The Best Companies of the Auto Industry Oct 29 2015 
Five Undervalued Companies Near 52-Week Lows – October 2015 Oct 21 2015 
13 Best Stocks for Value Investors This Week Oct 05 2015 
Redmond Asset Management Buys Harley-Davidson in Q2 2015 Aug 14 2015 
Strong Dollar Impacted Harley-Davidson's Performance Aug 12 2015 
Harley Davidson Is A Great Opportunity For Value Investors Jun 26 2015 

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Edited Transcript of HOG earnings conference call or presentation 28-Jan-16 2:00pm GMT Jan 28 2016
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