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NovaBay Pharmaceuticals (NovaBay Pharmaceuticals) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-5.38 (As of Dec23)


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What is NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's earnings power value is $-5.38. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -209.74 -49.49 -43.15 -30.12 -5.38

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -30.12 -28.70 -18.85 -12.89 -5.38

Competitive Comparison of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 11.01
DDA 0.18
Operating Margin % -80.72
SGA * 25% 3.46
Tax Rate % -0.02
Maintenance Capex 0.05
Cash and Cash Equivalents 3.13
Short-Term Debt 1.63
Long-Term Debt 1.11
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 11.23

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -80.72%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $11.01 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -80.72%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.46,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 11.01 * -80.72% +3.46 = $-5.424763999 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -0.02%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-5.424763999 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -5.424763999 * ( 1 - -0.02% ) = $-5.4260116947198 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.18 * 0.5 * -0.02% = $-2.1183E-5 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -5.4260116947198 + -2.1183E-5 = $-5.4260328777198 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.05 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's current cash and cash equivalent = $3.13 Mil.
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1.11 + 1.63 = $2.74 Mil.
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 11.23 Mil.

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -5.4260328777198 - 0.05)/ 9%+3.13-2.74 )/11.23
=-5.38

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -5.3792746390816-0.0773 )/-5.3792746390816
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


NovaBay Pharmaceuticals  (AMEX:NBY) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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NovaBay Pharmaceuticals (NovaBay Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2000 Powell Street, Suite 1150, Emeryville, CA, USA, 94608
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company that develops and sells scientifically-created and clinically-proven eyecare and skincare products. Its leading product, Avenova Antimicrobial Lid and Lash Solution (Avenova Spray), is proven in laboratory testing to have broad antimicrobial properties as it removes foreign material including microorganisms and debris from the skin around the eye, including the eyelid. Avenova Spray is available direct to consumers through online distribution channels and is also often prescribed and dispensed by eyecare professionals for blepharitis and dry-eye disease.
Executives
Tommy Law officer: Interim CFO 2000 POWELL STREET, SUITE 1150, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Jeffrey Kunin officer: President, DERMAdoctor, LLC 4346 BELGIUM BLVD NW, RIVERSIDE MO 64150
Audrey Kunin officer: Chief Product Officer 4346 BELGIUM BLVD NW, RIVERSIDE MO 64150
Justin Hall officer: General Counsel 5980 HORTON STREET, SUITE 550, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Yongxiang Zheng director NO.10, UNIT 1, LIJING VILLA, TIANZHU, SHUNYI DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 101316
Julie Garlikov director 2420 17TH STREET, SUITE 220, DENVER CO 80202
Andrew D. Jones officer: CFO and Treasurer 2000 POWELL STREET, SUITE 1150, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Mijia Wu director SUITE 6C, BLDG 3, YOU YOU CENTURY PLAZA, NO 428 YANG GAO SOUTH ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 CHINA
Jian Ping Fu 10 percent owner LEVEL 1, BLDG 1, GREENWOOD BUSINESS PARK, 301 BURWOOD HWY, BURWOOD C3 3125
Wang Xu officer: NEO - Sr Mgr and Controller 2000 POWELL STREET, SUITE 1150, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Swan Sit director 95 JACKSON STREET, NEWTON MA 02459
Yenyou Zheng director 1055 WEST HASTINGS STREET, SUITE 1980, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 2E9
Xiaopei Wang director 2/44 FRANKLIN ROAD, DONCASTER EAST C3 3109
Jason Philip Raleigh officer: Interim CFO and Treasurer 2000 POWELL STREET, SUITE 1150, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Pioneer Pharma (hong Kong) Co Ltd 10 percent owner FLAT 2605, 26/F TRENDY CENTRE, 682 CASTLE PEAK ROAD, KOWLOON K3 000000