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CASI Pharmaceuticals (CASI Pharmaceuticals) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-34.97 (As of Dec23)


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What is CASI Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, CASI Pharmaceuticals's earnings power value is $-34.97. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


CASI Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CASI Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CASI Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

CASI Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.72 -4.52 -12.75 -23.11 -34.97

CASI Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -23.11 -23.65 -27.37 -30.84 -34.97

Competitive Comparison of CASI Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, CASI Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CASI Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, CASI Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CASI Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



CASI Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

CASI Pharmaceuticals's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 25.29
DDA 1.67
Operating Margin % -156.16
SGA * 25% 8.80
Tax Rate % -0.53
Maintenance Capex 12.10
Cash and Cash Equivalents 30.77
Short-Term Debt 0.73
Long-Term Debt 20.51
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 13.38

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -156.16%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $25.29 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -156.16%, Average Adjusted SGA = 8.80,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 25.29 * -156.16% +8.80 = $-30.68803619 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -0.53%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-30.68803619 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -30.68803619 * ( 1 - -0.53% ) = $-30.85114310235 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.67 * 0.5 * -0.53% = $-0.0044374935 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -30.85114310235 + -0.0044374935 = $-30.85558059585 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
CASI Pharmaceuticals's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $12.10 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. CASI Pharmaceuticals's current cash and cash equivalent = $30.77 Mil.
CASI Pharmaceuticals's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 20.51 + 0.73 = $21.239 Mil.
CASI Pharmaceuticals's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 13.38 Mil.

CASI Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -30.85558059585 - 12.10)/ 9%+30.77-21.239 )/13.38
=-34.97

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -34.966346568869-2.33 )/-34.966346568869
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


CASI Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:CASI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


CASI Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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CASI Pharmaceuticals (CASI Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9620 Medical Center Drive, Suite 300, Rockville, MD, USA, 20850
CASI Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company that focuses on commercializing innovative therapeutics and pharmaceutical products. The products include injections for patients who are suffering from leukemias and lymphomas. The EVOMELA injection is used as a conditioning treatment before autologous stem cell transplant for patients with multiple myeloma. The company products include CID-103, CNCT19, EVOMELA, MARQIBO, ZEVALIN, ENMD-2076 and others. The majority of the revenue is generated from the product sales of EVOMELA. The company primarily operates in the United States, Canada, China and other parts of the world.
Executives
James Huang director 9620 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Wei-wu He director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO ENTREMED, INC., 9640 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Weihao Xu officer: Chief Financial Officer 9620 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Larry Zhang officer: President 9620 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Shrotriya Rajesh C Md director 157 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92618
Salisbury Franklin Cary Jr director 9620 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Yue Alexander Wu director C/O SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 9380 JUDICIAL DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Wealth Strategy Holding Ltd 10 percent owner LEVEL 12, INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE CENTRE, 1 AUSTIN ROAD WEST, HONG KONG K3 HK
Alexander A Zukiwski officer: Chief Medical Officer 200 ROUTE 31 NORTH, SUITE 104, FLEMINGTON NJ 08822
George Chi officer: Chief Financial Officer 9620 MEDICAL CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Dapeng Li 10 percent owner BUILDING 1037,XIHU GOLF,, ZHIGANG ROAD 200, HANGZHOU, ZHEJANG F4 310008
Idg-accel China Growth Fund Iii L.p. 10 percent owner UNIT 5505, 55TH FLOOR, THE CENTER, 99 QUEEN'S ROAD K3 00000
Spectrum Pharmaceuticals Inc 10 percent owner 11500 S. EASTERN AVE., SUITE 240, HENDERSON NV 89052
Sparkle Byte Ltd 10 percent owner P.O. BOX 957, OFFSHORE INCORPORATIONS CENTRE ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 00000
Ken Ren director, officer: CEO and Director 3RD FL, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A, NO. 181 SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD, XI'AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 710065