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Cal-Maine Foods (Cal-Maine Foods) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $28.26 (As of Feb24)


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What is Cal-Maine Foods Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Feb24, Cal-Maine Foods's earnings power value is $28.26. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -108.12

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Cal-Maine Foods Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cal-Maine Foods's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cal-Maine Foods Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Cal-Maine Foods Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.73 8.29 -2.75 6.78 27.00

Cal-Maine Foods Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.46 27.00 24.61 23.48 28.26

Competitive Comparison of Cal-Maine Foods's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Farm Products subindustry, Cal-Maine Foods's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cal-Maine Foods's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Cal-Maine Foods's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cal-Maine Foods's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Cal-Maine Foods Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Cal-Maine Foods's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,918
DDA 66
Operating Margin % 6.57
SGA * 25% 51
Tax Rate % 18.52
Maintenance Capex 88
Cash and Cash Equivalents 695
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 49

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.57%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,918 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.57%, Average Adjusted SGA = 51,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,918 * 6.57% +51 = $176.550291918 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 18.52%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $176.550291918 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 176.550291918 * ( 1 - 18.52% ) = $143.85141235187 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 66 * 0.5 * 18.52% = $6.133284713 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 143.85141235187 + 6.133284713 = $149.98469706487 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Cal-Maine Foods's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $88 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Cal-Maine Foods's current cash and cash equivalent = $695 Mil.
Cal-Maine Foods's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cal-Maine Foods's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 49 Mil.

Cal-Maine Foods's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Feb24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 149.98469706487 - 88)/ 9%+695-0 )/49
=28.26

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 28.262136910252-58.82 )/28.262136910252
= -108.12%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Cal-Maine Foods  (NAS:CALM) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Cal-Maine Foods Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cal-Maine Foods's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cal-Maine Foods (Cal-Maine Foods) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1052 Highland Colony Parkway, Suite 200, Ridgeland, MS, USA, 39157
Cal-Maine Foods Inc produces and sells shell eggs. Its main market is the United States. The company's product portfolio contains nutritionally enhanced, cage-free, organic, and brown eggs. Cal-Maine Foods markets the shell eggs to a diverse group of customers, including grocery-store chains, club stores, and food service distributors. The company's brands are Egg-Land's, Land O' Lakes, Farmhouse, and 4-Grain. The Company has one reportable operating segment, which is the production, grading, packaging, marketing and distribution of shell eggs.
Executives
Charles Jeff Hardin officer: Vice President Marketing 3650 GUENTHER ROAD, LAGRANGE TX 78945
Michael Todd Walters officer: COO 1052 HIGHLAND COLONY PKWY, RIDGELAND MS 39157
Letitia Callender Hughes director 48 AVERY CIRCLE, JACKSON MS 39211
James E Poole director PO BOX 5167, JACKSON MS 39296
Matthew Samuel Glover officer: Vice President - Accounting 1052 HIGHLAND COLONY PKWY, RIDGELAND MS 39157
Camille S Young director 2992 WEST BEACH BLVD, GULFPORT MS 39501
Adolphus B Baker director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, President & CEO P. O. BOX 2960, JACKSON MS 39207
Jean Morris Adams 10 percent owner 312 VIEWPOINTE PLACE, CLINTON MS 39056
Holladay Robert L Jr officer: VP - General Counsel 3320 W. WOODROW WILSON AVE, JACKSON MS 39209
Max P Bowman director, officer: Vice President, CFO, Sec/Treas 3320 W. WOODROW WILSON AVE., JACKSON MS 39209
Dlnl, Llc 10 percent owner 3320 W. WOODROW WILSON AVE., JACKSON MS 39209
Adams Fred R Jr 10 percent owner C/O CM FOODS, PO BOX 2960, JACKSON MS 39207
Steve W Sanders director 2 OAKLEIGH PLACE, JACKSON MS 39211
Michael D Castleberry officer: Vice President, Controller 3320 W. WOODROW WILSON AVE, JACKSON MS 39209
Timothy A Dawson director, officer: Vice President, CFO, Sec/Treas CAL-MAINE FOODS, INC., PO BOX 2960, JACKSON MS 39207