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Also traded in: Germany

GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company’s financial situation is. It is based on these factors

1. The debt burden that the company has as measured by its Interest coverage (current year).
2. Debt to revenue ratio. The lower, the better
3. Altman Z-score.

A company ranks high with financial strength is likely to withstand any business slowdowns and recessions.

Financial Strength : 4/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Cash-to-Debt 0.03
CPN's Cash-to-Debt is ranked lower than
92% of the 136 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 0.21 vs. CPN: 0.03 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Cash-to-Debt only.
CPN' s Cash-to-Debt Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.03  Med: 0.19 Max: No Debt
Current: 0.03
Equity-to-Asset 0.17
CPN's Equity-to-Asset is ranked lower than
82% of the 132 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 0.34 vs. CPN: 0.17 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Equity-to-Asset only.
CPN' s Equity-to-Asset Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.39  Med: 0.18 Max: 1
Current: 0.17
-0.39
1
Interest Coverage 1.33
CPN's Interest Coverage is ranked lower than
75% of the 149 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 2.95 vs. CPN: 1.33 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Interest Coverage only.
CPN' s Interest Coverage Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.61  Med: 1.3 Max: 3.08
Current: 1.33
0.61
3.08
Piotroski F-Score: 6
Altman Z-Score: 0.22
Beneish M-Score: -2.31
WACC vs ROIC
7.04%
4.60%
WACC
ROIC
GuruFocus Profitability Rank ranks how profitable a company is and how likely the company’s business will stay that way. It is based on these factors:

1. Operating Margin
2. Trend of the Operating Margin (5-year average). The company with an uptrend profit margin has a higher rank.
••3. Consistency of the profitability
4. Piotroski F-Score
5. Predictability Rank•

The maximum rank is 10. A rank of 7 or higher means a higher profitability and may stay that way. A rank of 3 or lower indicates that the company has had trouble to make a profit.

Profitability Rank is not directly related to the Financial Strength Rank. But if a company is consistently profitable, its financial strength will be stronger.

Profitability & Growth : 7/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Operating Margin % 12.49
CPN's Operating Margin % is ranked lower than
53% of the 134 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 13.73 vs. CPN: 12.49 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Operating Margin % only.
CPN' s Operating Margin % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.45  Med: 13.82 Max: 49.72
Current: 12.49
6.45
49.72
Net Margin % 1.37
CPN's Net Margin % is ranked lower than
63% of the 134 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 6.57 vs. CPN: 1.37 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Net Margin % only.
CPN' s Net Margin % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.79  Med: 1.84 Max: 33.79
Current: 1.37
-2.79
33.79
ROE % 2.99
CPN's ROE % is ranked lower than
59% of the 133 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 4.04 vs. CPN: 2.99 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROE % only.
CPN' s ROE % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.25  Med: 3.14 Max: 27.45
Current: 2.99
-4.25
27.45
ROA % 0.50
CPN's ROA % is ranked lower than
59% of the 138 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 1.39 vs. CPN: 0.50 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROA % only.
CPN' s ROA % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.1  Med: 0.64 Max: 14.31
Current: 0.5
-1.1
14.31
ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % 5.67
CPN's ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % is ranked lower than
60% of the 138 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 6.85 vs. CPN: 5.67 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % only.
CPN' s ROC (Joel Greenblatt) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.11  Med: 6.55 Max: 32.18
Current: 5.67
4.11
32.18
3-Year Revenue Growth Rate 10.00
CPN's 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate is ranked higher than
68% of the 112 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 3.70 vs. CPN: 10.00 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate only.
CPN' s 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.9  Med: 2.9 Max: 98.1
Current: 10
-11.9
98.1
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate 16.20
CPN's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is ranked higher than
65% of the 98 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 9.40 vs. CPN: 16.20 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate only.
CPN' s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -57.6  Med: 16.2 Max: 117
Current: 16.2
-57.6
117
3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate 105.40
CPN's 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate is ranked higher than
96% of the 85 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 5.70 vs. CPN: 105.40 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate only.
CPN' s 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -86.7  Med: 69.4 Max: 396.9
Current: 105.4
-86.7
396.9
GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with Calpine Corp $CPN.
More than 500,000 people have already joined GuruFocus to track the stocks they follow and exchange investment ideas.
» CPN's 10-Y Financials

Financials (Next Earnings Date: 2017-05-10 Est.)


Revenue & Net Income
Cash & Debt
Operating Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow & Net Income

» Details

Guru Trades

Q1 2016

CPN Guru Trades in Q1 2016

Andreas Halvorsen 10,493,251 sh (+114.96%)
Jim Simons 2,567,700 sh (+90.33%)
Joel Greenblatt 735,708 sh (+1.75%)
Robert Bruce 294,849 sh (unchged)
First Eagle Investment 1,000 sh (unchged)
Murray Stahl 11,798 sh (-0.01%)
HOTCHKIS & WILEY 38,759,340 sh (-3.04%)
RS Investment Management 2,901,783 sh (-9.44%)
» More
Q2 2016

CPN Guru Trades in Q2 2016

Steven Cohen 4,064,700 sh (New)
David Einhorn 5,660,000 sh (New)
Andreas Halvorsen 20,366,388 sh (+94.09%)
Robert Bruce 294,849 sh (unchged)
Murray Stahl 11,798 sh (unchged)
First Eagle Investment 1,000 sh (unchged)
Joel Greenblatt Sold Out
RS Investment Management 2,879,467 sh (-0.77%)
HOTCHKIS & WILEY 38,019,617 sh (-1.91%)
Jim Simons 687,300 sh (-73.23%)
» More
Q3 2016

CPN Guru Trades in Q3 2016

Ray Dalio 22,700 sh (New)
Signature Select Canadian Fund 319,000 sh (New)
Caxton Associates 175,000 sh (New)
David Einhorn 11,239,800 sh (+98.58%)
HOTCHKIS & WILEY 40,068,420 sh (+5.39%)
Andreas Halvorsen 21,186,523 sh (+4.03%)
Murray Stahl 11,798 sh (unchged)
First Eagle Investment 1,000 sh (unchged)
Robert Bruce 294,849 sh (unchged)
Steven Cohen 842,300 sh (-79.28%)
Jim Simons 29,100 sh (-95.77%)
» More
Q4 2016

CPN Guru Trades in Q4 2016

NWQ Managers 4,927,132 sh (New)
Chuck Royce 100,000 sh (New)
Jim Simons 45,200 sh (+55.33%)
HOTCHKIS & WILEY 42,518,410 sh (+6.11%)
First Eagle Investment 1,000 sh (unchged)
Robert Bruce 294,849 sh (unchged)
Paul Singer 3,500,000 sh (unchged)
Andreas Halvorsen Sold Out
Steven Cohen Sold Out
Ray Dalio Sold Out
Caxton Associates Sold Out
Murray Stahl Sold Out
David Einhorn 10,961,000 sh (-2.48%)
» More
» Details

Insider Trades

Latest Guru Trades with NYSE:CPN

(List those with share number changes of more than 20%, or impact to portfolio more than 0.1%)

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Business Description

Industry: Utilities - Independent Power Producers » Utilities - Independent Power Producers    NAICS: 221116    SIC: 4911
Compare:NYSE:AQN, OTCPK:NPIFF, NYSE:ORA, OTCPK:TRSWF, OTCPK:ERGZF, NYSE:NRG, OTCPK:EDRVF, NAS:PEGI, NYSE:NEP, NAS:TERP, OTCPK:DRXGF, OTCPK:RSHYY, NYSE:TAC, OTCPK:XTNY, OTCPK:LGSXY, OTCPK:INGXF, NAS:CAFD, OTCPK:BRLXF, OTCPK:VSTE, NYSE:DYN » details
Traded in other countries:CJ3A.Germany,
Calpine Corp is a wholesale power producer. The Company owns and operates natural gas-fired and geothermal power plants in North America. It sells wholesale power, steam, capacity and ancillary services to utilities, independent electric system operators.

Calpine is the largest natural-gas power producer in the United States, with 3.0 GW of simple-cycle combustion turbines, 6.3 GW of combined-cycle cogeneration, and 15.8 GW of combined-cycle combustion turbines. Its fleet is located in three primary regions: East (36% of capacity), Texas (35%), and West (29%). It also owns 725 MW of geothermal generation in California geothermal generation and 4 MW of solar generation.

Top Ranked Articles about Calpine Corp

David Einhorn Purchases Stake in Calpine America's largest generator of electricity from natural gas is expanding operations and trading at a 5-year low
David Einhorn (Trades, Portfolio), founder of Greenlight Capital, purchased a 5,660,000-stake in Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN) in the second quarter. The trade had a 1.53% impact on Einhorn’s portfolio. Read more...
David Einhorn Adds Calpine, Rite Aid, Amaya to Portfolio The guru’s top 3 new holdings
David Einhorn (Trades, Portfolio) of Greenlight Capital acquired three new holdings during the second quarter. They are Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN), Rite Aid Corp. (NYSE:RAD) and Amaya Inc. (NASDAQ:AYA). Read more...
Andreas Halvorsen Takes 6% of Calpine Corp After Doubling Stake Tiger cub investor with 15% annualized return ups investment in top power plant company
Andreas Halvorsen (Trades, Portfolio), a former protégé of hedge fund pioneer Julian Robertson (Trades, Portfolio), on June 23 doubled his stake in one of the largest power generators in the U.S., Calpine Corp. (NYSE:CPN), as lower natural gas prices spur natural gas-fired generation and are expected to continue. Read more...

Ratios

vs
industry
vs
history
PE Ratio 41.97
CPN's PE Ratio is ranked lower than
84% of the 158 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 15.09 vs. CPN: 41.97 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PE Ratio only.
CPN' s PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.11  Med: 44.29 Max: 657
Current: 41.97
2.11
657
Forward PE Ratio 21.74
CPN's Forward PE Ratio is ranked higher than
58% of the 48 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 24.94 vs. CPN: 21.74 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward PE Ratio only.
N/A
PE Ratio without NRI 41.97
CPN's PE Ratio without NRI is ranked lower than
86% of the 122 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 15.94 vs. CPN: 41.97 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PE Ratio without NRI only.
CPN' s PE Ratio without NRI Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.11  Med: 41.59 Max: 511.5
Current: 41.97
2.11
511.5
Price-to-Owner-Earnings 7.73
CPN's Price-to-Owner-Earnings is ranked higher than
70% of the 47 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 14.97 vs. CPN: 7.73 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Owner-Earnings only.
CPN' s Price-to-Owner-Earnings Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.75  Med: 13.07 Max: 109.58
Current: 7.73
2.75
109.58
PB Ratio 1.19
CPN's PB Ratio is ranked higher than
57% of the 189 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 1.22 vs. CPN: 1.19 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PB Ratio only.
CPN' s PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.47  Med: 1.76 Max: 2.97
Current: 1.19
0.47
2.97
PS Ratio 0.56
CPN's PS Ratio is ranked higher than
87% of the 188 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 2.19 vs. CPN: 0.56 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PS Ratio only.
CPN' s PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25  Med: 1.05 Max: 1.85
Current: 0.56
0.25
1.85
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow 7.22
CPN's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is ranked higher than
71% of the 84 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 9.56 vs. CPN: 7.22 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow only.
CPN' s Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.1  Med: 14.19 Max: 4900
Current: 7.22
3.1
4900
Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow 3.74
CPN's Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow is ranked higher than
79% of the 120 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 6.56 vs. CPN: 3.74 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow only.
CPN' s Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.63  Med: 9.48 Max: 132.95
Current: 3.74
2.63
132.95
EV-to-EBIT 19.94
CPN's EV-to-EBIT is ranked lower than
63% of the 200 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 15.18 vs. CPN: 19.94 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBIT only.
CPN' s EV-to-EBIT Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.4  Med: 19.1 Max: 69.8
Current: 19.94
3.4
69.8
EV-to-EBITDA 9.25
CPN's EV-to-EBITDA is ranked higher than
55% of the 208 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 9.79 vs. CPN: 9.25 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBITDA only.
CPN' s EV-to-EBITDA Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3  Med: 10.5 Max: 20.4
Current: 9.25
3
20.4
PEG Ratio 2.75
CPN's PEG Ratio is ranked lower than
77% of the 47 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 0.92 vs. CPN: 2.75 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PEG Ratio only.
CPN' s PEG Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38  Med: 3.28 Max: 273.53
Current: 2.75
0.38
273.53
Shiller PE Ratio 10.64
CPN's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked higher than
81% of the 27 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 18.46 vs. CPN: 10.64 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Shiller PE Ratio only.
CPN' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 10.19  Med: 15.75 Max: 27.34
Current: 10.64
10.19
27.34
Current Ratio 1.20
CPN's Current Ratio is ranked lower than
54% of the 125 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 1.27 vs. CPN: 1.20 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Current Ratio only.
CPN' s Current Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.52  Med: 1.34 Max: 2.15
Current: 1.2
0.52
2.15
Quick Ratio 1.04
CPN's Quick Ratio is ranked lower than
54% of the 125 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 1.11 vs. CPN: 1.04 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Quick Ratio only.
CPN' s Quick Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.49  Med: 1.26 Max: 1.89
Current: 1.04
0.49
1.89
Days Inventory 40.84
CPN's Days Inventory is ranked lower than
66% of the 100 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 28.15 vs. CPN: 40.84 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Inventory only.
CPN' s Days Inventory Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.19  Med: 24.16 Max: 40.84
Current: 40.84
6.19
40.84
Days Sales Outstanding 45.60
CPN's Days Sales Outstanding is ranked higher than
61% of the 111 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 50.12 vs. CPN: 45.60 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Sales Outstanding only.
CPN' s Days Sales Outstanding Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 29.12  Med: 34.21 Max: 50.56
Current: 45.6
29.12
50.56
Days Payable 47.43
CPN's Days Payable is ranked lower than
67% of the 85 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 59.89 vs. CPN: 47.43 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Days Payable only.
CPN' s Days Payable Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 25.64  Med: 37.58 Max: 47.43
Current: 47.43
25.64
47.43

Buy Back

vs
industry
vs
history
3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio 5.80
CPN's 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio is ranked higher than
96% of the 70 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: -4.80 vs. CPN: 5.80 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio only.
CPN' s 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -23.7  Med: -3.4 Max: 7.9
Current: 5.8
-23.7
7.9

Valuation & Return

vs
industry
vs
history
Price-to-Tangible-Book 1.20
CPN's Price-to-Tangible-Book is ranked higher than
66% of the 176 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 1.69 vs. CPN: 1.20 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Tangible-Book only.
CPN' s Price-to-Tangible-Book Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.73  Med: 1.66 Max: 2.5
Current: 1.2
0.73
2.5
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF 0.78
CPN's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked higher than
76% of the 63 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 1.58 vs. CPN: 0.78 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF only.
CPN' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.76  Med: 1.51 Max: 1.8
Current: 0.78
0.76
1.8
Price-to-Median-PS-Value 0.55
CPN's Price-to-Median-PS-Value is ranked higher than
86% of the 167 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 0.97 vs. CPN: 0.55 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Median-PS-Value only.
CPN' s Price-to-Median-PS-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.34  Med: 0.94 Max: 1.48
Current: 0.55
0.34
1.48
Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value 3.07
CPN's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked lower than
100% of the 37 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 0.83 vs. CPN: 3.07 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.
CPN' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.72  Med: 2.07 Max: 5.43
Current: 3.07
0.72
5.43
Price-to-Graham-Number 1.49
CPN's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked lower than
69% of the 116 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 1.09 vs. CPN: 1.49 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Graham-Number only.
CPN' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.03  Med: 1.53 Max: 8.3
Current: 1.49
1.03
8.3
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % 5.03
CPN's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % is ranked lower than
55% of the 229 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 5.74 vs. CPN: 5.03 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % only.
CPN' s Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.4  Med: 5.2 Max: 29.8
Current: 5.03
1.4
29.8
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % 19.70
CPN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked higher than
75% of the 63 Companies
in the Global Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.

( Industry Median: 4.88 vs. CPN: 19.70 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
CPN' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -35.1  Med: 3.5 Max: 27.1
Current: 19.7
-35.1
27.1

More Statistics

Revenue (TTM) (Mil) $6,716
EPS (TTM) $ 0.26
Beta1.22
Short Percentage of Float8.11%
52-Week Range $10.39 - 16.07
Shares Outstanding (Mil)359.05

Analyst Estimate

Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
Revenue (Mil $) 5,712 5,891 5,839
EPS ($) 0.53 1.02 0.83
EPS without NRI ($) 0.53 1.02 0.83
EPS Growth Rate
(Future 3Y To 5Y Estimate)
46.74%
Dividends per Share ($)
» More Articles for NYSE:CPN

Headlines

Articles On GuruFocus.com
Stocks Decline to Their 3-Year Lows Mar 19 2017 
David Einhorn Purchases Stake in Calpine Sep 07 2016 
David Einhorn Adds Calpine, Rite Aid, Amaya to Portfolio Aug 16 2016 
Andreas Halvorsen's Largest 2nd Quarter Buys Jul 17 2016 
Bill Nygren's 2nd Quarter Oakmark Select Fund Commentary Jul 11 2016 
Andreas Halvorsen Doubles Stake in Natural Gas Power Plant Company Jul 07 2016 
Gilead Among Murray Stahl's Holdings Trading Below Peter Lynch Value Dec 10 2015 
Bunny Portfolio Hops Into a Wall Dec 09 2015 
Weekly 3-Year Low Highlights: Ventas, Calpine, Targa Resources, Two Harbors Investment Nov 10 2015 
Hotchkis & Wiley Large Cap Diversified Value Q2 Market Commentary Jul 20 2015 

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