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Cincinnati Bell (Cincinnati Bell) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-42.87 (As of Jun21)


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What is Cincinnati Bell Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun21, Cincinnati Bell's earnings power value is $-42.87. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Cincinnati Bell Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cincinnati Bell's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cincinnati Bell Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Cincinnati Bell Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -49.15 -54.77 -47.93 -50.57 -45.88

Cincinnati Bell Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -49.07 -48.03 -45.88 -44.82 -42.87

Competitive Comparison of Cincinnati Bell's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Cincinnati Bell's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cincinnati Bell's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Cincinnati Bell's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cincinnati Bell's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Cincinnati Bell Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Cincinnati Bell's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,359
DDA 256
Operating Margin % 8.83
SGA * 25% 76
Tax Rate % 18.71
Maintenance Capex 205
Cash and Cash Equivalents 4
Short-Term Debt 20
Long-Term Debt 1,924
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 51

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.83%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,359 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.83%, Average Adjusted SGA = 76,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,359 * 8.83% +76 = $196.318186 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 18.71%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $196.318186 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 196.318186 * ( 1 - 18.71% ) = $159.58214544475 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 256 * 0.5 * 18.71% = $23.95387125 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 159.58214544475 + 23.95387125 = $183.53601669475 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Cincinnati Bell's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $205 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Cincinnati Bell's current cash and cash equivalent = $4 Mil.
Cincinnati Bell's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,924 + 20 = $1944.7 Mil.
Cincinnati Bell's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 51 Mil.

Cincinnati Bell's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 183.53601669475 - 205)/ 9%+4-1944.7 )/51
=-42.87

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -42.874936325093-15.48 )/-42.874936325093
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Cincinnati Bell  (NYSE:CBB) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Cincinnati Bell Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Cincinnati Bell (Cincinnati Bell) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
221 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45202
Cincinnati Bell Inc provides wireline and wireless telecommunication services in Cincinnati, Ohio, and surrounding markets in Kentucky and Indiana. It operates business through two segments. Entertainment and Communications segment provides high speed data, video, and voice solutions to consumers and businesses over an expanding fiber network and a legacy copper network. IT Services and Hardware segment provides sale and service of efficient, end-to-end communications and IT systems and solutions across the U.S., Canada, and Europe. The company generates a substantial portion of its revenues by delivering voice and data services over access lines.
Executives
Jakki L. Haussler director 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Martin Yudkovitz director P O BOX 2301, CINCINNATI OH 45201
Craig F Maier director P O BOX 2301, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Meredith J Ching director 822 BISHOP ST., HONOLULU HI 96813
Dods Walter A Jr director 822 BISHOP ST., HONOLULU HI 96813
Theodore H. Torbeck director, Director 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Lynn A Wentworth director CINCINNATI BELL INC, P O BOX 2301, CINCINNATI OH 45201
Russel Paul Mayer director 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Leigh R. Fox officer: Chief Executive Officer 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Joshua T. Duckworth officer: Vice President & Treasurer P O BOX 2301, CINCINNATI OH 45201
Christopher J Wilson officer: VP, General Counsel P O BOX 2301, CINCINNATI OH 45201
Thomas E Simpson officer: Chief Operating Officer 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Andrew R. Kaiser officer: Chief Financial Officer 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Christi H Cornette officer: Chief Culture Officer 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
John W. Eck director 221 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202

Cincinnati Bell (Cincinnati Bell) Headlines