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Premier Exhibitions (Premier Exhibitions) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-12.88 (As of Aug15)


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What is Premier Exhibitions Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Aug15, Premier Exhibitions's earnings power value is $-12.88. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Premier Exhibitions Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Premier Exhibitions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Premier Exhibitions Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Premier Exhibitions Annual Data
Trend Feb06 Feb07 Feb08 Feb09 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 Feb14 Feb15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.39 -19.63 -21.38 -10.32 -11.25

Premier Exhibitions Quarterly Data
Nov10 Feb11 May11 Aug11 Nov11 Feb12 May12 Aug12 Nov12 Feb13 May13 Aug13 Nov13 Feb14 May14 Aug14 Nov14 Feb15 May15 Aug15
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.04 -10.05 -11.25 -15.22 -15.65

Competitive Comparison of Premier Exhibitions's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Leisure subindustry, Premier Exhibitions's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Premier Exhibitions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Premier Exhibitions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Premier Exhibitions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Premier Exhibitions Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Premier Exhibitions's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 32.78
DDA 4.25
Operating Margin % -17.08
SGA * 25% 3.50
Tax Rate % 5.03
Maintenance Capex 2.63
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1.61
Short-Term Debt 13.76
Long-Term Debt 1.04
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 4.92

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -17.08%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $32.78 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -17.08%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.50,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 32.78 * -17.08% +3.50 = $-2.09729364 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 5.03%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-2.09729364 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -2.09729364 * ( 1 - 5.03% ) = $-1.9917787969716 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 4.25 * 0.5 * 5.03% = $0.106923843 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -1.9917787969716 + 0.106923843 = $-1.8848549539716 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Premier Exhibitions's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $2.63 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Premier Exhibitions's current cash and cash equivalent = $1.61 Mil.
Premier Exhibitions's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1.04 + 13.76 = $14.801 Mil.
Premier Exhibitions's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 4.92 Mil.

Premier Exhibitions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Aug15 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -1.8848549539716 - 2.63)/ 9%+1.61-14.801 )/4.92
=-12.88

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -12.877556219853-0.0001 )/-12.877556219853
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Premier Exhibitions  (OTCPK:PRXIQ) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Premier Exhibitions Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Premier Exhibitions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Premier Exhibitions (Premier Exhibitions) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3045 Kingston Court, Suite I, Peachtree Corners, GA, USA, 30071
Premier Exhibitions Inc is engaged in providing leisure services. It develops and sets up tourism-related exhibitions for the purpose of education and entertainment. The company's exhibitions present opportunities to experience compelling stories using authentic objects and artifacts in diverse environments. Its exhibitions are presented in museums, exhibition centers, and other entertainment venues. The company's services include content development, exhibit design, brand development, space planning and detailed fabrication drawings. It also offers merchandising services.
Executives
Alta Fundamental Advisers Llc 10 percent owner 1500 BROADWAY, SUITE 704, NEW YORK NY 10036
Sellers Capital Llc other: See Remarks 311 S WACKER DR STE 925 CHICAGO IL 60606
Sellers Capital Master Fund, Ltd. other: See Remarks C/O M&C CORPORATE SERVICES, UGLAND HOUSE S. CHURCH ST, PO BOX 309 GT GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 CAYMAN
Mark A Sellers other: See Remarks SELLERS CAPITAL 161 N CLARK ST STE 4700 CHICAGO IL 60601
Mingcheng Tao director 3340 PEACHTREE ROAD NE, SUITE 900, ATLANTA GA 30326
Jack H Jacobs director 101 OAKS ROAD, MILLINGTON NJ 07946
Richard Kraniak director
Mark Mcgowan director C/O COMBIMATRIX CORPORATION, 6500 HARBOUR HEIGHTS PARKWAY, SUITE 303, MUKILTEO WA 98275
Bruce David Eskowitz director, officer: President and CEO 202 N. CRESCENT DRIVE #1, BEVERLY HILLS CA 96210
Joseph B Marsh 10 percent owner 605 SURFSIDE DRIVE AKRON OH 44317

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