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Amtech Systems (Amtech Systems) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $3.71 (As of Dec23)


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What is Amtech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Amtech Systems's earnings power value is $3.71. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -31.18

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Amtech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amtech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amtech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Amtech Systems Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.45 6.44 4.23 5.63 3.79

Amtech Systems Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.00 6.00 5.55 3.79 3.71

Competitive Comparison of Amtech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, Amtech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amtech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Amtech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amtech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Amtech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Amtech Systems's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 91.4
DDA 2.3
Operating Margin % -0.68
SGA * 25% 7.1
Tax Rate % -12.60
Maintenance Capex 2.1
Cash and Cash Equivalents 17.0
Short-Term Debt 3.2
Long-Term Debt 17.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 14.2

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -0.68%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $91.4 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -0.68%, Average Adjusted SGA = 7.1,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 91.4 * -0.68% +7.1 = $6.510208029 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -12.60%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $6.510208029 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 6.510208029 * ( 1 - -12.60% ) = $7.3305918937744 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.3 * 0.5 * -12.60% = $-0.144866844 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 7.3305918937744 + -0.144866844 = $7.1857250497744 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Amtech Systems's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $2.1 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Amtech Systems's current cash and cash equivalent = $17.0 Mil.
Amtech Systems's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 17.8 + 3.2 = $21.021 Mil.
Amtech Systems's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 14.2 Mil.

Amtech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 7.1857250497744 - 2.1)/ 9%+17.0-21.021 )/14.2
=3.71

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 3.7123743459061-4.87 )/3.7123743459061
= -31.18%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Amtech Systems  (NAS:ASYS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Amtech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Amtech Systems (Amtech Systems) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
131 South Clark Drive, Tempe, AZ, USA, 85288
Amtech Systems Inc is a manufacturer of capital equipment, including thermal processing and wafer polishing, and related consumables used in fabricating semiconductor devices, such as silicon carbide (SiC) and silicon power chips, electronic assemblies, and light-emitting diodes (LEDs). the company has two segments; Semiconductor; it designs, manufactures, sells, and services thermal processing equipment and related controls for use by semiconductor manufacturers, and in electronics, automotive, and other industries; and Material and Substrate - it produces consumables and machinery for lapping (fine abrading) and polishing of materials, such as sapphire substrates, optical components, silicon wafers, numerous types of crystal materials, ceramics and metal components.
Executives
Robert C Daigle director C/O: ROGERS CORPORATION, ONE TECHNOLOGY DRIVE PO BOX 188, ROGERS CT 06263-0188
Robert M Averick director, 10 percent owner KOKINO LLC, 201 TRESSER BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Michael M Ludwig director C/O AMTECH SYSTEMS, INC., 131 S CLARK DRIVE, TEMPE AZ 85288
Michael Whang officer: Vice President of Operations 131 S CLARK DRIVE, TEMPE AZ 85281
Jong S Whang director, officer: Executive Chairman
Robert F King director C/O AMTECH SYSTEMS INC, 131 SOUTH CLARK DRIVE, TEMPE AZ 85281
Lisa Gibbs officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 131 S CLARK DRIVE, TEMPE AZ 85281
Robert T Hass officer: Interim CFO C/O AMTECH SYSTEMS INC, 131 SOUTH CLARK DRIVE, TEMPE AZ 85281
Cornice Fiduciary Management Llc 10 percent owner C/O WILLOW STREET GROUP, LLC, 270 W. PEARL AVENUE, SUITE 104, JACKSON WY 83001
Fokko Pentinga director, officer: President and CEO TEMPRESS SYSTEMS, B.V., RADEWEG 31, VAASSEN P7 8171 MD
Wansem Paul J Van Der director, officer: See Remarks 597 LOWELL ROAD, CONCORD MA 01742
Michael Garnreiter director 6735 E. GREENWAY PARKWAY, UNIT #2049, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Sukesh Mohan director C/O EL CAMINO TECHNOLOGIES LLC, 6200 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, SUITE 300, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Bradley Clark Anderson officer: Chief Financial Officer 131 SOUTH CLARK DRIVE, TEMPE AZ 85281
Goudena Egbert J. G. director 131 SOUTH CLARK DRIVE, TEMPE AZ 85281