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Donaldson Co (Donaldson Co) Earnings Power Value (EPV)

: $23.08 (As of Jan24)
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As of Jan24, Donaldson Co's earnings power value is $23.08. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -213.92

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Donaldson Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Donaldson Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Donaldson Co Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.71 9.45 12.14 14.48 19.95

Donaldson Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.03 19.95 19.95 21.28 23.08

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Donaldson Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Donaldson Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Donaldson Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Donaldson Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Donaldson Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Donaldson Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,067
DDA 92
Operating Margin % 13.70
SGA * 25% 73
Tax Rate % 24.83
Maintenance Capex 91
Cash and Cash Equivalents 194
Short-Term Debt 262
Long-Term Debt 352
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 122

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 13.70%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,067 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 13.70%, Average Adjusted SGA = 73,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,067 * 13.70% +73 = $493.5182336 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 24.83%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $493.5182336 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 493.5182336 * ( 1 - 24.83% ) = $370.96531824128 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 92 * 0.5 * 24.83% = $11.4179835 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 370.96531824128 + 11.4179835 = $382.38330174128 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Donaldson Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $91 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Donaldson Co's current cash and cash equivalent = $194 Mil.
Donaldson Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 352 + 262 = $614.1 Mil.
Donaldson Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 122 Mil.

Donaldson Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 382.38330174128 - 91)/ 9%+194-614.1 )/122
=23.08

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 23.079142937599-72.45 )/23.079142937599
= -213.92%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Donaldson Co  (NYSE:DCI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Donaldson Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Donaldson Co (Donaldson Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1400 West 94th Street, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55431
Donaldson is a leading manufacturer of filtration systems and replacement parts (including air filtration systems, liquid filtration systems, and dust, fume, and mist collectors). The company serves a diverse range of end markets, including construction, mining, agriculture, truck, and industrial. Its business is organized into three segments: mobile solutions, industrial solutions, and life sciences. Donaldson generated approximately $3.4 billion in revenue and $480 million in operating income in its fiscal 2023.
Executives
Willard D Oberton director 2001 THEURER BLVD, WINONA MN 55987
Ajita G Rajendra director A. O. SMITH WATER PRODUCTS COMPANY, 500 LINDAHL PARKWAY, ASHLAND CITY TN 37015
Guillermo Briseno officer: President PO BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440
James Owens director 1200 WILLOW LAKE BOULEVARD, P.O. BOX 64683, ST. PAUL MN 55164-0683
Douglas A. Milroy director PO BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440
Amy C Becker officer: Vice President P.O. BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1299
Scott J. Robinson officer: Senior Vice President P.O. BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1299
Christopher M. Hilger director PO BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440
Thomas R Scalf officer: Senior Vice President P.O. BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1299
Andrew C Dahlgren officer: President PO BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440
Wim Vermeersch officer: Vice President P.O. BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1299
Tod E. Carpenter director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO P.O. BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1299
Jeffrey E Spethmann officer: Senior Vice President P.O. BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1299
Sheila G. Kramer officer: Vice President P.O. BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1299
Richard Brent Lewis officer: Senior Vice President PO BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440