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Berkshire Hathaway (Berkshire Hathaway) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $-50.69 (As of Dec23)
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As of Dec23, Berkshire Hathaway's earnings power value is $-50.69. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Berkshire Hathaway Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Berkshire Hathaway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Berkshire Hathaway Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -44.60 -47.46 -50.09 -62.68 -49.97

Berkshire Hathaway Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -62.68 -64.05 -55.06 -51.91 -49.97

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Berkshire Hathaway's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Berkshire Hathaway Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Berkshire Hathaway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Berkshire Hathaway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Berkshire Hathaway Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Berkshire Hathaway's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 328,347
DDA 10,953
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 6,165
Tax Rate % 20.99
Maintenance Capex 14,566
Cash and Cash Equivalents 167,641
Short-Term Debt 5,335
Long-Term Debt 122,936
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 2,164

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $328,347 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 6,165,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 328,347 * 0.00% +6,165 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 20.99%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 20.99% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 10,953 * 0.5 * 20.99% = $1149.2289365 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 1149.2289365 = $1149.2289365 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Berkshire Hathaway's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $14,566 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Berkshire Hathaway's current cash and cash equivalent = $167,641 Mil.
Berkshire Hathaway's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 122,936 + 5,335 = $128271 Mil.
Berkshire Hathaway's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 2,164 Mil.

Berkshire Hathaway's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1149.2289365 - 14,566)/ 9%+167,641-128271 )/2,164
=-50.69

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -50.69228295484-408.78 )/-50.69228295484
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Berkshire Hathaway  (NYSE:BRK.B) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Berkshire Hathaway Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Berkshire Hathaway (Berkshire Hathaway) Business Description

Address
3555 Farnam Street, Omaha, NE, USA, 68131
Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with a wide array of subsidiaries engaged in diverse activities. The firm's core business segment is insurance, run primarily through Geico, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group. Berkshire has used the excess cash thrown off from these and its other operations over the years to acquire Burlington Northern Santa Fe (railroad), Berkshire Hathaway Energy (utilities and energy distributors), and the firms that make up its manufacturing, service, and retailing operations (which include five of Berkshire's largest noninsurance pretax earnings generators: Precision Castparts, Lubrizol, Clayton Homes, Marmon, and IMC/ISCAR). The conglomerate is unique in that it is run on a completely decentralized basis.
Executives
Ajit Jain director, officer: Vice Chairman 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, BHRG, STAMFORD CT 06902
Murphy Thomas S Jr director C/O CRESTVIEW ADVISORS, 667 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10021
Warren E Buffett director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO 3555 FARNAM ST, STE 1440, OMAHA NE 68131
Charlotte Guyman director 3324 78TH PL. N.E., MEDINA WA 98004
Susan A. Buffett director 808 CONAGRA DRIVE, OMAHA NE 68102
Christopher C Davis director C/O GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY, 1300 NORTH 17TH STREET, SUITE 1700, ARLINGTON VA 22209
Ronald L Olson director EDISON INTERNATIONAL, 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Kenneth I Chenault director C/O GENERAL CATALYST, 20 UNIVERSITY ROAD, 4TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Gregory Abel director, officer: Vice Chairman 666 GRAND AVE., STE.500, DES MOINES IA 50309
Meryl B Witmer director 655 THIRD AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thomas S Murphy director C/O WALT DISNEY CO, 500 S BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-1010
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust 10 percent owner 2365 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Stephen B Burke director 41 CENTRAL PARK WEST - APT 11A, NEW YORK NY 10023
Susan L Decker director C/O YAHOO INC, 701 FIRST AVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Gates William H Iii director 2365 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033

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